Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 25 (8/25): MLB

Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 25 (8/25): MLB

Credit: photo by Kyle Ross-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:05 p.m. EST
Phillies money line -310
Phillies run line -1.5 (-145)
Reds money line +250
Reds run line +1.5 (+125)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  Philadelphia Phillies  Cincinnati Reds
Record 69-55 48-74
Home / road record 36-29 22-38
Last 10 record 6-4 4-6
Streak W3 L3
Over / under record 61-57-6 63-57-2
Runs / game 4.58 4.24
Runs allowed / game 4.03 5.17

 

Preview

The Cincinnati Reds and the Philadelphia Phillies will play the 4th game of the series at the Citizens Bank Park on Thursday. J.T. Realmuto homered and Rhys Hoskins drove in three runs.

 

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies get to this game with a 69-55 record and have won 4 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.58 runs per game. They're batting for .252 AVG, 558 runs scored in 1036 hits and 156 home runs, ranking #8 in offense in the league behind the Toronto Blue Jays. Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 34 home runs and 71 RBI while Alec Bohm is batting for .288 avg.

Defensively they are allowing 4.03 runs per game and rank #10 in the league. Zack Wheeler leads the team with a 3.07 ERA, 148 strikeouts and 11 wins recorded for the Phillies.

Probable Pitcher:  Aaron Nola (8-10, 3.25 ERA)

Nola will be on the mound in the 4th game of the series for Philadelphia. Nola took the loss in a 7-2 loss to the Mets on Friday, allowing five runs on eight hits and a walk over five innings. He struck out nine batters. He has a 3-2 record with an ERA of 4.31 and 47 strikeouts in 8 appearances versus the Reds in his career.

Cincinnati Reds

The Reds get here with a 48-74 record and have lost 4 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4.24 runs. They're batting for .241 AVG, 509 runs scored in 954 hits and 113 home runs, ranking #19 in offense in the league behind the Arizona Dbacks. Kyle Farmer leads the team with 55 RBI, 6 home runs and batting for .269 AVG.

Defensively they are allowing 5.17 runs per game and rank #28 in the league. Tyler Mahle leads the pitching staff with a 4.40 ERA, 114 strikeouts and 5 wins recorded with the Reds.

Probable Pitcher:  Justin Dunn (1-1, 6.08 ERA)

Dunn will be on the mound in the 4th game of the series for the Reds. In five innings against Pittsburgh, Dunn earned the victory after giving up just one run on three hits and four walks. He had four strikeouts.

BETTING TRENDS

Cincinnati Reds are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against Philadelphia.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games on the road.

Cincinnati Reds are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia.

Philadelphia are 11-4 SU in their last 15 games at home.

Philadelphia are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games when playing at home against Cincinnati.

Prediction

The Phillies offense continue to stay hot and are averaging 6.7 runs per game in the last 4 games. For the final game of this series they'll send Aaron Nola to the mound who struggled in his last start but was against the Mets so we can't blame him. Justin Dunn will take the mound for the Reds who's coming from his best start of his short season where he allowed only 1 run across 5 innings pitched. The Phillies haven't been profitable against the spread at home with a 30-35 record while the Reds are 30-30 ATS on the road. Expect another close game so we get the Reds in the run line with good value. 

PICK: Reds +1.5 (+125) 

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