Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 22 (8/22): MLB

Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 22 (8/22): MLB

Credit: photo by David Kohl-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:05 p.m. EST
Phillies money line -245
Phillies run line -1.5 (-120)
Reds money line +200
Reds run line +1.5 (+100)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  Philadelphia Phillies  Cincinnati Reds
Record 66-55 48-71
Home / road record 33-29 22-35
Last 10 record 4-6 4-6
Streak L1 W2
Over / under record 59-56-6 61-56-2
Runs / game 4.58 4.24
Runs allowed / game 4.03 5.17

 

Preview

The Cincinnati Reds and the Philadelphia Phillies will meet again to play a 4-game series at the Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies lost their last series against the Mets while the Reds beat the Pirates 3 of 4 times.

 

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies get to this game with a 66-55 record and have lost 4 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.58 runs per game. They're batting for .252 AVG, 558 runs scored in 1036 hits and 156 home runs, ranking #8 in offense in the league behind the Toronto Blue Jays. Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 34 home runs and 71 RBI while Alec Bohm is batting for .288 avg.

Defensively they are allowing 4.03 runs per game and rank #10 in the league. Zack Wheeler leads the team with a 3.07 ERA, 148 strikeouts and 11 wins recorded for the Phillies.

Probable Pitcher:  Noah Syndergaard (7-8, 3.95 ERA)

Syndergaard will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for Philadelphia. Syndergaard is now scheduled to make his next start Monday at home versus the Reds, after he had previously been lined up to take the hill for Sunday's series finale with the Mets at Citizens Bank Park. He has a 6-0 record with an ERA of 2.36 and 54 strikeouts in 7 appearances against the Reds in his career.

Cincinnati Reds

The Reds get here with a 48-71 record and have won 3 of their last 4 games. The team is averaging 4.24 runs. They're batting for .241 AVG, 509 runs scored in 954 hits and 113 home runs, ranking #19 in offense in the league behind the Arizona Dbacks. Kyle Farmer leads the team with 55 RBI, 6 home runs and batting for .269 AVG.

Defensively they are allowing 5.17 runs per game and rank #28 in the league. Tyler Mahle leads the pitching staff with a 4.40 ERA, 114 strikeouts and 5 wins recorded with the Reds.

Probable Pitcher:  Luis Cessa (3-1, 5.50 ERA)

Cessa will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Reds. Cessa isn't fully stretched out, but the Reds aren't calling him an opener. Manager David Bell further elaborated that Cessa may have a chance to stick in the rotation beyond Monday, citing his past experience as a starter. He  is 1-1 with an ERA of 5.79 and 4 strikeouts in 6 appearances versus the Phillies in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia.

Philadelphia Phillies are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Philadelphia's last 18 games against Cincinnati.

Philadelphia are 8-4 SU in their last 12 games at home.

Prediction

The Phillies have lost 6 of their last 10 games but they have faced 7 times the NY Mets on that stretch but beat the Reds 2 of 3 times the last week. For this game they'll send Noah Syndergaard to the mound who has been decent lately and the Phillies have won in his last 3 starts including the 4-3 win vs Reds. The Reds won their last series but was against one of the worst teams in the league. Luis Cessa will start this game who has only 1 start this season and was pounded by the Dodgers. Expect the Phillies to bounce back at home and get the win.

PICK: Phillies -1.5 (-120) 

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