Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs Spread Prediction 7/2
- Lm Tipster
- Jul 2, 2024, 7:45:22 AM
Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs Spread Prediction 7/2
Game Summary
The Philadelphia Phillies will take on the Chicago Cubs on July 2, 2024, at 8:06 PM at Wrigley Field in Chicago. The Phillies are in second place in the NL East and are fighting for a playoff spot, while the Cubs are in third place in the NL Central and are looking to gain ground in the standings. The Phillies have relied on their strong lineup, led by Bryce Harper and Trea Turner, while the Cubs have a solid pitching staff and a balanced offense. This game is crucial for both teams as they look to solidify their positions in the standings.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | TBD |
| Spread | Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 (-110) / Chicago Cubs -1.5 (+100) |
| Moneyline | Philadelphia Phillies +108 / Chicago Cubs -126 |
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | Team | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zack Wheeler | Philadelphia Phillies | 9-5 | 3.20 | 140 |
| Marcus Stroman | Chicago Cubs | 10-6 | 3.45 | 135 |
Team Previews
Philadelphia Phillies
Hitting: The Phillies have a potent lineup, with a team batting average of .260, ranking 7th in MLB. Bryce Harper and Trea Turner have been consistent power threats, while Kyle Schwarber and J.T. Realmuto provide versatility.
Relief Pitching: The Phillies' bullpen has been reliable, with a collective ERA of 3.70. Closer Jose Alvarado has been lights out, supported by strong setup men like Seranthony Dominguez and Craig Kimbrel.
Fielding: The Phillies have committed 40 errors this season, ranking them 12th in MLB. Their solid defense has been a key factor in their success.
Starting Pitchers: Zack Wheeler has been the ace of the staff, delivering strong performances and keeping the Phillies in games. His ability to dominate opposing lineups and pitch deep into games has been crucial.
Chicago Cubs
Hitting: The Cubs have a balanced lineup, with a team batting average of .255, ranking 15th in MLB. Ian Happ and Nico Hoerner have been the main power sources, while Seiya Suzuki and Dansby Swanson provide consistency at the plate.
Relief Pitching: The Cubs' bullpen has been solid, with a collective ERA of 3.60. Closer Adbert Alzolay has been dominant, supported by strong setup men like Brandon Hughes and Michael Fulmer.
Fielding: The Cubs are one of the best defensive teams in baseball, with only 30 errors on the season, ranking 2nd in MLB. Their solid defense has been a key factor in their success.
Starting Pitchers: Marcus Stroman has been the ace of the staff, delivering consistent performances and keeping the Cubs in games. His ability to dominate opposing lineups and pitch deep into games has been crucial.
Projected Starting Lineups
| # | Philadelphia Phillies | Chicago Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Schwarber, LF | Nico Hoerner, 2B |
| 2 | Trea Turner, SS | Dansby Swanson, SS |
| 3 | Bryce Harper, DH | Ian Happ, LF |
| 4 | Nick Castellanos, RF | Seiya Suzuki, RF |
| 5 | Alec Bohm, 3B | Cody Bellinger, CF |
| 6 | J.T. Realmuto, C | Trey Mancini, DH |
| 7 | Rhys Hoskins, 1B | Patrick Wisdom, 3B |
| 8 | Bryson Stott, 2B | Yan Gomes, C |
| 9 | Brandon Marsh, CF | Eric Hosmer, 1B |
Betting Trends
- Phillies are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
- Cubs are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
- Phillies are 4-2 in their last 6 road games.
- Cubs are 3-4 in their last 7 home games.
- Under is 6-4 in Phillies' last 10 games.
- Over is 6-4 in Cubs' last 10 games.
Recent Games
| Philadelphia Phillies | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| June 30 | Washington Nationals | 5-4 | W |
| June 29 | Washington Nationals | 2-3 | L |
| June 28 | Washington Nationals | 6-5 | W |
| June 27 | New York Mets | 4-1 | L |
| June 26 | New York Mets | 1-3 | W |
| Chicago Cubs | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| June 30 | Cincinnati Reds | 5-2 | W |
| June 29 | Cincinnati Reds | 3-4 | L |
| June 28 | Cincinnati Reds | 2-1 | W |
| June 27 | San Francisco Giants | 4-1 | W |
| June 26 | San Francisco Giants | 1-2 | L |
Team Rankings
| Category | Philadelphia Phillies | Chicago Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 7th | 15th |
| Starting Pitching | 10th | 12th |
| Relief Pitching | 8th | 14th |
| Fielding | 12th | 2nd |
Significant Betting Stats
- Cubs are 12-3 in their last 15 games as favorites.
- Phillies are 6-9 in their last 15 games as underdogs.
- Zack Wheeler has a 3.20 ERA in away games this season.
- Marcus Stroman has allowed 3+ earned runs in 4 of his last 5 starts.
- Under is 5-2 in Wheeler's last 7 road starts.
- Phillies are 7-2 in their last 9 games against right-handed starters.
- Cubs are 4-6 in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record.
- Under is 7-3 in Cubs' last 10 games following a loss.
- Phillies are 8-4 in their last 12 road games against a team with a winning record.
- Cubs are 3-7 in their last 10 home games against a team with a winning record.
Prediction
The Philadelphia Phillies have a slight edge in this matchup, with a stronger lineup and consistent pitching from Zack Wheeler. The Cubs have been solid, but their recent form has been inconsistent, and Marcus Stroman has struggled. Expect the Phillies to cover the spread and potentially secure a crucial win in their playoff chase.
