Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 24 (7/24): MLB

Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 24 (7/24): MLB

Credit: photo by  Kyle Ross-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 12:05 p.m. EST
Phillies money line -145
Phillies run line -1.5 (+130)
Cubs money line +122
Cubs run line +1.5 (-150)
Over / under 9.5

 

Key stats

  Philadelphia Phillies Chicago Cubs
Record 49-44 36-57
Home / road record 24-22 18-25
Last 10 record 5-5 2-8
Streak L1 W2
Over / under record 48-43-2 43-44-6
Runs / game 4.68 4.20
Runs allowed / game 4.01 5.13

 

Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Chicago Cubs will play the 3rd game of the series at the Citizens Bank Park on Saturday. The Cubs were leading the 2nd game of the series 1-0 in top of the 6th inning at the moment when this article has been written.

 

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies get to this game with a 49-44 record and have won their last 4 games. The team is averaging 4.68 runs per game. They're batting for .246 AVG, 431 runs scored in 766 hits and 120 home runs, ranking #6 in offense in the league behind the New York Mets. Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 29 home runs and 58 RBI while Alec Bohm is batting for .276 avg.

Defensively they are allowing 4.1 runs per game and rank #10 in the league. Zack Wheeler leads the team with a 2.89 ERA, 108 strikeouts and 8 wins recorded for the Phillies.

Probable Pitcher:   Drew Smyly (2-5, 4.22 ERA)

Wheeler will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Phillies. In the second game of the doubleheader on Saturday, Smyly faced the Mets and pitched 4.1 innings in a no-decision, surrendering two runs (one earned) on five hits, a walk, and a hit batsman while striking out four. He has an ERA of 4.40 and 7 strikeouts in 4 appearances against the Phillies in his career.

 

Chicago Cubs

The Cubs get here with a 36-57 record and have won 3 of their last 4 games. The team is averaging 4.20 runs per game. They're batting for .244 AVG, 386 runs scored in 761 hits and 88 home runs, ranking #20 in offense in the league behind the Tampa Bay Rays. Patrick Wisdom is leading the team with 17 home runs and 46 RBI while Wilson Contreras has the better batting average with .280.

Defensively they are allowing 5.13 runs per game and rank #27 in the league. Keegan Thompson leads the pitching staff with a 3.45 ERA, 75 strikeouts and 7 wins recorded for the Cubs.

Probable Pitcher: 

Bailey Falter (0-2, 4.82 ERA) will take the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Cubs. Falter was sent down in early July and allowed just one run on five hits and no walks while striking out five in 5.1 innings during a start at Lehigh Valley on July 13. He'll rejoin the major-league roster for Sunday's series finale against the Cubs with Zach Eflin (knee) still on the injured list.

 

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs' last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia.

Chi Cubs are 2-7 SU in their last 9 games against an opponent in the National League.

Philadelphia are 13-7 SU in their last 20 games at home.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs.

 

Prediction

The Phillies continue to struggle offensively as they have averaged 3 runs per game in their last 10 games. They'll face Drew Smyly who allowed only 1 earned run in his last start vs Mets but has been up and down this season. The Phillies will send Bailey Falter to the mound who has only 5 starts this season so there's a chance that he can struggle on this game. I expect both offenses to pound these starters so the over looks like a good play. 

PICK: Over 9.5 (-110)

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