Pete Alonso Player Props: Mets vs Angels 8/4

Game Summary

On August 4, 2024, the New York Mets (58-52) will face off against the Los Angeles Angels (48-63) at Angel Stadium in Anaheim, California, at 4:07 PM EDT. This matchup is particularly significant as both teams are looking to secure a series victory, with the series currently tied at 1-1. The Mets have been performing well recently, boasting a 6-4 record over their last ten games, and have shown an ability to outscore opponents by 16 runs during that stretch. Their offensive strength is highlighted by a .420 slugging percentage, ranking third in the NL. Key players like Francisco Lindor, who leads with a .255 batting average, and Pete Alonso, with 23 home runs, will be crucial in their quest for victory. Conversely, the Angels have struggled, with a record of 4-6 in their last ten games, and have been outscored by three runs overall. Their recent performances have been marred by injuries, particularly to star player Mike Trout, who is currently on the 10-Day IL. However, players like Taylor Ward and Nolan Schanuel have been making contributions, with Ward hitting 16 home runs and Schanuel batting .364 over the last ten games.

Player Prop Odds

- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+320.0)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+210.0)
- Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+285.0)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+100.0)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-175.0)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-110.0)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (-110.0)

Player Analysis

Pete Alonso has been a powerhouse for the Mets this season, leading the team with 23 home runs and 59 RBIs. His ability to drive in runs and hit for power makes him a significant threat in the lineup. Alonso has a batting average of .242, which, while not exceptional, is complemented by his high slugging percentage. He has been particularly effective against right-handed pitching, which will be crucial as he faces Griffin Canning, the Angels' starter for the day. Over the last month, Alonso has shown signs of finding his rhythm at the plate, making him a prime candidate for various player props, especially for RBIs and home runs.

Opposing Analysis

The Angels' pitching staff has struggled this season, with Griffin Canning holding a 5.32 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP. Canning's inability to consistently keep hitters at bay has led to an increase in runs allowed, making it a favorable matchup for Alonso. The Angels have allowed 5.45 runs per game over the last ten games, and they have a subpar record when facing power hitters like Alonso, who can capitalize on mistakes. Additionally, the Mets' strong slugging percentage suggests they could exploit Canning's vulnerabilities today.

Pitching Probables

Team Previews

The New York Mets have a mixed record of 58-52 this season, currently sitting third in the NL East. Their hitting has been solid, with a .235 batting average and 447 runs scored. However, their pitching staff has an ERA of 4.58, which ranks them 27th in the league. The Mets have also struggled defensively, committing 58 errors this season, which can sometimes lead to unearned runs. Despite these challenges, their recent form suggests they are capable of stringing together wins. On the other hand, the Los Angeles Angels, with a record of 48-63, have struggled both offensively and defensively. They rank 6th in the league in runs scored with 535 but also have a high ERA of 4.15, indicating that their pitching has been a weak point. Their defense has also been problematic, contributing to their inability to close out games.

Team Injuries

Recent Games

Prediction