Patrick Corbin Player Props Prediction: Rockies vs Nationals
Game Summary
The Colorado Rockies (47-80) will face off against the Washington Nationals (57-70) in the rubber match of their three-game series on Thursday, August 22, 2024, at Nationals Park in Washington, D.C. This matchup features two teams looking to gain momentum as the season winds down.
The Rockies have struggled this season, sitting at the bottom of the NL West, with an overall record of 47-80. Their recent form has been inconsistent, going 4-6 in their last ten games, with a collective batting average of .258 and an ERA of 5.74. They have been outscored by a total of 14 runs during that stretch, highlighting their struggles both offensively and defensively.
Conversely, the Nationals have a slightly better record at 57-70 and sit fourth in the NL East. They are 4-6 in their last ten games as well, but have managed to maintain a .260 batting average and a 4.03 ERA. Washington's ability to out-hit opponents plays a crucial role in their success, as they boast a 42-9 record in games where they have more hits than their opponents.
This game marks the sixth meeting between these two teams this season, with the Nationals holding a 3-2 advantage in the series. Key players to watch for the Nationals include Keibert Ruiz, who has been solid with 12 home runs, and James Wood, who has been on fire recently, going 14-for-37 with four doubles and two home runs over the last ten games.
For the Rockies, Brendan Rodgers leads the team with a .279 batting average, while Brenton Doyle has been a bright spot, hitting 15-for-40 with a home run and four RBIs in his last ten games.
Player Prop Odds
- Patrick Corbin: Pitcher Record a Win: No -225.0, Yes 160.0
- Over/Under for points: N/A
Player Analysis
Patrick Corbin has had a tumultuous season, currently holding a record of 2-12 with a 5.92 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP. He has 99 strikeouts over 135.1 innings pitched, but has been prone to giving up runs, as evidenced by his 19 home runs allowed this season. Corbin's struggles are particularly evident in high-pressure situations, and he will need to find a way to limit damage against a Rockies lineup that, while underwhelming overall, has shown flashes of potential.
Despite his struggles, Corbin's ability to generate strikeouts can be an asset. His average of 6.58 strikeouts per nine innings is respectable, but he must improve his command to avoid falling behind in counts. With an opposing batting average against of .285, Corbin will need to be strategic in locating his pitches to keep the Rockies hitters off balance.
Opposing Analysis
The Rockies' collective batting average of .244 ranks eighth in the NL, and while they have had their ups and downs, they can be dangerous at times. Brendan Rodgers, with his 10 home runs and 24 doubles, is a key player to watch. The Rockies will aim to capitalize on Corbin's struggles, particularly with runners in scoring position.
The Rockies have demonstrated the ability to score runs in bunches, especially against pitchers who struggle with command. If Corbin is unable to find his rhythm early, the Rockies could take advantage and make this a high-scoring affair.
Prop Analysis
The prop market for Patrick Corbin indicates a significant expectation for him to struggle, as reflected in the odds for him to record a win leaning heavily towards the "No" option at -225. Given his 2-12 record and 5.92 ERA, it's understandable that sportsbooks are cautious about his chances of coming out on top in this matchup.
Corbin's ability to limit runs will be crucial, and his strikeout potential could offer some value in the prop market. However, given the context of his season and the Rockies' ability to score, betting on Corbin recording a win might be too risky.
Starting Pitching Summary - Rockies
Cal Quantrill will be taking the mound for the Colorado Rockies. He has an 8-8 record with a 4.59 ERA and 1.41 WHIP, having struck out 97 batters over 127.1 innings. Quantrill has been a steady presence for the Rockies, and his recent performances have shown improvement. If he can continue this trend, it will be vital for Colorado's chances in the game.
Starting Pitching Summary - Nationals
Patrick Corbin, as mentioned, has had a rough season. His tendency to give up runs could be a significant factor in this matchup. With an ERA of 5.92 and a WHIP of 1.57, Corbin will need to find a way to minimize damage early in the game to keep his team competitive.
Bullpen Summary - Rockies
The Rockies' bullpen has been a mixed bag, with a 4.33 ERA overall. They will need to be ready to step in if Quantrill encounters trouble early in the game, as the Nationals' lineup can be aggressive.
Bullpen Summary - Nationals
The Nationals' bullpen has not been particularly strong either, with a 5.52 ERA. This could lead to a high-scoring game, especially if both starting pitchers struggle to get through their respective lineups.
Team Previews
The Nationals come into this game looking to build on their recent success and take the series against the Rockies. With a batting average of .244, their lineup has been productive, especially at home. The Rockies, while struggling overall, have shown signs of life and will look to exploit Corbin's weaknesses.
Team Injuries
**Nationals**
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|-------------------|----------|------------------|---------|---------------------------------|
| Mason Thompson | RP | Tue, Aug 20 | Elbow | Out for the season |
**Rockies**
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|-------------------|----------|------------------|---------|---------------------------------|
| Antonio Senzatela | SP | Wed, Aug 21 | Elbow | Expected to be out until Sep 1 |
| Ryan Feltner | SP | Wed, Aug 21 | Shoulder| Expected to be out until Aug 26 |
| Victor Vodnik | RP | Wed, Aug 21 | Biceps | Expected to be out until Sep 3 |
Recent Games
**Rockies Recent Games**
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|-------------------|---------|-------|
| @ Washington | W3-1 | W |
| @ Washington | L6-1 | L |
| @ San Diego | L10-2 | L |
| @ San Diego | L3-2 | L |
| vs San Diego | W3-2 | W |
**Nationals Recent Games**
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|-------------------|---------|-------|
| vs Colorado | W6-1 | W |
| vs Colorado | L3-1 | L |
| @ Philadelphia | L4-2 | L |
| @ Philadelphia | L3-2 | L |
| vs San Francisco | L9-5 | L |


