Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction MLB Picks Today 7/7

Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction MLB Picks Today 7/7

© Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports

 

MLB Preview and Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres

Get ready for an exciting matchup as the Arizona Diamondbacks visit the San Diego Padres at Petco Park. Both teams are looking to improve their standings in the NL West.

 

Game Overview:

  • Date: July 7, 2024
  • Time: 1:10 PM
  • Location: Petco Park, San Diego, California
  • Line: SD -170
  • Over/Under: 7.5

Team Breakdown:

Arizona Diamondbacks:

The Arizona Diamondbacks come into this game with a 43-45 record. They aim to bounce back after a recent loss and strengthen their position in the division.

Last 5 Games:

  • 7/5/24: @ SD, L 10-8
  • 7/4/24: @ LAD, W 9-3
  • 7/3/24: @ LAD, W 12-4
  • 7/2/24: @ LAD, L 6-5
  • 6/30/24: vs OAK, W 5-1

Injury Report:

  • Ketel Marte (2B): Day-to-Day, expected return July 6
  • Miguel Castro (RP): 15-Day IL, expected return July 8
  • Blake Walston (SP): 15-Day IL, expected return July 10
  • Jordan Montgomery (SP): 15-Day IL, expected return July 14
  • Eduardo Rodriguez (SP): 60-Day IL, expected return July 26

Pitching Analysis:

Ryne Nelson will start for the Diamondbacks, with a 5-6 record and a 5.42 ERA. Nelson has struggled this season, particularly with consistency and control, which could be an issue against the Padres' potent lineup.

Batting Leaders:

  • Home Runs: Christian Walker (22 HR)
  • Batting Average: Ketel Marte (.284 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Christian Walker (62 RBI)

With key players like Christian Walker and Ketel Marte, the Diamondbacks' offense has the capability to generate runs and put pressure on the Padres' pitching staff.

San Diego Padres:

The San Diego Padres, with a 49-43 record, are looking to continue their winning streak and solidify their position in the NL West.

Last 5 Games:

  • 7/5/24: vs ARI, W 10-8
  • 7/4/24: @ TEX, W 3-1
  • 7/3/24: @ TEX, W 6-4
  • 7/2/24: @ TEX, L 7-0
  • 6/30/24: @ BOS, L 4-1

Injury Report:

  • Yu Darvish (SP): 15-Day IL, expected return July 6
  • Xander Bogaerts (2B): 10-Day IL, expected return July 12
  • Tom Cosgrove (RP): 15-Day IL, expected return July 12
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. (RF): 10-Day IL, expected return July 19
  • Joe Musgrove (SP): 60-Day IL, expected return July 19

Pitching Analysis:

Dylan Cease will take the mound for the Padres, holding a 7-7 record with a 4.24 ERA. Cease has been a solid performer, with a good strikeout rate and the ability to limit opposing offenses.

Batting Leaders:

  • Home Runs: Fernando Tatis Jr. (14 HR)
  • Batting Average: Jurickson Profar (.316 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Jurickson Profar (57 RBI)

With Jurickson Profar and Fernando Tatis Jr. leading the way, the Padres' offense has the potential to score heavily and support their pitching staff.

Head to Head Record:

The Padres currently lead the season series 1-0 against the Diamondbacks. The previous game was as follows:

  • 7/5: Padres 10, Diamondbacks 8

Game Odds:

Team ML Total Spread
ARI (43-45) +145 o7.5 (-130) +1.5 (-145)
SD (49-43) -170 u7.5 (+110) -1.5 (+125)

Prediction:

For this matchup, we're predicting a victory for the San Diego Padres on the money line (ML). Here's why:

Dylan Cease has been a reliable starter for the Padres, with a 7-7 record and a 4.24 ERA. His ability to strike out batters and limit runs gives the Padres a significant advantage on the mound, especially against Ryne Nelson, who has struggled this season.

The Padres have a strong lineup led by Jurickson Profar and Fernando Tatis Jr., who have consistently driven in runs and provided the necessary offensive support. This potent lineup will be crucial against the Diamondbacks.

Given the Padres' overall performance and Cease's reliability on the mound, we expect the Padres to secure a win.

Pick: San Diego Padres ML

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Yesterday winnings $0
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