Orioles vs Yankees Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 3 (9/3): MLB

Orioles vs Yankees Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 3 (9/3): MLB

Credit: photo by Darren Yamashita-USA TODAY Sports

 
Odds
Time 7:05 p.m. EST
Orioles money line +205
Orioles run line +1.5 (+105)
Yankees money line -240
Yankees run line -1.5 (-125)
Over / under 9 (-115)

 

Key stats
  Orioles Yankees
Record 41-91 77-56
Road / home record 22-47 39-25
Last 10 record 3-7 6-4
Streak 1L 1W
Over / under record 69-61-2 57-73-3
Runs / game 4.11 4.36
Runs allowed / game 5.88 3.97

 

Preview

Today the Orioles travel to the Bronx to take on the Yankees.  The Yankees come into this game 6.5 games back in the AL East, while having the first wildcard spot.  The Orioles on the other hand come into this game dead last in the AL East. The Yankees were finally able to snap their mini losing streak after going on a strong run, they'll look to get back to their winning ways here and make a run at Tampa for the AL East or to further their wild card positioning.

Pitching matchup

Orioles

John Means (5-6, 3.46 ERA) will be on the mound for the Orioles when they take on the Yankees. Means enters this game with a 1.00 WHIP and 4.69 XFIP.  While battling some injuries he has been able to produce a 22.9% strikeout rate, paired along with a nice 4.4% walk rate to hitters.  Means looked a little questionable coming back from inury but has been able to produce 2 quality starts in last 2 outtings.  He has gone 12.1 innings, striking out 10, while allowing 5 ER's in those games.  He will look to keep the momentum going forward when he takes on a loaded Yankees offense.

Yankees

Nestor Cortes (2-2, 2.77 ERA) will get the start when the Yankees take on the Orioles. Cortes enters this game with a 1.09 WHIP and 4.42 XFIP.  He has a 26.5% strikeout rate, accompanied by a 7.0% walk rate coming into this game.  The lefty comes into the game with 2 quality starts in his last 3 starts. Besides some walk issues Cortes has looked sharp this year when put into a full time starter roll. He will look to keep the the right handed bats of the Orioles in check, as they've been one of the better south paw hitting teams in the league.

Prediction

Both these teams have seen each other plenty of times and know each other inside and out.  The Yankees are one of the best left handed hitting teams in the league. The Orioles have hit lefties good this year but Cortes enters this game with some reverse splits.  I'll be backing the Yankees elite offense and pitching in this one. 

PICK: Yankees -1.5 (-125)

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