Orioles vs Mariners Over/Under Prediction 7/2

Orioles vs Mariners Over/Under Prediction 7/2

Game Summary


The Baltimore Orioles will face the Seattle Mariners on July 2, 2024, at 9:41 PM at T-Mobile Park. The Orioles are in a rebuilding phase, focusing on their young talent for the future. The Mariners, on the other hand, are competing for a playoff spot, with a balanced lineup and strong pitching staff. This matchup will test the Orioles' ability to compete against a superior team.

Odds and Betting Lines

 

Market Odds
Over 7.5 +100
Under 7.5 -122

 

Pitching Probables

 

Pitcher W-L ERA Strikeouts
Grayson Rodriguez (BAL) 4-6 4.15 110
Logan Gilbert (SEA) 10-5 3.25 125

 

Team Previews

 

Baltimore Orioles

Hitting: The Orioles' lineup has struggled, with few consistent contributors.

Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been unreliable, often giving up leads late in games.

Fielding: Defensive errors have been a significant issue for the Orioles.

Starting Pitchers: Rodriguez has been their most reliable starter, but support has been lacking.

Seattle Mariners

Hitting: The Mariners' lineup, featuring Julio Rodriguez and Ty France, is capable of explosive scoring.

Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been solid, closing out games effectively.

Fielding: The Mariners are strong defensively, minimizing errors and making key plays.

Starting Pitchers: Gilbert has been impressive, often going deep into games.

Projected Starting Lineups

 

# Baltimore Orioles Seattle Mariners
1 Cedric Mullins Julio Rodriguez
2 Adley Rutschman Ty France
3 Anthony Santander Eugenio Suarez
4 Ryan Mountcastle Cal Raleigh
5 Gunnar Henderson J.P. Crawford
6 Austin Hays Teoscar Hernandez
7 Adam Frazier Kolten Wong
8 Ramon Urias AJ Pollock
9 Grayson Rodriguez Logan Gilbert

 

Betting Trends

 

  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games.

 

Recent Games

 

Team Opponent Score W/L
Orioles Red Sox 2-4 L
Orioles Yankees 5-3 W
Orioles Yankees 1-7 L
Mariners Astros 6-3 W
Mariners Rangers 2-5 L

 

Team Rankings

 

Team Hitting Starting Pitching Relief Pitching Fielding
Orioles 26th 24th 26th 23rd
Mariners 14th 10th 11th 8th

 

Significant Betting Stats

 

  • Baltimore is 3-7 SU in their last 10 home games.
  • Seattle is 5-3 SU in their last 8 road games.
  • Grayson Rodriguez has a 3.10 ERA at home this season.
  • Logan Gilbert has a 3.00 ERA in night games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the last 7 meetings between these teams.
  • Baltimore's bullpen has a 4.50 ERA in the last 10 games.
  • Seattle has scored 4.6 runs per game over their last 5 games.
  • Baltimore averages 3.5 runs per game at home.
  • Seattle is 6-3 in Gilbert's last 9 starts.
  • Baltimore is 2-5 in Rodriguez's last 7 starts.

 

Prediction

 

With two solid pitchers in Rodriguez and Gilbert, and given both teams' recent trends, this game is likely to stay under 7.5 runs. Both pitchers are capable of dominating, and the offenses have been inconsistent.

Pick: Under 7.5 runs
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