Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 1 (10/1): MLB

Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 1 (10/1): MLB

Credit: photo by Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports

 
Odds
Time 7:07 p.m. EST
Orioles money line +245
Orioles run line +1.5 (+118)
Blue Jays money line -300
Blue Jays run line -1.5 (-164)
Over / under 10 (-112)

 

Key stats
  Orioles Blue Jays
Record 52-107 88-71
Road / home record 25-53 44-34
Last 10 record 5-5 4-6
Streak 1W 1L
Over / under record 78-77-4 68-84-7
Runs / game 4.08 5.16
Runs allowed / game 5.86 4.10

 

Preview

Tonight we have the Orioles traveling to Toronto to take on the Blue Jays. The Orioles enter this game reveling in their spoiler roll as they have just made life harder on the Red Sox after taking 2 of 3 games in that series. They will look to continue their spoiler roll tonight against a Blue Jays team trying to make the playoffs. The Blue Jays enter this game currently 1 game back for the second wildcard spot. Seattle and the Red Sox are currently tied for the second spot. They get a good matchup tonight against a bad Orioles team, they will look to pick up some wins while the Rays and Yankees battle it out in their series.

Pitching matchup

Orioles

Tom Eshelman (0-2, 7.20 ERA) will be on the mound for the Orioles when they take on the Blue Jays. Eshelman enters this game with a 1.64 WHIP and 7.10 XFIP. This season he carries an ugly 8.2% strikeout rate along with a 9.3% walk rate. In the limited innings that he has pitched this season Eshelman to put it simply has been very, very bad. Along with the low strikeout rate and high walk rate, he also gives up premium contact and power to both sides of the plate. He will have his hands completely full when he takes on a very dangerous Blue Jays lineup that is trying to make the postseason.

Blue Jays

Steven Matz (13-7, 3.88 ERA) will be on the mound for the Blue Jays when they host the Orioles. Matz enters this game with a 1.35 WHIP and 4.13 XFIP. This season he carries a 22.3% strikeout rate along with a 6.8% walk rate. Matz has been pretty decent for the Blue Jays this season, he handles left handed hitters very well but does have his struggles giving up power and contact to right handed hitters in the split. This Orioles team has been able to get to Matz in 2 of the 3 times they faced off this season as they do hit left handed pitching well. If Matz can get through these right handed bats he will find success tonight.

Prediction

Although it seems as if the Orioles are embracing thier spoiler roll they will be in for a long night tonight. Back the Blue Jays as this offense should be able to get to Eshelman and anyone else the O's throw out their when it comes to the bullpen.

PICK: Blue Jays -1.5 (-164)

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