Nolan Arenado Player Prop: Cardinals vs Cubs 8/2

- A Plus Picks
- Aug 2, 2024, 1:28:31 PM
Nolan Arenado Player Prop: Cardinals vs Cubs 8/2
Photo Credit: © Jeff Le-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The St. Louis Cardinals (56-53) visit the Chicago Cubs (53-58) on August 2, 2024, at Wrigley Field in Chicago for game two of a three-game series. The Cardinals are currently in second place in the NL Central, while the Cubs are fifth. The Cubs took game one of the series, winning 5-4, which puts them in a favorable position to continue their momentum. The Cardinals have struggled recently, going 4-6 in their last ten games and are hoping to turn things around against their division rivals.
Historically, this matchup has been competitive, with the Cardinals leading the season series 6-4. The Cubs have shown resilience at home, going 28-25 overall, and they excel when out-hitting their opponents, boasting a 38-10 record in such situations. The Cardinals, on the other hand, have the eighth-ranked on-base percentage in the National League at .310, which could be crucial in this game.
Erick Fedde (7-4, 3.11 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 108 strikeouts) will take the mound for the Cardinals, while Javier Assad (5-3, 3.23 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 86 strikeouts) will pitch for the Cubs. Both pitchers have been solid this season, and the outcome may hinge on which team can capitalize on scoring opportunities.
With a projected over/under of 8 runs, betting strategies may focus on player props, particularly for hitters like Nolan Arenado, who has the potential to influence the game significantly.
Player Prop Odds
RBI Odds: Over 0.5 (+160) | Runs Scored Odds: Over 0.5 (-115) | Singles Odds: Over 0.5 (-160) | Doubles Odds: Over 0.5 (+370) | Total Bases Odds: Over 1.5 (+120)
Player Analysis
Nolan Arenado has had a solid season, leading the Cardinals with 11 home runs and 46 RBIs while batting .265. He has a knack for coming up big in crucial moments, and his ability to get on base ranks him among the top hitters on the team. In recent games, Arenado has demonstrated his power and consistency, making him a prime candidate for player props, particularly RBIs and total bases.
Opposing Analysis
The Cubs' pitching staff, led by Javier Assad, has been decent this season. Assad boasts a 3.23 ERA, which means he can keep runs to a minimum. However, he has shown vulnerability against left-handed hitters, which could be beneficial for Arenado in this matchup. The Cubs' bullpen has also been inconsistent, which could present opportunities for Arenado to capitalize late in the game.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | Record (W-L) | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Erick Fedde (STL) | 7-4 | 3.11 | 108 |
| Javier Assad (CHC) | 5-3 | 3.23 | 86 |
Team Previews
The Cardinals have a team batting average of .234, ranking them 24th in the league, and they have struggled to score runs consistently. They are ranked 17th in runs scored with 462. However, their on-base percentage is decent, and when they get runners on base, they can drive in runs.
The Cubs, conversely, have a batting average of .247, which places them 13th in the league. They have been more effective at scoring runs, ranking 22nd with 458 runs. Their success often comes from their ability to hit for power, led by Ian Happ with 17 home runs.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Riley O'Brien | RP | Expected to be out until at least Aug 6 |
| Adbert Alzolay | RP | Out for the season |
Recent Games
| Team | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals | Cubs | L 5-4 | Loss |
| Cardinals | Texas | W 10-1 | Win |
| Cubs | Cardinals | W 5-4 | Win |
| Cubs | Cincinnati | W 13-4 | Win |
Prediction
With Nolan Arenado's performance against a solid Cubs lineup and his current form, we recommend betting on him to record Over 0.5 RBIs. His consistency at the plate and the potential for scoring opportunities against Assad's pitching make this a favorable prop bet.
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