New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 11 (9/11): MLB

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 11 (9/11): MLB

 

Odds

Time 1:35 p.m. EST
Rays money line +103
Rays run line +1.5 (-195)
Yankees money line -123
Yankees run line -1.5 (+165)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  Tampa Bay Rays  New York Yankees
Record 78-59 84-56
Road / home record 31-35 49-22
Last 10 record 8-2 5-5
Streak L1 L2
Over / under record 62-66-9 64-71-5
Runs / game 4.26 4.89
Runs allowed / game 4.23 3.48

 

Preview

The New York Yankees and the Tampa Bay Rays will play the 3rd game of the series at the Yankee Stadium on Sunday. The Yankees bounced back and beat the Rays 10-3 on Saturday's game to tie the series. Aaron Judge singled twice during a six-run first inning off Corey Kluber as the New York Yankees started with seven straight hits.

 

Tampa Bay Rays

The Rays get here with a 78-59 record and have won 8 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 4.26 runs per game. They're batting for .242 AVG, 575 runs scored in 1096 hits and 122 home runs, ranking #19 in offense in the league behind the Seattle Mariners. Randy Arozarena leads the team in home runs with 19 and 40 RBI while Yandy Diaz is batting for .288.

Defensively they are allowing 3.70 runs per game and rank #4 in the league. Shane McClanahan leads the pitching staff with a 2.20 ERA, 182 strikeouts and 11 wins recorded with the Rays.

Probable Pitcher:  Luis Patino (1-1, 4.34 ERA)

Patino will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for Tampa Bay. He'll be making his second straight appearance in the rotation after being called up from Triple-A Durham on Monday to replace the injured Shane McClanahan (shoulder). Patino earned a no-decision against Boston last time out, pitching five innings and allowing three runs while striking out four. He has a 2-1 record with an ERA of 0.75 and 14 strikeouts in 3 appearances versus the Yankees in his career.

New York Yankees

The Yankees get here with a 84-56 record and have won 5 of their last 7 games. The team is averaging 4.89 runs per game. They're batting for .238 AVG, 675 runs scored in 1098 hits and 214 home runs, ranking #4 in offense in the league, behind the Atlanta Braves. Aaron Judge leads the team and is batting for .302 with 55 home runs and 118 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 3.48 runs per game and rank #3 in the league. Gerrit Cole leads the pitching staff with a 3.20 ERA, 218 strikeouts and 11 wins recorded with the Yanks.

Probable Pitcher:  Domingo German (2-3, 3.27 ERA)

German will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Yankees. German allowed three runs on seven hits and a walk in six innings against the Twins on Wednesday, and he'll make a start on short rest against the Rays on Sunday. Because he'll be pitching sooner than expected, the right-hander may be on a pitch count. He has a record of 3-2 with an ERA of 5.77 and 46 strikeouts in 10 appearances versus the Rays in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Tampa Bay are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games.

Tampa Bay are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees' last 5 games.

NY Yankees are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games.

NY Yankees are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Yankees offense exploded against their teammate Corey Kluber pounding him early in the game as the Yanks scored 10 runs to win the game. Domingo German will start for the Yankees who just pitched 3 days ago against the Twins and allowed 3 runs in 6 innings and has allowed 3 runs in each of his 2 starts vs Rays this season. The Rays will send Luis Patino to the mound who has done a decent job so far and the Rays are 3-2 when he has started. The Yankees are dealing with a lot of injuries right now and I expect some regression from the offense and with German coming in with short resting I think the Rays can take advantage of it and win this game. Take the Rays.

PICK: Rays ML (-110)

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