New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 3 (8/3): MLB

New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 3 (8/3): MLB

Credit: photo by  Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 1:05 p.m. EST
Yankees money line -180
Yankees run line -1.5 (+125)
Mariners money line +148
Mariners run line +1.5 (-145)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  New York Yankees  Seattle Mariners
Record 70-35 56-49
Home / road record 41-14 29-26
Last 10 record 5-5 5-5
Streak L1 W1
Over / under record 53-49-3 50-52-2
Runs / game 5.34 4.06
Runs allowed / game 3.29 3.85

 

Preview

The Seattle Mariners and the New York Yankees will play the 3rd game of the series at the Yankee Stadium on Wednesday. The Mariners took the win 8-6 in the second game of the series. Pinch-hitter Sam Haggerty opened the seventh inning with a go-ahead homer, Andrés Muñoz escaped a bases-loaded jam in the ninth to beat the New York Yankees.

New York Yankees

The Yankees get here with a 70-35 record and have won 4 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 5.34 runs per game. They're batting for .245 AVG, 545 runs scored in 839 hits and 175 home runs, ranking #1 in offense in the league. Aaron Judge leads the team and is batting for .297 with 42 home runs and 91 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 3.29 runs per game and rank #2 in the league. All-Star Nestor Cortes allowed two runs in five innings against the Mariners and leads the pitching staff with a 2.53 ERA, 111 strikeouts and 9 wins recorded with the Yanks.

Probable Pitcher:   Gerrit Cole (9-3, 3.30 ERA)

Cole will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for New York. Cole didn't factor into the decision in Friday's 11-5 win over the Royals, surrendering five runs on seven hits over six innings. He struck out nine without walking a batter. He is 6-2 with an ERA of 1.86 and 81 strikeouts in 9 appearances versus the Mariners in his career.

Seattle Mariners

The Mariners get here with a 56-49 record and have lost 4 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4.06 runs per game. They're batting for .235 AVG, 414 runs scored in 796 hits and 110 home runs, ranking #23 in offense in the league, behind the Tampa Bay Rays. Julio Rodriguez leads with 57 RBI and 18 home runs and batting for .271 avg. Ty France has the best batting average with .308.

Defensively are allowing 3.85 runs per game, ranking #5 in the league. Logan Gilbert leads the team with 10 wins and pitching for a 2.78 ERA and 118 strikeouts.

Probable Pitcher:  Luis Castillo (4-4, 2.86 ERA)

Castillo will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Mariners. Castillo was dealt from the Reds to the Mariners on Friday in a blockbuster deal, and he'll face a tough matchup at Yankee Stadium during his first start with his new team. The right-hander recorded a quality start in each of his final five appearances with the Reds, posting a 1.59 ERA. In his last start vs Yankees he allowed only 1 run across 7 innings.

BETTING TRENDS

Seattle Mariners are 16-5 SU in their last 21 games on the road.

Seattle are 3-12 SU in their last 15 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees.

The total has gone OVER in 9 of NY Yankees' last 11 games at home.

The total has gone OVER in 14 of NY Yankees' last 18 games against an opponent in the American League.

Prediction

The Mariners offense exploded in the second game of the series and scored 8 runs to beat the Yankees but they'll now face Gerrit Cole who's coming from a bad start vs Royals but has dominated the Mariners in his career holding a 1.86 ERA against them. Luis Castillo will make his debut with the Mariners and he dominated the Yankees earlier this season pitching 7 innings and allowing only 1 run. I expect both starters to hold these offenses for 6 or 7 innings so this time the total should stay under the total. 

PICK: Under 7.5 (-110)

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