New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 17 (10/17): MLB

New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 17 (10/17): MLB

Odds

Time 7:07 p.m. EST
Yankees money line -150
Yankees run line -1.5 (+145)
Guardians money line +126
Guardians run line +1.5 (-170)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  New York Yankees  Cleveland Guardians
Record 101-65 96-72
Home / road record 59-26 48-37
Last 10 record 5-5 7-3
Streak W1 L1
Over / under record 77-84-5 77-83-8
Runs / game 4.98 4.27
Runs allowed / game 3.50 3.87

 

Preview

The AL Central division champion Cleveland Guardians will now visit the AL East champion New York Yankees to play the 5th game of the AL Divisional Series on Monday. The Yankees bounced back and took the win 4-2 to tie the series 2-2.

 

New York Yankees

The Yankees get here with a 101-65 record and have lost 4 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4.98 runs per game. They're batting for .241 AVG, 807 runs scored in 1308 hits and 254 home runs, ranking #2 in offense in the league, behind the LA Dodgers. Aaron Judge leads the team and is batting for .315 with 62 home runs and 131 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 3.50 runs per game and rank #3 in the league. Gerrit Cole leads the pitching staff with a 3.50 ERA, 257 strikeouts and 13 wins recorded with the Yanks.

Probable Pitcher:  Jameson Taillon (14-5, 3.91 ERA)

Taillon will be on the mound in the 4th game of the series for the Yankees. Taillon struggled in his last start vs Rangers allowing 4 runs on 7 hits across 6 innings pitched. He is 1-2 with an ERA of 3.94 and 16 strikeouts in 3 appearances versus the Guardians in his career.

Cleveland Guardians

The Guardians get here with a 96-72 record and have won 7 of their last 10 games. They're averaging 4.27 runs and batting for .254 AVG, 698 runs scored in 1410 hits and 127 home runs, ranking #18 in offense, behind the Minnesota Twins. Jose Ramirez leads the team batting for .285 avg, 29 home runs and 126 RBI. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.87 runs per game and ranking #8 in the league. Shane Bieber leads the pitching staff with a 2.88 ERA, 198 strikeouts and 13 wins recorded with the Guardians.

Probable Pitcher: Aaron Civale (5-6, 4.92 ERA)

Civale will be on the mound in the 4th game of the series for the Guardians. In his last start, Civale allowed 2 runs on 5 hits across 7 innings pitched vs Royals. He has a record of 1-3 with an ERA of 4.78 and 23 strikeouts in 5 appearances against the Yankees in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games.

Cleveland are 15-5 SU in their last 20 games.

Cleveland are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games against NY Yankees.

Cleveland are 10-1 SU in their last 11 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 10 of NY Yankees' last 15 games.

NY Yankees are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees' last 6 games against Cleveland.

NY Yankees are 10-3 SU in their last 13 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Guardians were dominated again by Gerrit Cole and scored only 2 runs in the 4th game of the series and will now take the risk to send Aaron Civale to the mound who already lost to the Yanks twice this season allowing 6 and 4 runs in those games. Jameson Taillon will start for the Yanks who struggled in his last start but dominated the Guardians earlier this season. The Yankees are the better team and have been playing great at home so go with them to win this series.

PICK: Yankees ML (-150)

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