New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 25 (9/25): MLB

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 25 (9/25): MLB

 

Odds

Time 7:08 p.m. EST
Red Sox money line +144
Red Sox run line +1.5 (-140)
Yankees money line -175
Yankees run line -1.5 (+120)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  Boston Red Sox  New York Yankees
Record 72-79 93-58
Road / home record 35-42 55-22
Last 10 record 3-7 8-2
Streak L4 W6
Over / under record 70-71-10 73-73-5
Runs / game 4.57 5.07
Runs allowed / game 4.86 3.58

 

Preview

The New York Yankees and the Boston Red Sox will play the 4th game of the series at the Yankee Stadium on Sunday night. The Yankees have alreadyu secured this series after beating the Red Sox 7-5 yesterday and are 12-5 against them this season.

 

Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox get here with a 72-79 record and have lost 5 of their last 7 games. The team is averaging 4.57 runs per game. They're batting for .257 AVG, 678 runs scored in 1328 hits and 141 home runs, ranking #8 in offense in the league, behind the Toronto Blue Jays. Rafael Devers is leading the team with 27 home runs and 84 RBI, batting for .289 AVG.

Defensively they are allowing 4.86 runs per game and rank #25 in the league. Nick Pivetta leads the team with 10 wins recorded with a 4.35 ERA and 160 strikeouts

Probable Pitcher:  Brayan Bello (2-6, 4.75 ERA)

Bello will be on the mound in the 4th game of the series for Boston. Bello earned the victory Tuesday in Cincinnati, striking out five in five innings while allowing a run on eight hits and two walks. He has given up 3 runs (zero earned) on 6 hits with 1 walk and 6 strikeouts in 5 innings against the Yankees in his career. He has been charged with the loss.

New York Yankees

The Yankees get here with a 93-58 record and have won 8 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 5.07 runs per game. They're batting for .241 AVG, 756 runs scored in 1209 hits and 237 home runs, ranking #2 in offense in the league, behind the LA Dodgers. Aaron Judge leads the team and is batting for .315 with 60 home runs and 128 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 3.58 runs per game and rank #3 in the league. Gerrit Cole leads the pitching staff with a 3.49 ERA, 140 strikeouts and 13 wins recorded with the Yanks.

Probable Pitcher:  Nestor Cortes (10-4, 2.67 ERA)

Cortes will be on the mound in the 4th game of the series for the Yankees. Cortes did not factor into the decision Tuesday, allowing one run on five hits and two walks over five innings against Pittsburgh. He struck out four. He is 1-0 with an ERA of 7.04 and 29 strikeouts in 9 appearances against the Red Sox in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Boston are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games against NY Yankees.

Boston are 4-11 SU in their last 15 games on the road.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees.

NY Yankees are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees' last 5 games against Boston.

The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Yankees' last 7 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Yankees continue to stay hot and have won 6 games in a row scoring an average of 8 runs per game in that strecht and are 12-5 vs Red Sox this season. Nestor Cortes will start for the Yankees who has been solid lately and dominated the Red Sox earlier this season. The Red Sox will send Brayan Bello to the mound who has been up and down this season and the Red Sox lost 5-3 vs Yankees with him on the mound. This should be another close game as both starters will be solid on the mound so the best play for this game is the under.

PICK: Under 8.5 (-110)

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