New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 23 (9/23): MLB

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 23 (9/23): MLB

 

Odds

Time 7:10 p.m. EST
Red Sox money line +205
Red Sox run line +1.5 (-105)
Yankees money line -250
Yankees run line -1.5 (-105)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  Boston Red Sox  New York Yankees
Record 78-60 86-56
Home / road record 31-36 36-34
Last 10 record 5-5 7-3
Streak L1 W3
Over / under record 65-67-10 66-71-5
Runs / game 4.57 4.94
Runs allowed / game 4.86 3.48

 

Preview

The New York Yankees and the Boston Red Sox will play  the 2nd game of the series at the Fenway Park on Friday. The Yankees took the win 5-4 int he first game of the series and are 11-6 against the Red Sox this season. 

 

Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox get here with a 78-60 record and have lost 5 of their last 7 games. The team is averaging 4.57 runs per game. They're batting for .257 AVG, 624 runs scored in 1231 hits and 130 home runs, ranking #8 in offense in the league, behind the Toronto Blue Jays. Rafael Devers is leading the team with 26 home runs and 78 RBI, batting for .289 AVG.

Defensively they are allowing 4.86 runs per game and rank #25 in the league. Nick Pivetta leads the team with 9 wins recorded with a 4.29 ERA and 148 strikeouts

Probable Pitcher:  Rich Hill (7-7, 4.89 ERA)

Hill will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for Boston. Hill's 6.75 ERA and 1.72 WHIP on the month suggest he has very little left in the tank right now, and if he does return for a 19th MLB campaign in 2023, it seems highly unlikely he'll be asked to fill a traditional starting role. He has a 4-2 record with an ERA of 3.95 and 48 strikeouts in 15 appearances against the Yankees in his career.

New York Yankees

The Yankees get here with a 86-56 record and have won 7 of their last 9 games. The team is averaging 4.94 runs per game. They're batting for .238 AVG, 675 runs scored in 1098 hits and 214 home runs, ranking #3 in offense in the league, behind the Atlanta Braves. Aaron Judge leads the team and is batting for .302 with 55 home runs and 118 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 3.48 runs per game and rank #3 in the league. Gerrit Cole leads the pitching staff with a 3.20 ERA, 218 strikeouts and 11 wins recorded with the Yanks.

Probable Pitcher:  Gerrit Cole (12-7, 3.49 ERA)

Cole will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Yankees. Cole allowed 4 runs in 4 hits across 5 innings pitched against the Brewers. He is 7-3 with an ERA of 4.40 and 110 strikeouts in 15 appearances versus the Red Sox in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Boston are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against NY Yankees.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games on the road.

Boston are 2-10 SU in their last 12 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees.

NY Yankees are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games.

The total has gone OVER in 9 of NY Yankees' last 13 games against Boston.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees' last 5 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Yankees continue to stay hot and have scored 27 runs in their last 3 games and are 11-6 vs Red Sox this season. Gerrit Cole will start for the Yankees who has struggled lately and allowed 4 runs the last time he faced the Red Sox. The Red Sox will send Rich Hill to the mound who has been pounded lately and will face one of the best offenses in the league. The Yankees have the better pitcher on the mound and the offense is on fire but the best play is the over.

PICK: Over 7.5 (-110)

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