New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Spread Prediction 7/1

New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Spread Prediction 7/1

© Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Spread Prediction

 

Game Summary

The New York Mets are set to play the Washington Nationals on July 2, 2024, at 1:46 AM ET. The Mets are in the hunt for a playoff spot, while the Nationals are in a rebuilding phase. The Mets' experienced roster and strong pitching staff give them an edge in this matchup. The Nationals, though young and developing, have shown potential but struggle with consistency. This game is crucial for the Mets as they aim to gain ground in the NL East standings.

 

Odds

Bet Odds
New York Mets -1.5 146
Washington Nationals +1.5 -178

 

Pitching Probables

Pitcher Team W-L ERA Strikeouts
Max Scherzer NYM 8-6 3.45 136
Josiah Gray WSH 6-9 4.27 110

 

Team Previews

New York Mets

Hitting: The Mets have a balanced lineup featuring Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor. They excel in getting on base and driving in runs, though they have faced some inconsistency.

Relief Pitching: The bullpen, led by Edwin Diaz, has been reliable. Mets relievers maintain leads and have a strong strikeout rate.

Fielding: The Mets are solid defensively, with a high fielding percentage and few errors. Their infield defense, especially with Lindor, is a strong point.

Starting Pitchers: Max Scherzer leads the rotation with his experience and dominance. The Mets' starters are a key strength, capable of shutting down opposing offenses.

Washington Nationals

Hitting: The Nationals are developing a young lineup with potential stars like CJ Abrams and Keibert Ruiz. They can score in bursts but struggle with consistency.

Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been inconsistent, with some bright spots like Kyle Finnegan. Issues with closing out games have been a problem.

Fielding: Fielding is a work in progress for the Nationals. Errors are common, particularly with younger players adjusting to the majors.

Starting Pitchers: Josiah Gray has shown promise, but the rotation lacks depth and experience, leading to struggles in longer series.

 

Projected Starting Lineups

# New York Mets Washington Nationals
1 Brandon Nimmo Lane Thomas
2 Starling Marte CJ Abrams
3 Francisco Lindor Keibert Ruiz
4 Pete Alonso Joey Meneses
5 Jeff McNeil Jeimer Candelario
6 Brett Baty Dominic Smith
7 Mark Canha Luis Garcia
8 Omar Narvaez Riley Adams
9 Eduardo Escobar Victor Robles

 

Betting Trends

  • The Mets are 5-3 in their last 8 games against the Nationals.
  • Washington is 2-6 in their last 8 home games.
  • The Mets are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
  • The Nationals are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
  • New York has won 60% of their games when Scherzer starts.

 

Recent Games

Date Opponent Score W/L
June 30 Phillies 6-3 W
June 29 Phillies 2-1 L
June 28 Phillies 7-4 W
June 27 Braves 5-3 L
June 26 Braves 4-2 W
Date Opponent Score W/L
June 30 Marlins 7-5 L
June 29 Marlins 3-2 W
June 28 Marlins 4-1 L
June 27 Brewers 8-6 L
June 26 Brewers 5-4 L

 

Team Rankings

Category Mets Nationals
Hitting 10th 22nd
Starting Pitching 5th 18th
Relief Pitching 8th 26th
Fielding 6th 20th

 

Significant Betting Stats

  • The Mets have won 65% of their games as favorites.
  • The Nationals have lost 60% of their games as underdogs.
  • Max Scherzer has a career win percentage of 63% against the Nationals.
  • Josiah Gray has a WHIP of 1.35 in day games this season.
  • The Mets' bullpen has a save percentage of 80% in June.
  • Washington has hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games.
  • The Mets are 4-1 in Scherzer's last 5 starts against the Nationals.
  • Washington is 3-7 in their last 10 home games.
  • The Mets have a combined winning percentage of .580 in day games this season.
  • There have been fewer than 3 runs scored in the first inning in 6 of the Mets' last 10 games.

 

Prediction

Pick: New York Mets -1.5 +146

The New York Mets have a significant advantage with Max Scherzer on the mound and a well-rounded lineup. The Nationals' inconsistency and struggles against top pitchers like Scherzer make the Mets a strong pick. Betting on the Mets to cover the -1.5 spread at +146 is recommended, given their form and historical performance against the Nationals.

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