New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 5 (10/5) MLB

New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 5 (10/5) MLB

 

Odds

Time 4:10 p.m. EST
Mets money line -210
Mets run line -1.5 (-130)
Nationals money line +170
Nationals run line +1.5 (+110)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  New York Mets  Washington Nationals
Record 99-61 55-105
Home / road record 52-27 29-50
Last 10 record 4-6 3-7
Streak W5 L3
Over / under record 84-69-7 74-77-9
Runs / game 4.72 3.77
Runs allowed / game 3.79 5.25

 

Preview

The Washington Nationals and the New York Mets will play their final game of the series and the regular season at the Citi Field on Wednesday. The Mets won the 2 games of the double-header on Tuesday.

 

New York Mets

The Mets get here with a 99-61 record and have won 3 their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.72 runs per game. They're batting for .257 AVG, 751 runs scored in 1391 hits and 164 home runs, ranking #5 in offense in the league behind the St Louis Cardinals. Jeff McNeil is batting for .326 AVG while Pete Alonso leads with 40 home runs and 131 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 3.79 runs per game and rank #4 in the league. Chris Bassit leads the pitching staff with a 3.42 ERA, 167 strikeouts and 15 wins recorded with the NY Mets.

Probable Pitcher:  NA (0-0, 0.00 ERA)

The Mets haven't confirmed a starting pitcher for Wednesday against the Nationals.

Washington Nationals

The Nationals get here with a 55-105 record and have lost 8 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 3.77 runs per game. They're batting for .251 AVG, 599 runs scored in 1324 hits and 130 home runs, ranking #25 in offense in the league, behind the Kansas City Royals. Joey Meneses has a batting average of .309, 11 home runs and 25 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 5.25 runs per game and ranking #29, the second worst in the league. Josiah Gray leads the team with a 5.17 ERA, 152 strikeouts and 7 wins recorded for the Nationals.

Probable Pitcher:  Erick Fedde (6-12, 5.27 ERA)

Fedde will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Nationals. Fedde took the loss Saturday, allowing four runs on nine hits and one walk over 5.2 innings against the Marlins. He struck out four. He has a record of 1-4 with an ERA of 5.46 and 43 strikeouts in 16 appearances versus the Mets in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Washington are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games against NY Mets.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games on the road.

Washington are 3-10 SU in their last 13 games when playing on the road against NY Mets.

NY Mets are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets' last 9 games against Washington.

NY Mets are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Nationals have struggled on the road this season as they're winning only the 36% of the time and have lost 12 of the last 15 games vs Mets in New York. Fedde will start for the Nationals who has struggled lately allowing 3 or more runs in each of his last 4 starts. The Mets are probably going to rest some players as they need to play the Wild Card Series against the Padres so I'll give it a shot with the Nationals to at least cover the spread.

PICK: Nationals +1.5 (+110) 

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