New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 23 (7/23): MLB

New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 23 (7/23): MLB

Credit: photo by Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:10 p.m. EST
Mets money line -150
Mets run line -1.5 (+145)
Padres money line +126
Padres run line +1.5 (-170)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  New York Mets San Diego Padres
Record 58-36 53-42
Home / road record 28-16 28-21
Last 10 record 5-5 5-5
Streak L2 W1
Over / under record 47-41-6 41-51-2
Runs / game 4.70 4.34
Runs allowed / game 3.81 4.01

 

Preview

The New York Mets and the San Diego Padres will play the 2nd game of the series at the Citi Field on Saturday. The Padres took the win 4-1 in the first game of the series. Darvish dominated the Mets again, and Eric Hosmer hit a two-run homer.

New York Mets

The Mets get here with a 58-36 record and have lost 4 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4.7 runs per game. They're batting for .252 AVG, 437 runs scored in 796 hits and 92 home runs, ranking #5 in offense in the league tied with the Atlanta Braves. Jeff McNeil is batting for .300 AVG while Pete Alonso leads with 24 home runs and 78 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 3.81 runs per game and rank #5 in the league. Chris Bassit leads the pitching staff with a 3.79 ERA, 104 strikeouts and 7 wins recorded with the NY Mets.

Probable Pitcher:

Chris Bassit (7-6, 3.79 ERA) will be on the mound for the Mets in the 2nd game of the series. Bassitt earned the win against Atlanta on Wednesday, allowing one run on five hits and two walks over six innings. He struck out six batters. He has a 0-1 record with an ERA of 10.13 and 12 strikeouts in 2 appearances versus the Padres in his career.

San Diego Padres

The Padres get here with a 53-42 record and have won 3 of their last 4 games. The team is averaging 4.34 runs per game and they're batting for .241 AVG, have 408 runs scored in 765 hits and 77 home runs, ranking #17 in offense in the league behind the Cleveland Guardians. Manny Machado is leading the team with 15 home runs and 51 RBI and a batting average of .303.

Defensively they are allowing 4.01 runs per game and rank #9 in the league. Joe Musgrove leads the pitching staff with a 2.42 ERA, 102 strikeouts and 8 wins recorded for the Padres.

Probable Pitcher:

Blake Snell (1-5, 5.22 ERA) will be on the mound for the Padres in the 2nd game of the series. Snell pitched 3.2 innings against the Rockies, giving up five earned runs on four hits, six walks, and five strikeouts. He had no bearing on the choice. He has a 2-3 record with an ERA of 3.21 and 36 strikeouts in 5 appearances versus the Mets in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

San Diego Padres are 4-10 SU in their last 14 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Mets.

NY Mets are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games against an opponent in the National League West Division division.

NY Mets are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games played on a Saturday.

Prediction

In a duel of aces on Friday, Darvish came out as the winner and the Padres beat the Mets 4-1. For Game 2 the Padres will send Blake Snell who has struggled this season and was pounded by the Mets with 5 runs on 7 hits the last time they met. The Mets struggled against Darvish but they might have better chances this time against Snell. Chris Bassit will start for New York who also was pounded by the Padres earlier this season but he has been great since then and I expect him to bounce back and pitch good at home. Take the Mets.

PICK: Mets ML (-150)

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