New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 22 (7/22): MLB

New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 22 (7/22): MLB

Credit: photo by Dale Zanin-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:10 p.m. EST
Mets money line +144
Mets run line +1.5 (-150)
Padres money line -175
Padres run line -1.5 (+130)
Over / under 6.5

 

Key stats

  New York Mets San Diego Padres
Record 58-35 52-42
Home / road record 28-15 27-21
Last 10 record 6-4 4-6
Streak L1 L1
Over / under record 47-40-6 41-50-2
Runs / game 4.70 4.34
Runs allowed / game 3.81 4.01

 

Preview

The New York Mets and the San Diego Padres will meet again to play a 3-game series at the Citi Field. The Mets won their last 2 series before the All-Star break agains the Braves and the Cubs and the Padres beat the Dbacks 2 of 3 times. San Diego won the last series 2-1 vs Mets at home.

New York Mets

The Mets get here with a 58-35 record and have lost 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.7 runs per game. They're batting for .252 AVG, 437 runs scored in 796 hits and 92 home runs, ranking #5 in offense in the league tied with the Atlanta Braves. Jeff McNeil is batting for .300 AVG while Pete Alonso leads with 24 home runs and 78 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 3.81 runs per game and rank #5 in the league. Chris Bassit leads the pitching staff with a 3.79 ERA, 104 strikeouts and 7 wins recorded with the NY Mets.

Probable Pitcher:

Max Scherzer (6-1, 2.22 ERA) will be on the mound for the Mets in the 1st game of the series. In the second game of Saturday's doubleheader against the Cubs, Scherzer threw 6.1 innings and recorded a no-decision while giving up two runs on eight hits, a walk, and 11 strikeouts. He has a 6-2 record with an ERA of 2.87 and 142 strikeouts in 16 appearances versus the Padres in his career.

San Diego Padres

The Padres get here with a 52-42 record and lost 4 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.34 runs per game and they're batting for .241 AVG, have 408 runs scored in 765 hits and 77 home runs, ranking #17 in offense in the league behind the Cleveland Guardians. Manny Machado is leading the team with 15 home runs and 51 RBI and a batting average of .303.

Defensively they are allowing 4.01 runs per game and rank #9 in the league. Joe Musgrove leads the pitching staff with a 2.42 ERA, 102 strikeouts and 8 wins recorded for the Padres.

Probable Pitcher:

Yu Darvish (8-4, 3.41 ERA) will be on the mound for the Padres in the 1st game of the series. Darvish beat the Diamondbacks on Friday. In seven innings, he allowed three runs on five hits and two walks while striking out nine batters. He has a 4-0 record with an ERA of 2.76 and 49 strikeouts in 7 appearances against the Mets in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

San Diego are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Mets.

The total has gone UNDER in 10 of San Diego's last 15 games against an opponent in the National League.

NY Mets are 13-7 SU in their last 20 games at home.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets' last 6 games played on a Friday when at home.

Prediction

The Padres have been struggling this month as they have won only 1 series and was against the Dbacks but they beat the Mets at home earlier this season. Yu Darvish is having a good season and already dominated the Mets holding them to no runs across 7 innings. The Mets are leading the East in the National league and are 6-2 in the last 8 games playing at home vs San Diego. Max Scherzer has been insane since his return and has allowedn only 3 runs in 19.1 innings pitched. This will be an elite pitching matchup so expect both offenses to struggle, take the under.

PICK: Under 6.5 (-110)

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