New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 9 (7/9): MLB

New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 9 (7/9): MLB

Credit: photo by Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 4:10 p.m. EST
Mets money line -175
Mets run line -1.5 (+120)
Marlins money line +150
Marlins run line +1.5 (-140)
Over / under 8

 

Key stats

  New York Mets Miami Marlins
Record 52-32 40-42
Home / road record 27-14 20-25
Last 10 record 5-5 6-4
Streak L1 W1
Over / under record 44-35-5 40-39-3
Runs / game 4.77 4.38
Runs allowed / game 4.01 4.19

 

Preview

The New York Mets and the Miami Marlins will play the 3rd game of the series at the Citi Field on Friday night. The Marlins took the win on Friday's game 5-2 to tie the series. Garrett Cooper hit a two-run homer off the right field foul pole and Bryan De La Cruz doubled three times.

New York Mets

The Mets get here with a 52-32 record and have won 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.77 runs per game. They're batting for .256 AVG, 384 runs scored in 697 hits and 78 home runs, ranking #5 in offense in the league behind the Atlanta Braves. Jeff McNeil is batting for .317 AVG while Pete Alonso leads with 22 home runs and 69 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 4 runs per game and rank #10 in the league. Chris Bassit  gave up two runs and six hits in 6 1/3 innings in the loss vs Marlins. He leads the pitching staff with a 3.94 ERA, 98 strikeouts and 6 wins recorded with the NY Mets.

Probable Pitcher:  Carlos Carrasco (9-4, 4.53 ERA)

Carrasco will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Mets. On Sunday, Carrasco earned the win in a 4-1 victory over the Rangers after allowing one earned run on six hits, one walk, and eight strikeouts over 5.2 innings. He has a 3-0 record with an ERA of 2.51 and 36 strikeouts in 6 appearances against the Marlins in his career.

Miami Marlins

The Marlins get here with a 40-42 record and have won 7 of their last 9 games. The team is averaging 4.38 runs per game. They're batting for .245 AVG, have 346 runs scored in 653 hits and 88 home runs, ranking #17 in offense in the league behind the Chicago Cubs. Jazz Chisholm Jr leads with 14 home runs, 45 RBI. Garret Cooper is batting for an average of .311. 

Defensively they are allowing 4.3 runs per game and rank #13 in the league. Sandy Alcantara is leading the team with a 1.81 ERA, 107 strikeouts and 9 wins recorded.

Probable Pitcher: 

Braxton Garrett (1-3, 4.25 ERA) will take the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Marlins. Garrett pitched 7.1 innings against the Nationals, giving up just one run on four hits and one walk while striking out four. He did not factor in the decision. He has a 0-1 record with an ERA of 3.00 and 6 strikeouts in 2 appearances versus the Mets in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

Miami Marlins are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games on the road.

Miami Marlins are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Mets.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets' last 9 games against Miami.

NY Mets are 15-5 SU in their last 20 games at home.

Prediction

The Mets destroyed the Marlins in the first game of the series but struggled against Pablo Lopez who held them to one run across 5 innings but they're still 6-3 vs Miami this season. Carlos Carrasco will get the ball for this game and he has been effective against the Marlins in his career but has struggled this season. The Marlins will send Garrett to the mound who has only 6 starts this season and already lost against the Mets this season allowing 3 runs in 4 innings. I expect both offenses to pound these pitchers so the best play is the over.

PICK: Over 8 (-110)

Upgrade to View Prediction

Find more sports picks from the top sports bettors and MLB experts all in one place using our iOS and Google Play apps, as well as our other articles at Kingpin.pro.  We are the home for MLB picks, sports picks and sports betting.

Winnings $80,704
last 30 days winnings $9,330
Yesterday winnings $0
Top Sport NCAAB
W-L-D 243 - 148 - 5
Winnings % 61%
Winnings $84,140
last 30 days winnings $3,730
Yesterday winnings $600
Top Sport MLB
W-L-D 696 - 463 - 13
Winnings % 58%