New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 7 (7/7): MLB
- Pro Bets 2k
- Jul 7, 2022, 3:28:43 AM
Credit: photo by Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports
|Time||7:10 p.m. EST|
|Mets money line||-160|
|Mets run line||-1.5 (+115)|
|Marlins money line||+134|
|Marlins run line||+1.5 (-135)|
|Over / under||9|
|New York Mets||Miami Marlins|
|Home / road record||26-13||19-24|
|Last 10 record||5-5||7-3|
|Over / under record||43-34-5||39-38-3|
|Runs / game||4.77||4.38|
|Runs allowed / game||4.01||4.19|
The New York Mets and the Miami Marlins will meet again to play a 4-game series at the Citi Field in New York. The Mets won their last series on the road against the Cincinnati Reds while the Marlins tied 1-1 in a short series at home vs the Angels. The Mets are 5-2 against the Marlins this season.
New York Mets
The Mets get here with a 51-31 record and have won 4 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4.77 runs per game. They're batting for .256 AVG, 384 runs scored in 697 hits and 78 home runs, ranking #5 in offense in the league behind the Atlanta Braves. Jeff McNeil is batting for .317 AVG while Pete Alonso leads with 22 home runs and 69 RBI.
Defensively they are allowing 4 runs per game and rank #10 in the league. Chris Bassit leads the pitching staff with a 4.01 ERA, 95 strikeouts and 6 wins recorded with the NY Mets.
Probable Pitcher: Trevor Williams (1-5, 4.34 ERA)
Williams will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Mets. Chris Bassitt (illness) isn't expected to be ready to return from the COVID-19-related injured list until the weekend at the earliest, so Williams will get a second turn through the rotation as a result. Williams most recently made his seventh start of the season against the Rangers on Saturday, lasting only 3.2 innings and allowing five earned runs on five hits and one walk. Williams has a 3-1 record with an ERA of 2.32 and 23 strikeouts in 5 appearances versus the Mets in his career.
The Marlins get here with a 39-41 record and have won 6 of their last 7 games. The team is averaging 4.38 runs per game. They're batting for .245 AVG, have 346 runs scored in 653 hits and 88 home runs, ranking #17 in offense in the league behind the Chicago Cubs. Jazz Chisholm Jr leads with 14 home runs, 45 RBI. Garret Cooper is batting for an average of .311.
Defensively they are allowing 4.3 runs per game and rank #13 in the league. Sandy Alcantara is leading the team with a 1.81 ERA, 107 strikeouts and 9 wins recorded.
Daniel Castano (1-1, 2.42 ERA) will take the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Marlins. On Saturday, Castano earned the win against the Nationals, allowing three runs on four hits while striking out three and walking two over five innings. He has a 0-1 record with an ERA of 3.32 and 12 strikeouts in 4 appearances versus the Mets in his career.
Miami Marlins are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games on the road.
Miami Marlins are 2-9 SU in their last 11 games when playing on the road against NY Mets.
NY Mets are 15-5 SU in their last 20 games at home.
NY Mets are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games when playing at home against Miami.
The Marlins have been on a roll as they have won 6 of their last 7 games but they have faced struggling teams like the Nationals and the Angels. They'll now face one of the best teams in the National League at their home. The Mets have been good at home with a 26-13 record but are 19-20 ATS there. Because of Chris Bassit in the covid list the Mets will send Trevor Williams to the mound who has been up and down this season and allowed 5 runs in his last start. The Marlins are sending Castano to start this game who has only 4 starts this season but is doing a decent job. The Marlins have a 25-18 ATS record on the road and I expect them to keep this game close enough to cover the run line.
PICK: Marlins +1.5 (-110)
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