New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 9 (8/9): MLB

New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 9 (8/9): MLB

Credit: photo by Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:10 p.m. EST
Reds money line +255
Reds run line +1.5 (+125)
Mets money line -320
Mets run line -1.5 (-145)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  Cincinnati Reds  New York Mets
Record 44-64 71-39
Road / home record 20-32 36-18
Last 10 record 6-4 8-2
Streak L1 W4
Over / under record 55-52-1 57-46-7
Runs / game 4.31 4.80
Runs allowed / game 5.19 3.80

 

Preview

The New York Mets and the Cincinnati Reds will play the 2nd game series at the Citi Field. The Mets took the win 5-1 in the first game of the series.  Chris Bassitt scattered eight hits over eight innings and Starling Marte hit a two-run homer in the first, leading the New York Mets to the win.

Cincinnati Reds

The Reds get here with a 44-64 record and have lost 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.31 runs. They're batting for .239 AVG, 461 runs scored in 845 hits and 103 home runs, ranking #17 in offense in the league behind the Cleveland Guardians. Kyle Farmer leads the team with 51 RBI, 6 home runs and batting for .248 AVG.

Defensively they are allowing 5.19 runs per game and rank #28 in the league. Tyler Mahle leads the pitching staff with a 4.40 ERA, 114 strikeouts and 5 wins recorded with the Reds.

Probable Pitcher:  Mike Minor (1-8, 6.19 ERA)

Minor will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for Cincinnati. Minor gave up three earned runs on five hits and three walks while striking out six over 5.1 innings to take the loss in a 3-0 defeat against the Marlins on Wednesday. He has a record of 5-3 with an ERA of 4.56 and 58 strikeouts in 13 appearances against the Mets in his career.

New York Mets

The Mets get here with a 71-39 record and have won 6 of their last 7 games. The team is averaging 4.80 runs per game. They're batting for .259 AVG, 523 runs scored in 963 hits and 111 home runs, ranking #4 in offense in the league behind the Toronto Blue Jays. Jeff McNeil is batting for .304 AVG while Pete Alonso leads with 29 home runs and 95 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 3.80 runs per game and rank #4 in the league. Chris Bassit leads the pitching staff with a 3.61 ERA, 121 strikeouts and 8 wins recorded with the NY Mets.

Probable Pitcher:   Carlos Carrasco (12-4, 3.82 ERA)

Carrasco will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Mets. Carrasco allowed three runs on four hits and a walk with six strikeouts in six innings to pick up the win over Atlanta on Thursday. He has a 4-0 record with an ERA of 3.32 and 46 strikeouts in 8 appearances against the Reds in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Mets.

Cincinnati are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games against NY Mets.

NY Mets are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games at home.

NY Mets are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games against an opponent in the National League.

Prediction

The Mets continue to be great at home as they have won 8 of their last 9 games there and the Reds don't seem like will be able to stop them. Carlos Carrasco will take the mound on this game who has been pretty solid in their last 6 starts and the Mets have won all of them. The Reds struggled offensively against Bassit in the first of the series and will have another tough game vs Carrasco. MIke Minor will start for the Reds who has been awful so far this season and the Reds have lost in 10 of his 11 starts. Expect another easy win for the Mets as they're miles away from the Reds. 

PICK: Mets -1.5 (-145)

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