New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 8 (8/8): MLB
- Lm Tipster
- Aug 8, 2022, 1:05:18 AM
Credit: photo by Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports
Odds
| Time | 7:10 p.m. EST |
| Reds money line | +235 |
| Reds run line | +1.5 (+125) |
| Mets money line | -295 |
| Mets run line | -1.5 (-145) |
| Over / under | 8.5 |
Key stats
| Cincinnati Reds | New York Mets | |
| Record | 44-63 | 70-39 |
| Road / home record | 20-31 | 35-18 |
| Last 10 record | 6-4 | 8-2 |
| Streak | W2 | W3 |
| Over / under record | 55-51-1 | 57-45-7 |
| Runs / game | 4.31 | 4.80 |
| Runs allowed / game | 5.19 | 3.80 |
Preview
The New York Mets and the Cincinnati Reds will meet again to play a 3-game series at the Citi Field. The Mets won their last series against the Braves and the Reds beat the Brewers 2 of 3 times. The last time these teams met the Mets won the series 2-1.
Cincinnati Reds
The Reds get here with a 44-63 record and have won 6 of their last 8 games. The team is averaging 4.31 runs. They're batting for .239 AVG, 461 runs scored in 845 hits and 103 home runs, ranking #17 in offense in the league behind the Cleveland Guardians. Kyle Farmer leads the team with 51 RBI, 6 home runs and batting for .248 AVG.
Defensively they are allowing 5.19 runs per game and rank #28 in the league. Tyler Mahle leads the pitching staff with a 4.40 ERA, 114 strikeouts and 5 wins recorded with the Reds.
Probable Pitcher: Justin Dunn (0-0, 0.00 ERA)
Dunn will be on the mound in the 5th game of the series for Cincinnati. The Reds will recall Dunn from Triple-A Louisville on Monday to start their series opener against the Mets in New York. Dunn wasn't particularly sharp during his rehab stint, but he did post a respectable 3.75 ERA over 11 big-league starts last season with Seattle. Over his seven outings at Triple-A spanning 26 innings, Dunn has compiled a 6.92 ERA, 1.81 WHIP and 23:16 K:BB.
New York Mets
The Mets get here with a 70-39 record and have won 5 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4.80 runs per game. They're batting for .259 AVG, 523 runs scored in 963 hits and 111 home runs, ranking #4 in offense in the league behind the Toronto Blue Jays. Jeff McNeil is batting for .304 AVG while Pete Alonso leads with 29 home runs and 95 RBI.
Defensively they are allowing 3.80 runs per game and rank #4 in the league. Chris Bassit leads the pitching staff with a 3.61 ERA, 121 strikeouts and 8 wins recorded with the NY Mets.
Probable Pitcher: Chris Bassitt (8-7, 3.61 ERA)
Bassit will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Mets. Bassitt earned the win against the Nationals on Wednesday, allowing zero runs on six hits while striking out four and walking one over seven innings. He has allowed 3 runs on 7 hits with 1 walk and 9 strikeouts in 7.2 innings against the Reds in his career. He has been charged with the loss.
BETTING TRENDS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games on the road.
Cincinnati are 6-14 SU in their last 20 games when playing on the road against NY Mets.
NY Mets are 12-2 SU in their last 14 games.
NY Mets are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets' last 5 games against an opponent in the National League.
Prediction
The Mets are one of the hottest teams in the league and strong contenders to the World Series. They have been playing great at home and already beat the Reds earlier this season. Chris Bassit will take the mound on this game who pitched 7 scoreless innings in his last start against the Nationals but hasn't pitched vs Reds since 2019. The Reds haven't been bad actually and have won 6 of their last 8 games. Justin Dunn will make his first start of the season and I don't think he will have a warm welcome from the Mets. This should be an easy win for the Mets.
PICK: Mets -1.5 (-145)
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