New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 4 (8/4): MLB

New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 4 (8/4): MLB

Credit: photo by  Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:10 p.m. EST
Braves money line +100
Braves run line +1.5 (-200)
Mets money line -120
Mets run line -1.5 (+170)
Over / under 8

 

Key stats

  Atlanta Braves  New York Mets
Record 63-42 66-38
Road / home record 26-20 31-17
Last 10 record 6-4 8-2
Streak L1 W1
Over / under record 52-49-4 53-45-6
Runs / game 4.80 4.69
Runs allowed / game 3.91 3.74

 

Preview

The New York Mets and the Atlanta Braves will meet again to play a 5-game series at the Citi Field. The Braves tied 1-1 in a short series against the Phillies while the Mets beat the Nationals 2 of 3 times. The Mets have the lead 4-3 against the Braves so far this season.

Atlanta Braves

The Braves get here with a 63-42 record and have won 4 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.80 runs per game. They're batting for .249 AVG, 500 runs scored in 888 hits and 161 home runs, ranking #4 in offense in the league behind the Toronto Blue Jays. Austin Riley is leading the team with 29 home runs and 68 RBI while Dansby Swanson has the better batting average with .300. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.91 runs per game and rank #6 in the league. Max Fried leads the pitching staff with a 2.58 ERA, 122 strikeouts and 10 wins recorded with the Braves. 

Probable Pitcher:  Kyle Wright (13-4, 2.93 ERA)

Wright will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for Atlanta. Wright earned the win against the Diamondbacks on Friday, allowing two runs on five hits while striking out five and walking two. He has a 1-3 record with an ERA of 6.17 and 20 strikeouts in 6 appearances against the Mets in his career.

New York Mets

The Mets get here with a 65-38 record and have won 8 of their last 9 games. The team is averaging 4.69 runs per game. They're batting for .256 AVG, 483 runs scored in 897 hits and 104 home runs, ranking #5 in offense in the league tied with the Atlanta Braves. Jeff McNeil is batting for .302 AVG while Pete Alonso leads with 28 home runs and 88 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 3.74 runs per game and rank #4 in the league. Chris Bassit leads the pitching staff with a 3.61 ERA, 121 strikeouts and 8 wins recorded with the NY Mets.

Probable Pitcher:  Carlos Carrasco (11-4, 3.71 ERA)

Carrasco will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Mets. Carrasco earned the win over Miami on Saturday, allowing four hits and two walks while striking out seven batters over 7.2 scoreless innings. He is 1-1 with an ERA of 3.00 and 12 strikeouts in 3 appearances versus the Braves in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

Atlanta are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games against NY Mets.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Mets.

NY Mets are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games against an opponent in the National League.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets' last 6 games at home.

Prediction

Two of the best teams in the league and strong contenders to the Natioanal league Finals will meet again and so far the Mets have the lead 4-3 last 7 head to head games. For this game the Mets will send Carlos Carrasco to the mound who has been almost perfect in his last 3 starts as he hasn't allowed any run in the last 18.2 innings pitched and already dominated the Braves earlier this season. Kyle Wright will start for the Braves who has done a great job so far and the Braves haven't lost in his last 7 starts but lost vs Mets the last time he faced them. This should be a great pitching matchup but Carrasco has been insane lately and the Mets are at home so I'll go with the Mets to win this game.

PICK: Mets ML (-120)

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