Nationals vs Diamondbacks Prediction MLB Picks 6/19

Nationals vs Diamondbacks Prediction MLB Picks 6/19

© Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

 

MLB Preview and Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals

The Arizona Diamondbacks face off against the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park. Both teams have shown potential this season, and with the pitching matchups, the over on total runs is a favorable bet. Here’s an in-depth look at why the over of 9.5 runs is the pick for this matchup.

 

Game Overview:

  • Date: June 19, 2024
  • Time: 1:05 PM
  • Location: Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.
  • TV Coverage: Check local listings
  • Weather: 87°F, Clear

Team Breakdown:

Arizona Diamondbacks:

The Arizona Diamondbacks enter this game with a 35-37 record and a 16-19 record on the road. They are currently fourth in the National League West standings. The Diamondbacks have had a mixed season, showing both offensive power and pitching struggles.

Pitching:

Brandon Pfaadt is set to start for the Diamondbacks. Pfaadt has had a challenging season with a 3-5 record, a 4.38 ERA, and a 1.16 WHIP over 84.1 innings pitched. While he has shown flashes of potential, he has also been inconsistent, making him a risky starter against a capable Nationals lineup.

Offense:

Offensively, the Diamondbacks have been led by Christian Walker, who has 16 home runs and 49 RBIs with a .257 batting average. Ketel Marte has also been a key contributor, hitting .283 with a .504 slugging percentage. The team's overall offensive capability has been solid, often compensating for their pitching shortcomings.

Key Players:

  • Home Runs: Christian Walker (16 HR)
  • Batting Average: Ketel Marte (.283 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Christian Walker (49 RBI)

The Diamondbacks have been dealing with injuries to key players like Josh Green, Zac Gallen, Blake Walston, Miguel Castro, and Alek Thomas, impacting their overall performance.

Washington Nationals:

The Washington Nationals hold a 35-36 record and are 16-17 at home. They are currently third in the National League East standings. The Nationals have shown resilience this season, winning their last three games.

Pitching:

Patrick Corbin will start for the Nationals. Corbin has struggled significantly this season with a 1-7 record, a 5.84 ERA, and a 1.62 WHIP over 77.0 innings pitched. His inability to control the game and limit opponents' scoring opportunities has been a major weakness for the Nationals.

Offense:

The Nationals' offense is led by CJ Abrams, who has 11 home runs and 36 RBIs with a .258 batting average. Luis Garcia Jr. has been another key player, hitting .269 with a .393 slugging percentage. The Nationals have shown the ability to score runs, which will be crucial against the Diamondbacks.

Key Players:

  • Home Runs: CJ Abrams (11 HR)
  • Batting Average: Luis Garcia Jr. (.269 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Joey Meneses (36 RBI)

The Nationals' lineup has depth and the capability to put up runs, which is vital against an inconsistent Diamondbacks pitching staff.

Game Odds:

Team Moneyline Total Run Line
ARI (35-37) -150 o9.5 (+110) -1.5 (+105)
WSH (35-36) +130 u9.5 (-120) +1.5 (-125)

 

Prediction:

The prediction for this game is that the total runs will go over 9.5 (+110). Here’s why:

Both teams feature pitchers who have struggled significantly this season, with Brandon Pfaadt and Patrick Corbin both having high ERAs and inconsistent performances. The Diamondbacks and Nationals have shown the ability to score runs, especially against weaker pitching. With the combination of subpar pitching and competent offensive capabilities, a high-scoring game is likely.

Pick: Over 9.5 Runs (+110)

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