MLB Total Value Bets: Tigers vs Blue Jays 7/19

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 18, 2024, 4:27:38 PM
© Brian Bradshaw Sevald-USA TODAY Sports
MLB Total Value Bets: Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays 7/19

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Game Summary
The Detroit Tigers will face off against the Toronto Blue Jays in an intriguing MLB matchup on July 19 at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Both teams are looking to climb the standings and secure a win in this critical game. The Tigers currently hold a record of 44-52, placing them in a tie for 24th in the league. Their performance has been inconsistent, especially on the road where they are 23-28. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have a slightly better record at 47-50, ranking tied for 19th overall. However, their home performance has been average at 24-24.
Both teams have had their struggles this season, with the Tigers ranking 25th in hits and tied for 24th in runs. Their batting average stands at .236, which ranks 20th in the league. The Blue Jays, although slightly better, rank 21st in hits and 18th in runs with a batting average of .234, placing them 24th. The Blue Jays' pitching has been more consistent with an ERA of 3.95 compared to the Tigers' 4.45.
The game will be played indoors, which could provide a neutral environment for both teams. This matchup will be critical for the Tigers as they look to improve their road performance and for the Blue Jays to capitalize on their home advantage.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over 7.5 | -110 |
| Under 7.5 | -110 |
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Pitching Probables
No probable pitchers have been announced for this game.
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Team Previews
Detroit Tigers
Hitting: The Tigers have struggled offensively this season, ranking 25th in hits (748) and tied for 24th in runs (390). Their batting average is .236, which is 20th in the league. Key player Riley Greene has been a standout, leading the team with a batting average of .271, 17 home runs, and 50 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The Tigers' bullpen has recorded 23 saves, ranking tied for 18th. However, their overall pitching performance has been inconsistent with a team ERA of 4.45, placing them 24th.
Fielding: Defensively, the Tigers have committed 56 errors, ranking tied for 9th in the league. This indicates a relatively solid defensive performance despite their struggles in other areas.
Starting Pitchers: No starting pitchers have been announced for this game.
Toronto Blue Jays
Hitting: The Blue Jays' offense has also faced challenges this season, ranking 21st in hits (763) and 18th in runs (413). Their batting average is slightly lower at .234, ranking 24th. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been a key player, leading the team with a batting average of .288, 14 home runs, and 55 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The Blue Jays' bullpen has recorded 21 saves, ranking tied for 22nd. However, their overall pitching has been more consistent with a team ERA of 3.95, placing them 14th in the league.
Fielding: Defensively, the Blue Jays have committed 59 errors, ranking tied for 4th in the league. This indicates a strong defensive performance despite their offensive struggles.
Starting Pitchers: No starting pitchers have been announced for this game.
Team Injuries
Detroit Tigers
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Baez | SS | Back | Day-To-Day (Expected to be out until at least Jul 19) |
| Mark Canha | 1B | Wrist | Day-To-Day (Expected to be out until at least Jul 19) |
| Parker Meadows | CF | 10-Day IL | Expected to be out until at least Jul 19 |
| Casey Mize | SP | 15-Day IL | Expected to be out until at least Jul 28 |
| Kerry Carpenter | RF | 10-Day IL | Expected to be out until at least Aug 1 |
Toronto Blue Jays
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yimi Garcia | RP | Elbow | Day-To-Day (Expected to be out until at least Jul 19) |
| Bo Bichette | SS | Calf | Day-To-Day (Expected to be out until at least Jul 19) |
Betting Trends
- The Tigers are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
- The Blue Jays are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
- The Tigers have hit the over in 6 of their last 10 games.
- The Blue Jays have hit the under in 7 of their last 10 games.
Recent Games
Detroit Tigers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals | 5-3 | W |
| Chicago White Sox | 3-4 | L |
| Boston Red Sox | 2-6 | L |
| Houston Astros | 7-5 | W |
| Seattle Mariners | 1-4 | L |
Toronto Blue Jays
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees | 2-3 | L |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 5-4 | W |
| Baltimore Orioles | 2-1 | W |
| Texas Rangers | 1-7 | L |
| Chicago Cubs | 4-5 | L |
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Team Rankings
| Category | Detroit Tigers | Toronto Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 25th (748 Hits) | 21st (763 Hits) |
| Runs | Tied-24th (390 Runs) | 18th (413 Runs) |
| Batting Average | 20th (.236) | 24th (.234) |
| ERA | 24th (4.45 ERA) | 14th (3.95 ERA) |
| Errors | Tied-9th (56 Errors) | Tied-4th (59 Errors) |
Significant Betting Stats
- The Tigers have a worse road record (23-28) compared to their home record (21-24).
- The Blue Jays have a consistent home record (24-24) and road record (23-26).
- Detroit's team ERA is 4.45, ranking them 24th in the league.
- Toronto's team ERA is 3.95, ranking them 14th in the league.
- The Tigers' batting average is .236, ranking them 20th.
- The Blue Jays' batting average is .234, ranking them 24th.
- Detroit has committed 56 errors, ranking them tied for 9th.
- Toronto has committed 59 errors, ranking them tied for 4th.
- Detroit's recent form: 5-5 in last 10 games.
- Toronto's recent form: 4-6 in last 10 games.
Weather
The game will be played indoors at the Rogers Centre, so weather will not be a factor in this matchup.
Prediction
Pick: Over 7.5 runs
Given the offensive struggles of both teams and their relatively average pitching, the total runs line of 7.5 appears achievable. The Tigers and Blue Jays have both shown inconsistency in their pitching, which could lead to a higher-scoring game. Additionally, the indoor setting at Rogers Centre eliminates any weather-related factors that could affect scoring.
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