MLB Total Tips: Guardians vs Padres - 7/19
- Kingpin
- Jul 18, 2024, 9:51:43 PM
© Matt Kartozian-USA TODAY Sports
MLB Total Tips: Cleveland Guardians vs San Diego Padres - 7/19
Game Summary
The Cleveland Guardians are set to host the San Diego Padres at Progressive Field on July 19. This game promises to be an intriguing matchup as both teams have shown different strengths throughout the season. The Guardians, with a record of 58-37, have been formidable at home, boasting a 30-11 tally. In contrast, the Padres have a balanced away record of 24-21 and an overall record of 50-49.
Cleveland's probable starting pitcher, Tanner Bibee, has had a solid season with a 7-4 record and a 3.77 ERA over 105 innings pitched. His counterpart, Matt Waldron of the Padres, has a 5-8 record with a slightly better ERA of 3.71. The Guardians' offense has been led by Jose Ramirez, who has hit 23 home runs and driven in 77 runs, while Steven Kwan has maintained an impressive .352 batting average.
On the other hand, the Padres have their offensive star in Jurickson Profar, who leads the team with a .305 batting average and 14 home runs. The Padres' pitching and batting stats show they have the potential to put up a strong fight against the Guardians.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over 7.5 | -115 |
| Under 7.5 | -105 |
| Cleveland Guardians Moneyline | -115 |
| San Diego Padres Moneyline | -105 |
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Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Waldron (SD) | 5-8 | 3.71 | 94 | 1.17 |
| Tanner Bibee (CLE) | 7-4 | 3.77 | 123 | 1.12 |
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Team Previews
Cleveland Guardians
Hitting: The Guardians have posted a .243 team batting average, ranking 16th in the league. Jose Ramirez leads the team with 23 home runs and 77 RBIs, while Steven Kwan has been a standout with a .352 batting average. Their offensive production is complemented by timely hitting throughout the lineup.
Starting Pitchers: Tanner Bibee has been one of their reliable starters, with a 7-4 record and a 3.77 ERA. His ability to strike out batters (123 strikeouts) has been a key component of his success.
Relief Pitching: The Guardians' bullpen has been impressive, ranked 2nd in saves with 34. They have managed to close out games effectively, supported by a top-10 team ERA of 3.71.
Fielding: Defensively, the Guardians are ranked 17th with 49 errors. They have shown steady fielding, which has supported their pitching staff well.
San Diego Padres
Hitting: The Padres have posted a .261 team batting average, ranking 2nd in the league. Jurickson Profar leads the team with a .305 average and 14 home runs. They have a balanced lineup capable of producing runs in bunches.
Starting Pitchers: Matt Waldron has been a solid presence on the mound with a 5-8 record and a 3.71 ERA. His control and ability to limit base runners (1.17 WHIP) have been crucial for the Padres.
Relief Pitching: The Padres' bullpen is middle-of-the-pack with 24 saves and a team ERA of 4.16. They have had mixed results in closing out games.
Fielding: Defensively, the Padres are ranked 18th with 48 errors. Their fielding has been adequate but not exceptional.
Team Injuries
Cleveland Guardians
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Boyd | SP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
San Diego Padres
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | RP | Groin | Expected to be out until at least Jul 25 |
Betting Trends
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 8 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games against San Diego.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 home games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Diego's last 10 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 away games.
Recent Games
Cleveland Guardians
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Kansas City | 6-4 | W |
| vs Detroit | 3-2 | W |
| vs Detroit | 5-1 | W |
| @ Minnesota | 2-3 | L |
| @ Minnesota | 1-4 | L |
San Diego Padres
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Colorado | 7-3 | W |
| @ Colorado | 5-6 | L |
| vs Los Angeles | 2-3 | L |
| vs Los Angeles | 4-5 | L |
| vs San Francisco | 3-2 | W |
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Team Rankings
| Category | Cleveland Guardians | San Diego Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 20th | 1st |
| Starting Pitching | 7th | 20th |
| Relief Pitching | 2nd | 16th |
| Fielding | 17th | 18th |
Significant Betting Stats
- Cleveland is 58-37 overall and 30-11 at home.
- San Diego is 50-49 overall and 24-21 on the road.
- Tanner Bibee (CLE) has an ERA of 3.77 and 123 strikeouts.
- Matt Waldron (SD) has an ERA of 3.71 and 94 strikeouts.
- The Guardians bullpen is ranked 2nd in saves with 34.
- The Padres are ranked 1st in hitting with 876 hits.
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 8 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games against San Diego.
- The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Diego's last 10 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 away games.
Weather
The game day weather at Progressive Field in Cleveland is expected to be sunny with a temperature of 74°F.
Prediction
Pick: Under 7.5 runs
With two solid starting pitchers in Tanner Bibee and Matt Waldron, and both teams having shown a trend towards UNDER in recent games, it's likely that this game will be a low-scoring affair. Additionally, Cleveland's strong bullpen should help keep the score down, making the UNDER 7.5 a favorable bet.
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