MLB Total Tips: Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals 7/28
- Mr Wager
- Jul 27, 2024, 11:58:28 PM
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MLB Total Tips: Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals 7/28
Game Summary
The Chicago Cubs will face off against the Kansas City Royals on July 28, 2024, at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. This matchup is particularly intriguing as both teams have shown flashes of potential throughout the season but have also struggled with consistency. The Cubs come into this game with a record of 57-48, currently sitting in a competitive position within the NL Central. They have performed well on the road, with a 21-27 record, indicating their resilience away from home. The Royals, on the other hand, hold a record of 50-56 and have experienced difficulties in the American League Central, ranking lower in both hitting and pitching statistics compared to the Cubs.
As of late, the Cubs have been looking to bounce back after a mixed series against the Arizona Diamondbacks, while the Royals are attempting to build momentum following a recent win against the same team. The starting pitchers for this game are Cole Ragans for the Cubs, who has a solid 3.23 ERA, and Javier Assad for the Royals, boasting an impressive 3.15 ERA. This matchup could significantly impact both teams' playoff aspirations, making it a critical game for both sides. The betting line favors the Cubs, but the Royals will be eager to defend their home turf and prove their capabilities against a formidable opponent.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 8.5 |
| Chicago Cubs Moneyline | -122 |
| Kansas City Royals Moneyline | +100 |
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Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Assad (KC) | 4-3 | 3.15 | 1.38 | 88.2 | 81 | 81 | 41 | 12 |
| Cole Ragans (CHC) | 7-6 | 3.23 | 1.15 | 122.2 | 101 | 146 | 40 | 9 |
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Team Previews
Chicago Cubs
The Chicago Cubs have had a solid season, currently ranking 10th in runs scored with 483 and 13th in hits with 865. Their batting average sits at .251, indicating a relatively consistent offense. Important players like Bobby Witt Jr. lead the team with 71 RBIs and a batting average of .342. Their pitching staff has also been performing well, ranking 7th in team ERA at 3.72. Cole Ragans, their probable starter, has been particularly effective on the mound this season, contributing significantly to the Cubs' success.
Kansas City Royals
The Royals, however, have struggled offensively, ranking 24th in runs scored with only 424 and 24th in hits with 809. Their batting average is considerably lower at .232. The team’s pitching has been slightly better, with an ERA of 3.73. Javier Assad, starting for the Royals, has shown promise with a 3.15 ERA and a decent strikeout rate. The Royals will need to step up both their hitting and pitching to compete effectively against the Cubs.
Team Injuries
Chicago Cubs
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Kilian | RP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Jul 27 |
| Adbert Alzolay | RP | Forearm | Expected to be out until at least Aug 5 |
Kansas City Royals
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Taylor | RP | Biceps | Expected to be out until at least Jul 27 |
Betting Trends
- The Cubs are 8-2 in their last 10 games against the Royals.
- Royals have struggled at home with a 23-31 record.
- Cubs are 17-7 in their last 24 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-2 in Cubs' last 8 games following an off day.
- Over is 4-1 in Royals' last 5 games against a left-handed starter.
Recent Games
Chicago Cubs
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Arizona | L 5-2 | Loss |
| vs Arizona | L 3-0 | Loss |
| vs Arizona | W 2-1 F/10 | Win |
| vs Milwaukee | W 3-1 | Win |
| vs Milwaukee | L 1-0 | Loss |
Kansas City Royals
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Chicago | W 7-1 | Win |
| vs Chicago | W 6-1 | Win |
| vs Chicago | W 4-1 | Win |
| vs Arizona | W 10-4 | Win |
| vs Arizona | L 6-2 | Loss |
Team Rankings
| Team | Hitting | Starting Pitching | Relief Pitching | Fielding |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs | 10th | 7th | 19th | 23rd |
| Kansas City Royals | 26th | 8th | 22nd | 17th |
Significant Betting Stats
- Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 games against teams with a losing record.
- Royals are 1-4 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 7-2 in the Cubs’ last 9 games overall.
- Royals are 2-5 in their last 7 home games.
- Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a loss.
- Royals have lost 6 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning record.
- The total has gone under in 5 of the Cubs' last 6 games against the Royals.
- Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 home games against left-handed starters.
- Cubs have not been great in the field, ranking 23rd in errors.
- Cubs have a tendency to start slow, often scoring under 4 runs in the first few innings.
Weather
Forecast for July 28 shows cloudy skies with a temperature around 81°F, ideal for baseball.
Prediction
With both teams exhibiting strong pitching performances, particularly from their starting pitchers, the expected outcome leans towards a lower scoring game. The Cubs' recent offensive struggles paired with the Royals' inconsistencies suggest a tight contest. Given these factors, the best bet is on the total to stay under the line of 8.5 runs.
Pick: Under 8.5 runsGet more predictions and expert picks! :
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