MLB Total Projections: Tigers vs Dodgers 7/13
- Lm Tipster
- Jul 12, 2024, 7:27:29 PM
MLB Total Projections: Detroit Tigers vs Los Angeles Dodgers 7/13
Photo Credit: © Junfu Han / USA TODAY NETWORK
Game Summary
The Detroit Tigers will face off against the Los Angeles Dodgers on July 13 at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Both teams are gearing up for this matchup with their respective starters, Keider Montero for the Tigers and Justin Wrobleski for the Dodgers. The Tigers, currently holding a 45-49 record, are aiming to climb up the standings, while the Dodgers, with a strong 55-39 record, look to maintain their dominance in the league. This game is crucial for both teams as they navigate through the mid-season grind and aim for a strong finish.
The Tigers have shown a balanced performance at home and on the road, but their inconsistency has been a hindrance. On the other hand, the Dodgers have been formidable both at home and away, showcasing their depth and strength in the lineup. Historical matchups between these teams have often been competitive, and this game promises to be another exciting chapter in their rivalry.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Bet Type | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 9.5 |
| Detroit Tigers Moneyline | -104 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline | -118 |
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | Team | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keider Montero | Detroit Tigers | 1-2 | 4.64 | 19 | 1.17 |
| Justin Wrobleski | Los Angeles Dodgers | 0-1 | 7.20 | 4 | 1.40 |
Team Previews
Detroit Tigers
Hitting: The Tigers have struggled offensively, ranking 24th in batting average (.231) and 21st in hits (730). Riley Greene has been their standout performer with a .266 average and 17 home runs. The team needs more consistency from the rest of the lineup to improve their run production.
Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been a mixed bag for Detroit, with a 3.92 ERA ranking them 14th in the league. Their 21 saves place them in the middle of the pack, but they need to tighten up to support their starters better.
Fielding: The Tigers have committed 56 errors, ranking 6th in the league. Improved defensive play is crucial for them to support their pitchers and limit opponent scoring opportunities.
Starting Pitchers: Keider Montero has had a challenging season with a 4.64 ERA and a 1-2 record. He needs to focus on limiting walks and home runs to give his team a better chance at winning.
Los Angeles Dodgers
Hitting: The Dodgers' offense has been potent, ranking 3rd in runs (463) and 6th in batting average (.254). Shohei Ohtani has been the driving force with a .314 average, 28 home runs, and 66 RBIs. Their lineup depth makes them a tough opponent for any pitching staff.
Relief Pitching: The Dodgers' bullpen has been solid, with a 3.71 ERA and 27 saves, ranking 7th in the league. They have the ability to shut down games late, which is a significant advantage.
Fielding: Los Angeles has committed 45 errors, ranking 23rd in the league. Their defense needs to be more reliable to support their pitching staff and prevent unearned runs.
Starting Pitchers: Justin Wrobleski has struggled with a 7.20 ERA and an 0-1 record. He needs to find his rhythm and reduce his ERA to become a more effective starter for the Dodgers.
Team Injuries
Detroit Tigers
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Meadows | CF | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Jul 19 |
| Kerry Carpenter | RF | Back | Expected to be out until at least Aug 1 |
Los Angeles Dodgers
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | SP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Aug 19 |
| Brusdar Graterol | RP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Jul 30 |
Betting Trends
- The total has gone over in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games.
- The total has gone over in 5 of Los Angeles's last 7 games.
- Detroit is 3-7 in their last 10 games against Los Angeles.
- Los Angeles is 5-2 in their last 7 games.
- The total has gone over in 6 of Detroit's last 9 home games.
Recent Games
Detroit Tigers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Cleveland | W 10-1 | W |
| vs Cleveland | W 5-4 | W |
| vs Cleveland | L 9-8 | L |
| vs Cleveland | W 1-0 | W |
| @ Cincinnati | W 5-1 | W |
Los Angeles Dodgers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Philadelphia | L 5-1 | L |
| @ Philadelphia | L 4-3 | L |
| @ Philadelphia | L 10-1 | L |
| vs Milwaukee | W 5-3 | W |
| vs Milwaukee | W 8-5 | W |
Team Rankings
| Category | Detroit Tigers | Los Angeles Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 24th | 6th |
| Starting Pitching | 14th | 7th |
| Relief Pitching | 14th | 7th |
| Fielding | 6th | 23rd |
Significant Betting Stats
- Detroit is 21-21-4 O/U as an underdog.
- Los Angeles is 27-17-1 O/U as a favorite.
- Detroit's games have gone over 9.5 runs in 3 of their last 5 home games.
- Los Angeles's games have gone over 9.5 runs in 4 of their last 6 road games.
- Detroit has a team ERA of 3.92, ranked 14th in the league.
- Los Angeles has a team ERA of 3.71, ranked 7th in the league.
- Detroit's bullpen has allowed 56 errors, 6th most in the league.
- Los Angeles's bullpen has allowed 45 errors, 23rd in the league.
- Detroit's batting average is .231, ranked 24th in the league.
- Los Angeles's batting average is .254, ranked 6th in the league.
Weather
The weather for the game at Comerica Park is expected to be mostly sunny with a temperature of 85°F. This should provide ideal conditions for both teams to perform at their best.
Prediction
Pick: Over 9.5 runs
Given the recent form of both teams and the pitching probables for this game, it is likely that the total runs will exceed 9.5. The Tigers have been inconsistent on the mound, and their offense has shown signs of life recently. Meanwhile, the Dodgers have a potent lineup capable of scoring runs in bunches, especially against a pitcher with an ERA of 4.64 like Montero. The weather conditions are also conducive to a high-scoring game. All these factors point towards a game that is likely to go over the projected total.
