MLB Total Projections: Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners 7/29
- A Plus Picks
- Jul 28, 2024, 4:34:10 PM
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MLB Total Projections: Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners 7/29
Game Summary
The Boston Red Sox will face off against the Seattle Mariners on July 29 at the historic Fenway Park in Boston. This matchup features the Red Sox, who currently hold a record of 55-48, and the Mariners, who are slightly behind with a record of 55-51. Both teams are vying for playoff positions, making this game crucial for their postseason aspirations.
The Red Sox have shown a strong home performance, although they have struggled at times, highlighted by their 25-26 record at home. Their offense ranks 8th in runs scored with 497, while their pitching staff holds a 13th place ranking in ERA at 3.89.
On the other hand, the Mariners, despite their offensive struggles, ranking 28th in runs with 406, have managed to stay competitive due to their exceptional pitching, which leads the league with a 3.36 ERA. This matchup features two contrasting styles, with the Red Sox looking to leverage their hitting against the Mariners' impressive pitching.
The starting pitchers for this game will be Nick Pivetta for the Red Sox and Logan Gilbert for the Mariners. Pivetta has had a tough season, holding a 4.50 ERA and a 4-7 record, while Gilbert boasts a solid 2.72 ERA with a 6-6 record. The game is set to commence at 7:10 PM ET.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 8.0 |
| Boston Red Sox Moneyline | -122 |
| Seattle Mariners Moneyline | +100 |
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Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Gilbert (SEA) | 6-6 | 2.72 | 0.86 | 139.0 | 132 | 26 | 15 |
| Nick Pivetta (BOS) | 4-7 | 4.50 | 1.18 | 84.0 | 102 | 21 | 15 |
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Team Previews
Boston Red Sox
The Boston Red Sox have been a formidable team this season, showing great potential with their offensive capabilities. Their batting average of .258 ranks them 3rd in the league, showcasing their ability to get on base and make contact. Key players like Rafael Devers, who leads the team with a .294 average, 23 home runs, and 64 RBIs, have been crucial in driving the offense.
However, their pitching has been a mixed bag. Nick Pivetta's struggles have been evident, as he holds a 4.50 ERA, which is on the higher side for a starting pitcher. The team manages a 3.89 ERA overall, which puts them in the middle of the pack in terms of pitching efficiency. Their relief pitching, while decent with 27 total saves, has shown vulnerabilities in high-pressure situations.
Seattle Mariners
The Seattle Mariners, despite their lack of offensive firepower, have found success thanks to their pitching staff. With a league-leading 3.36 ERA, they have consistently kept opposing teams at bay. Logan Gilbert, who will be starting in this matchup, has been a key contributor, boasting a stellar 2.72 ERA and a 0.86 WHIP, making him one of the more effective pitchers in the league.
Offensively, the Mariners rank near the bottom with a .218 batting average and only 406 runs scored, indicating a significant gap in their performance. Cal Raleigh, leading the team with 21 home runs and 63 RBIs, represents their best hope for run production. The Mariners will need to find more consistency at the plate if they hope to compete in this game against a potent Red Sox lineup.
Team Injuries
Boston Red Sox Injuries
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vaughn Grissom | 2B | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Aug 9 |
Seattle Mariners Injuries
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Woo | SP | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Aug 2 |
Betting Trends
- The Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the Mariners.
- Seattle is 2-5 in their last 7 road games.
- The total has gone over in 4 of Boston's last 6 games.
- Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record.
Recent Games
Boston Red Sox Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Los Angeles | L 4-1 | L |
| @ Los Angeles | L 7-6 F/11 | L |
| @ Los Angeles | L 9-6 | L |
| @ Colorado | L 9-8 F/12 | L |
| @ Colorado | W 6-0 | W |
Seattle Mariners Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Houston | L 3-0 | L |
| vs Houston | L 4-2 | L |
| vs Houston | W 6-4 | W |
| vs Los Angeles | L 3-1 | L |
| vs Los Angeles | L 5-1 | L |
Team Rankings
| Team | Hitting | Starting Pitching | Relief Pitching | Fielding |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox | 3rd | 13th | Tied-11th | Tied-1st |
| Seattle Mariners | 30th | 1st | Tied-9th | Tied-9th |
Significant Betting Stats
- The Red Sox have a batting average of .258, ranking 3rd in the league.
- The Mariners rank 29th in batting average at .218.
- Boston has scored 497 runs, good for 8th in the league.
- Seattle has given up only 406 runs, ranking them 1st in ERA at 3.36.
- Nick Pivetta has allowed 78 hits in 84 innings pitched.
- Logan Gilbert has a WHIP of 0.86, among the best in the league.
- The Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games against Seattle.
- Seattle is 2-5 in their last 7 road games.
- The total has gone over in 4 of Boston's last 6 games.
- The Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 against teams with a winning record.
Weather
Cloudy, temperature around 81°F.
Prediction
**Pick: Over 8.0 runs**
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