MLB Total Projections: Houston Astros vs Miami Marlins - 7/11

Game Summary

The Houston Astros are set to host the struggling Miami Marlins on Thursday, 8:10 PM EDT, at Minute Maid Park. The Astros come into the game on an impressive eight-game home winning streak, boasting a 48-44 record overall, and a solid 26-19 record at home. Houston has been particularly adept at slugging, ranking fourth in the American League with a collective .421 slugging percentage. Key performers like Yordan Alvarez, who has 21 doubles, a triple, and 19 home runs, and Alex Bregman, who is 13-for-41 with two home runs in the last ten games, have been instrumental in this performance.

On the other hand, the Miami Marlins are languishing near the bottom of the NL East with a 32-60 record overall and a dismal 14-29 record on the road. The Marlins have struggled both offensively and defensively. They are only 22-10 when they have more hits than their opponents. Jazz Chisholm has been a bright spot, leading the team with a .256 batting average and contributing 12 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs, and 41 RBIs. However, the team has been significantly outscored, especially in the last ten games where they have a 3-7 record with a .230 batting average and a 4.60 ERA.

Houston has dominated the series so far, winning both previous matchups this season. With their current form and home advantage, they are favored to extend their winning streak.

 

Odds and Betting Lines

Market	Odds
Over/Under	8.5
Astros Moneyline	-197
Marlins Moneyline	+163

 

Pitching Probables

Pitcher	W-L	ERA	WHIP	Strikeouts
Roddery Munoz (MIA)	1-3	5.48	1.47	40
Jake Bloss (HOU)	0-0	4.91	1.91	2

 

Team Previews

Houston Astros

Hitting: The Astros have been strong offensively, ranking 2nd in the league with 837 hits and 9th with 442 runs. Their team batting average of .264 leads the AL. Jose Altuve leads the team with a .309 batting average, while Yordan Alvarez has hit 19 home runs and driven in 51 runs.

Relief Pitching: The Astros' bullpen has recorded 21 saves, ranking tied-18th in MLB. However, their relievers have struggled with a collective 4.10 ERA, which ranks 18th.

Fielding: Houston's defense has been solid, committing 39 errors, which is the 29th fewest in the league.

Starting Pitchers: The starting rotation has been hit hard by injuries, impacting their overall performance. Jake Bloss, with a 4.91 ERA over limited innings, will need to step up.

Miami Marlins

Hitting: The Marlins rank 24th in hits with 714 and 29th in runs with just 320. Their team batting average of .230 ranks 25th in the league. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has been their best hitter, posting a .256 average with 15 home runs.

Relief Pitching: Miami's bullpen has struggled mightily, with just 15 saves, ranking 30th. Their collective ERA of 4.54 ranks 27th in MLB.

Fielding: The Marlins have committed 62 errors, making them one of the least reliable defensive teams in baseball, tied for 2nd most errors in MLB.

Starting Pitchers: Roddery Munoz has had a tough season with a 5.48 ERA. The rotation as a whole has been poor, contributing to their overall struggles.

 

Team Injuries

Houston Astros

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Yordan Alvarez	LF	Hip	Day-to-day
Jake Bloss	SP	Shoulder	15-Day IL
Victor Caratini	C	Hip	10-Day IL
Justin Verlander	SP	Neck	15-Day IL
Cristian Javier	SP	Forearm	60-Day IL
Kyle Tucker	RF	Shin	10-Day IL
Jose Urquidy	SP	Forearm	60-Day IL
Oliver Ortega	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Bennett Sousa	RP	Shoulder	60-Day IL
Penn Murfee	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Luis Garcia	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Lance McCullers Jr.	SP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Kendall Graveman	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL

Miami Marlins

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Ryan Weathers	SP	Finger	60-Day IL
Otto Lopez	2B	Back	10-Day IL
Sixto Sanchez	SP	Shoulder	60-Day IL
Braxton Garrett	SP	Elbow	15-Day IL
Jesus Luzardo	SP	Back	60-Day IL
Josh Simpson	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Eury Perez	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Sandy Alcantara	SP	Elbow	60-Day IL

 

Betting Trends

• Astros are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
• Astros have a .267 batting average in their last 10 games.
• Astros have outscored their opponents by 18 runs in their last 10 games.
• Marlins are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
• Marlins have a .230 batting average in their last 10 games.
• Marlins have been outscored by 17 runs in their last 10 games.
• Astros are 26-19 at home this season.
• Marlins are 14-29 on the road this season.
• Astros hitters have a collective .421 slugging percentage.
• Marlins are 22-10 when they have more hits than their opponents.

 

Recent Games

Astros	Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Miami	W 4-3	Win
vs Miami	W 9-1	Win
@ Minnesota	L 3-2	Loss
@ Minnesota	L 9-3	Loss
@ Minnesota	W 13-12	Win

 

Marlins	Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Houston	L 4-3	Loss
@ Houston	L 9-1	Loss
vs Chicago	W 7-4	Win
vs Chicago	W 4-3	Win
vs Chicago	L 3-2	Loss

 

Team Rankings

Category	Astros	Marlins
Hitting	2nd	24th
Starting Pitching	18th	27th
Relief Pitching	18th	30th
Fielding	29th	2nd

 

Significant Betting Stats

• Astros are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
• Astros have a .267 batting average in their last 10 games.
• Astros have outscored their opponents by 18 runs in their last 10 games.
• Marlins are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
• Marlins have a .230 batting average in their last 10 games.
• Marlins have been outscored by 17 runs in their last 10 games.
• Astros are 26-19 at home this season.
• Marlins are 14-29 on the road this season.
• Astros hitters have a collective .421 slugging percentage.
• Marlins are 22-10 when they have more hits than their opponents.

 

Weather

The forecast for the game at Minute Maid Park in Houston predicts cloudy skies with a temperature of 84°F. As the venue is an indoor stadium, weather conditions will not significantly impact the game.

 

Prediction