MLB Total Predictions Today: White Sox vs Pirates 7/13

- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 12, 2024, 7:30:15 PM
MLB Total Predictions Today: Chicago White Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates 7/13
Photo Credit: © Matt Marton-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Chicago White Sox will host the Pittsburgh Pirates on July 13 at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, Illinois. This game features two teams on opposite ends of the performance spectrum this season. The White Sox have struggled significantly, with a record of 27-68, placing them last in the American League Central Division. On the other side, the Pirates boast a more respectable 45-48 record, sitting in the middle of the National League Central Division standings.
Chris Flexen (2-7, 4.95 ERA) is set to start for the White Sox, while Luis Ortiz (4-2, 2.95 ERA) will take the mound for the Pirates. Flexen has had a tough season, with a high ERA and a losing record. Ortiz, on the other hand, has been a bright spot for the Pirates, maintaining a sub-3 ERA and a winning record.
Both teams have faced issues in hitting and fielding, but the White Sox have particularly struggled, ranking near the bottom in several offensive categories. The Pirates have shown more consistency, especially in their pitching, which could be the deciding factor in this matchup.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 8.5 |
| Chicago White Sox Moneyline | -122 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline | +100 |
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Flexen (CHW) | 2-7 | 4.95 | 67 | 1.38 |
| Luis Ortiz (PIT) | 4-2 | 2.95 | 52 | 1.18 |
Team Previews
Chicago White Sox
Hitting: The White Sox have struggled offensively this season, ranking 29th in hits (690), 30th in runs (306), and 29th in batting average (.220). Andrew Vaughn leads the team with a .240 batting average, while Paul DeJong has the most home runs (16).
Relief Pitching: The bullpen has not been a strong point for the White Sox, with only 17 saves (tied for 28th) and an ERA of 4.53, ranking 26th in the league.
Fielding: Defensively, the White Sox have committed 55 errors, ranking them tied for 8th in the league, which has been a contributing factor to their poor record.
Starting Pitchers: Chris Flexen has struggled as a starting pitcher, with a 2-7 record and a 4.95 ERA. His high WHIP of 1.38 indicates that he allows too many base runners, which has hurt the team.
Pittsburgh Pirates
Hitting: The Pirates have fared slightly better offensively, ranking 25th in hits (722), 22nd in runs (383), and 27th in batting average (.229). Bryan Reynolds has been a standout performer with a .277 batting average and 17 home runs.
Relief Pitching: The Pirates have been relatively strong in relief, with 24 saves (tied for 13th) and an ERA of 3.90, ranking 13th in the league.
Fielding: Defensively, the Pirates have committed 47 errors, placing them 18th in the league. While not stellar, their defense has been adequate.
Starting Pitchers: Luis Ortiz has been a bright spot in the rotation, boasting a 4-2 record and a 2.95 ERA. His WHIP of 1.18 is much lower than Flexen's, indicating better control and fewer base runners allowed.
Team Injuries
Chicago White Sox
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Foster | RP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 |
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Borucki | RP | Wrist | Expected to be out until at least Jul 12 |
Betting Trends
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago White Sox's last 7 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago White Sox's last 5 home games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh Pirates' last 6 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh Pirates' last 7 road games.
Recent Games
Chicago White Sox
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Minnesota | L 3-2 | L |
| vs Minnesota | W 3-1 | W |
| @ Miami | L 7-4 | L |
| @ Miami | L 4-3 | L |
| @ Miami | W 3-2 | W |
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Milwaukee | W 1-0 | W |
| @ Milwaukee | L 9-0 | L |
| @ Milwaukee | W 12-2 | W |
| vs New York | W 8-2 | W |
| vs New York | L 3-2 | L |
Team Rankings
| Category | Chicago White Sox | Pittsburgh Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 29th | 25th |
| Starting Pitching | 26th | 13th |
| Relief Pitching | 28th | 13th |
| Fielding | 8th | 18th |
Significant Betting Stats
- Chicago White Sox are 27-68 overall.
- Pittsburgh Pirates are 45-48 overall.
- Chicago White Sox have a home record of 17-31.
- Pittsburgh Pirates have a road record of 23-24.
- Chicago White Sox have a team ERA of 4.53.
- Pittsburgh Pirates have a team ERA of 3.90.
- Chicago White Sox have committed 55 errors.
- Pittsburgh Pirates have committed 47 errors.
- Chicago White Sox have hit 306 runs this season.
- Pittsburgh Pirates have hit 383 runs this season.
Weather
The weather in Chicago on game day is expected to be partly sunny with a temperature of 86°F. For more details, check the AccuWeather forecast.
Prediction
Pick: Over 8.5 runs
The pitching matchup features Chris Flexen, who has struggled this season with a 4.95 ERA, against Luis Ortiz, who has been solid with a 2.95 ERA. However, considering the White Sox's recent trend of games going over the total and the Pirates' ability to score runs, the over 8.5 runs seems like a strong pick. The White Sox's weak bullpen and high error rate could also contribute to a higher-scoring game.


