MLB Total Predictions: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cubs 7/20

- Kingpin
- Jul 20, 2024, 3:43:51 AM
© Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports

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MLB Total Predictions Today: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago Cubs 7/20
Game Summary
The Arizona Diamondbacks will face off against the Chicago Cubs on July 20th at Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois. This matchup features two teams with varying strengths and weaknesses, which should make for an interesting contest. The Diamondbacks, currently holding a 47-52 record, will look to improve their standing against the Cubs, who have a slightly better record of 50-48.
Arizona will rely on their starting pitcher, Zac Gallen, to set the tone. Gallen comes into the game with a 6-5 record and a 3.87 ERA. On the other side, the Cubs will counter with Kyle Hendricks, who has struggled this season with a 2-7 record and a 6.78 ERA. Both teams have had their ups and downs, but the Cubs' home advantage and recent form might give them the edge.
Offensively, the Cubs have been one of the better teams in the league, ranking 2nd in runs scored and 8th in hits. They will look to exploit the Diamondbacks’ pitching deficiencies. However, Arizona's pitching staff, led by Gallen, has been relatively solid, ranking 9th in ERA. The Diamondbacks will need a strong outing from Gallen to keep the game close.
Overall, this game promises an intriguing battle between a strong offensive team and a capable pitching staff. The betting lines and odds will reflect the nuances of this matchup, making it a compelling game for bettors and fans alike.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over 8.5 | 100 |
| Under 8.5 | -122 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline | +160 |
| Chicago Cubs Moneyline | -180 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 | -140 |
| Chicago Cubs -1.5 | +120 |
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Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zac Gallen (ARI) | 6-5 | 3.87 | 76 |
| Kyle Hendricks (CHC) | 2-7 | 6.78 | 50 |
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Team Previews
Arizona Diamondbacks
Hitting: The Diamondbacks rank 16th in runs scored and 22nd in batting average. Key players include Michael Busch, who leads the team with a .270 batting average, and Christopher Morel with 18 home runs. They will need contributions from their entire lineup to stay competitive.
Relief Pitching: Arizona's bullpen has been middle-of-the-pack, with 22 saves ranking them 21st in the league. They will need their relievers to step up against a potent Cubs lineup.
Fielding: The Diamondbacks have committed 53 errors, ranking 13th in the league. Solid defense will be crucial to support their pitching staff.
Starting Pitchers: Zac Gallen leads the rotation with a 3.87 ERA and 76 strikeouts. The Diamondbacks will rely heavily on his performance to set the tone for the game.
Chicago Cubs
Hitting: The Cubs are one of the best offensive teams in the league, ranking 2nd in runs scored and 8th in hits. Ketel Marte leads the team with a .295 batting average, while Christian Walker has been a power threat with 22 home runs and 68 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: Chicago's bullpen has struggled, with only 21 saves ranking them 22nd. They will need better performances from their relievers to close out games.
Fielding: The Cubs have committed 42 errors, ranking 28th in the league. Improving their defense will be key to supporting their pitching staff.
Starting Pitchers: Kyle Hendricks has had a difficult season with a 6.78 ERA. The Cubs will need a strong outing from him to keep the Diamondbacks' offense in check.
Team Injuries
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | SP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
| Jordan Montgomery | SP | Knee | Expected to be out until at least Jul 23 |
Chicago Cubs
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Merryweather | RP | Ribs | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 |
| Jordan Wicks | SP | Oblique | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
| Ben Brown | RP | Neck | Expected to be out until at least Aug 5 |
Betting Trends
- Arizona is 4-1 in their last 5 games on the road.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games.
- Chicago is 6-2 in their last 8 games at home.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games against Arizona.
- Arizona is 2-4 in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago.
- Chicago is 8-3 in their last 11 games against an opponent in the NL West division.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games played on a Saturday.
- Arizona is 3-7 in their last 10 games against Chicago.
- Chicago is 4-1 in their last 5 games against a right-handed starter.
- The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chicago's last 10 games at home.
Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs | 5-2 | W |
| Chicago Cubs | 7:15 PM | Upcoming |
| Chicago Cubs | 7:20 PM | Upcoming |
| Kansas City Royals | 8:10 PM | Upcoming |
| Kansas City Royals | 8:10 PM | Upcoming |
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Team Rankings
| Category | Arizona Diamondbacks | Chicago Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 22nd | 7th |
| Starting Pitching | 9th | 26th |
| Relief Pitching | 21st | 22nd |
| Fielding | 13th | 28th |
Significant Betting Stats
- Arizona is 4-1 in their last 5 games on the road.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games.
- Chicago is 6-2 in their last 8 games at home.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games against Arizona.
- Arizona is 2-4 in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago.
- Chicago is 8-3 in their last 11 games against an opponent in the NL West division.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games played on a Saturday.
- Arizona is 3-7 in their last 10 games against Chicago.
- Chicago is 4-1 in their last 5 games against a right-handed starter.
- The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chicago's last 10 games at home.
Weather
Intermittent clouds, 76°F
Prediction
Pick: Over 8.5 runs
Given the struggling starting pitchers, particularly Kyle Hendricks with his 6.78 ERA, and the strong offensive capabilities of the Cubs, this game has a high potential for runs. The Cubs have consistently performed well offensively, and the Diamondbacks have shown recent trends towards higher-scoring games. Expect both teams to capitalize on the pitching weaknesses, pushing the total over 8.5 runs.
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