MLB Total Predictions and Picks: Houston Astros vs Pittsburgh Pirates 7/30

- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 30, 2024, 11:11:09 AM
MLB Total Predictions and Picks: Houston Astros vs Pittsburgh Pirates 7/30
Photo Credit: None
Game Summary
The Houston Astros (55-51) will look to bounce back against the Pittsburgh Pirates (54-52) in Game 2 of their series on July 30, 2024, at Minute Maid Park in Houston. After suffering a 5-3 loss to the Pirates on July 29, the Astros are eager to equalize the series. Houston has a solid home record of 30-23 this season and has performed well in games where they out-hit their opponents (45-16). In contrast, the Pirates have held their own on the road, with a record of 28-26. They have proven to be a formidable opponent when scoring five or more runs, boasting a remarkable 34-7 record in those scenarios. This matchup marks the second meeting between the two teams this season, with the first game resulting in a win for Pittsburgh. Both teams come into this game with mixed results in their last ten games; the Astros are 5-5 with a .257 batting average and a 3.93 ERA, while the Pirates have been slightly better at 6-4 with a .236 batting average and a 3.34 ERA. Key players to watch include Yordan Alvarez for the Astros, who has 20 home runs this season, and Bryan Reynolds for the Pirates, leading his team with 18 home runs. The outcome of this game will be crucial for both teams as they vie for playoff positioning in their respective divisions.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 8.5 |
| Houston Astros Moneyline | +100 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline | -122 |
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Falter (PIT) | 4-7 | 4.08 | 1.20 | 61 |
| Hunter Brown (HOU) | 9-6 | 4.00 | 1.37 | 118 |
Team Previews
Houston Astros
The Houston Astros are currently ranked 12th in runs (495) and 2nd in hits (952) in the league, showcasing their offensive potential. They maintain a .262 batting average, which ranks them 2nd overall. Key offensive contributors include Yordan Alvarez, who leads with 20 home runs and 57 RBIs, and Jose Altuve, boasting an impressive .311 batting average. Despite their offensive prowess, the Astros' pitching staff has an ERA of 4.02, ranking 15th in the league. Hunter Brown has been a key asset in their rotation, striking out 118 batters in 110.1 innings pitched. However, injuries to key players such as Justin Verlander and Kyle Tucker could impact their performance.
Pittsburgh Pirates
The Pittsburgh Pirates have had a challenging season offensively, ranking 23rd in runs (441) and 25th in hits (828). Their batting average of .231 ranks them 26th in the league. Bryan Reynolds, with 18 home runs and 61 RBIs, has been the standout performer for the Pirates. The team's pitching has been more reliable, with a collective ERA of 3.81, placing them 11th in the league. Bailey Falter, while struggling with a 4.08 ERA, has shown moments of brilliance. The Pirates are also dealing with injuries, including Daulton Jefferies and Ji-Hwan Bae, which could affect their lineup depth.
Team Injuries
Houston Astros
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Verlander | SP | Neck | Expected to be out until at least Aug 5 |
| Blair Henley | SP | Undisclosed | Expected to be out until at least Aug 5 |
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Daulton Jefferies | RP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 10 |
| Josh Palacios | RF | Hamstring | Probable for Jul 30 |
| Ji-Hwan Bae | CF | Knee | Probable for Jul 30 |
Betting Trends
- The Pirates are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
- The Astros are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
- The Pirates have a record of 34-7 when scoring five or more runs.
- The Astros have a 45-16 record when they out-hit their opponents.
- The total has gone over in 4 of the Astros' last 6 games.
- The total has gone under in 4 of the Pirates' last 5 games.
Recent Games
Houston Astros
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Los Angeles | W5-0 | W |
| vs Los Angeles | W7-6 | W |
| vs Los Angeles | L6-2 | L |
| vs Pittsburgh | L5-3 | L |
| @ Oakland | W8-1 | W |
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Arizona | W6-5 F/10 | W |
| @ Houston | W5-3 | W |
| @ Arizona | L9-5 | L |
| @ Arizona | L4-3 | L |
| vs St. Louis | W5-0 | W |
Weather
Intermittent clouds with a temperature of 88°F.
Prediction
With both teams showing fluctuating offensive capabilities and the Astros struggling with key injuries, the under seems to be a viable prediction. The total set at 8.5 runs appears high given the Pirates' recent trend of low-scoring games and Houston's pitching depth. Both starting pitchers, Hunter Brown and Bailey Falter, have shown the ability to keep runs down. Expect a competitive matchup but with limited scoring opportunities. Therefore, the pick is to bet on the total to go under.
Pick: Under 8.5 runsGet more predictions and expert picks! :
```




