MLB Total Predictions and Picks: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates 7/26

- Mr Wager
- Jul 25, 2024, 10:23:58 PM
MLB Total Predictions and Picks: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates 7/26
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Game Summary
The Arizona Diamondbacks are set to host the Pittsburgh Pirates at Chase Field on July 26. This matchup promises to be an intriguing contest between two teams that have shown flashes of brilliance this season. The Diamondbacks, currently holding a 53-50 record, have been strong at home with a 26-24 record. Their offense, led by Ketel Marte and Christian Walker, ranks 7th in hits and 3rd in runs scored. However, their pitching has been a bit inconsistent, with an ERA ranking 27th in the league.
On the other side, the Pittsburgh Pirates are coming into this game with a 52-50 record. They have been competitive both at home and on the road, holding a 26-26 record at home and a 26-24 record away. Their pitching staff has been a standout, ranking 11th in ERA, led by Luis Ortiz, who has a 5-2 record with a 2.57 ERA. Offensively, the Pirates have struggled, ranking 24th in hits and 22nd in runs scored. Oneil Cruz has been their most consistent hitter, leading the team in average, home runs, and RBIs.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Bet Type | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over 8.5 | -104 |
| Under 8.5 | -118 |
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Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Ortiz (PIT) | 5-2 | 2.57 | 1.11 | 73.2 | 61 | 59 | 21 | 3 |
| Z. Gallen (ARI) | 7-5 | 3.64 | 1.25 | 81.2 | 75 | 80 | 27 | 8 |
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Team Previews
Arizona Diamondbacks
Hitting: The Diamondbacks have been potent offensively, ranking 7th in hits with 879 and 3rd in runs scored with 509. Ketel Marte leads the team with a .296 batting average, while Christian Walker has been a power threat, hitting 23 home runs and driving in 70 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been a weak spot, ranking 27th in ERA at 4.50. They have recorded 23 saves, placing them 21st in the league.
Fielding: Defensively, the Diamondbacks have committed 42 errors, ranking 29th in the league. This has been an area of concern throughout the season.
Starting Pitchers: Zac Gallen has been a reliable starter with a 7-5 record and a 3.64 ERA. He has struck out 80 batters over 81.2 innings pitched.
Pittsburgh Pirates
Hitting: The Pirates have struggled offensively, ranking 24th in hits with 800 and 22nd in runs scored with 422. Oneil Cruz has been their most consistent hitter, leading the team with a .250 average, 15 home runs, and 51 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been effective, ranking 11th in ERA at 3.77. They have recorded 26 saves, placing them 13th in the league.
Fielding: Defensively, the Pirates have committed 50 errors, ranking 20th in the league. They have shown improvement in this area as the season has progressed.
Starting Pitchers: Luis Ortiz has been outstanding with a 5-2 record and a 2.57 ERA. He has struck out 59 batters over 73.2 innings pitched.
Team Injuries
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | SP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds | LF | Bereavement List | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
Betting Trends
- The Diamondbacks have hit the over in 53 of their 104 games this season.
- The Pirates have hit the under in 53 of their 104 games this season.
- Arizona is 26-24 at home, while Pittsburgh is 26-24 on the road.
- The Diamondbacks are 12th in wins with 53, while the Pirates are 17th with 52.
- Arizona's ERA ranks 27th in the league, while Pittsburgh's ranks 11th.
- The Diamondbacks rank 8th in batting average at .252, while the Pirates rank 26th at .232.
- Arizona's offense ranks 3rd in runs scored, while Pittsburgh's ranks 22nd.
- The Pirates have committed 50 errors, ranking 20th in the league, while the Diamondbacks have committed 42, ranking 29th.
- The Diamondbacks have been strong in night games, while the Pirates have struggled under the lights.
- Arizona's bullpen has been inconsistent, while Pittsburgh's has been reliable.
Recent Games
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Chicago | W5-2 | Win |
| @ Chicago | W3-0 | Win |
| @ Chicago | L2-1 F/10 | Loss |
| @ Kansas City | L10-4 | Loss |
| @ Kansas City | W6-2 | Win |
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Philadelphia | W8-7 | Win |
| vs Philadelphia | W4-1 | Win |
| vs Philadelphia | L6-0 | Loss |
| vs St. Louis | W2-1 | Win |
| vs St. Louis | L2-1 | Loss |
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Team Rankings
| Category | Arizona Diamondbacks | Pittsburgh Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 7th | 24th |
| Starting Pitching | 27th | 11th |
| Relief Pitching | 21st | 13th |
| Fielding | 29th | 20th |
Significant Betting Stats
- Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the over in 53 of 104 games this season.
- Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the under in 53 of 104 games this season.
- Arizona is 26-24 at home this season.
- Pittsburgh is 26-24 on the road this season.
- The Diamondbacks' bullpen ranks 27th in ERA.
- The Pirates' bullpen ranks 11th in ERA.
- Arizona ranks 3rd in runs scored this season.
- Pittsburgh ranks 22nd in runs scored this season.
- The Pirates have committed 50 errors this season.
- The Diamondbacks have committed 42 errors this season.
Weather
The weather at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona, is expected to be intermittently cloudy with a high temperature of 106°F.
Prediction
This matchup features a high-powered Diamondbacks offense against a strong Pirates pitching staff. Arizona's offensive prowess combined with Pittsburgh's reliable bullpen sets the stage for a competitive game. However, with Zac Gallen and Luis Ortiz on the mound, both of whom have performed well this season, the total runs scored may be kept in check. The Diamondbacks' inconsistent bullpen and the Pirates' offensive struggles suggest that this game might stay under the total of 8.5 runs.
Pick: Under 8.5 runs
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