MLB Total Prediction: Rockies vs Mets 7/13

- Mr Wager
- Jul 12, 2024, 7:48:06 PM
MLB Total Prediction: Colorado Rockies vs New York Mets 7/13
Photo Credit: © Wendell Cruz-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Colorado Rockies will face off against the New York Mets at Citi Field in Queens, New York, on July 13. The Rockies come into this game with a 47-45 record, performing decently both at home and on the road. However, they have struggled recently, losing four of their last five games. The Mets, on the other hand, have had a tough season with a 33-61 record. They have been particularly poor on the road but have shown some resilience at home with a 20-27 record.
The pitching matchup will feature Christian Scott for the Rockies and Ryan Feltner for the Mets. Scott has had a turbulent season with a 0-2 record and an ERA of 4.15, while Feltner has struggled more with a 1-8 record and a 5.29 ERA. Both teams have shown inconsistency in their pitching and hitting departments, making this an intriguing matchup for bettors.
The Rockies' offense ranks 10th in hits and runs, with standout performances from players like Brandon Nimmo and Pete Alonso. The Mets, meanwhile, rank 13th in hits but only 21st in runs, indicating a struggle to convert hits into runs. Their best hitters, such as Brenton Doyle and Ryan McMahon, will need to step up to give the Mets a fighting chance. With both teams dealing with injuries and inconsistent performances, this game could go either way.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 9.0 |
| Colorado Rockies Moneyline | +105 |
| New York Mets Moneyline | -125 |
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts | WHIP | Innings Pitched |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Scott (COL) | 0-2 | 4.15 | 30 | 1.03 | 39.0 |
| Ryan Feltner (NYM) | 1-8 | 5.29 | 84 | 1.43 | 98.2 |
Team Previews
Colorado Rockies
Hitting: The Rockies rank 10th in hits (791) and runs scored (446) with a team batting average of .249. Brandon Nimmo leads the team with a .252 batting average, while Pete Alonso has hit 18 home runs and accumulated 62 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The Rockies' bullpen has been middle-of-the-pack with 23 saves, placing them 17th in the league. Their relief pitching has been inconsistent, which has cost them several close games.
Fielding: Defensively, the Rockies have committed 63 errors, ranking 3rd in the league. Fielding lapses have contributed to their struggles, particularly in tight games.
Starting Pitchers: The Rockies' starting rotation has an ERA of 4.18, ranking 21st in the league. Christian Scott, with a 4.15 ERA, will need to be at his best against a Mets lineup looking to bounce back.
New York Mets
Hitting: The Mets rank 13th in hits (775) and 21st in runs scored (386) with a team batting average of .244. Brenton Doyle leads the team with a .277 average, while Ryan McMahon has been the power hitter with 14 home runs and 45 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The Mets' bullpen has been among the worst in the league, with only 19 saves, ranking them 25th. Their relievers have struggled to close out games, leading to many late-inning collapses.
Fielding: Defensively, the Mets have committed 46 errors, ranking 19th in the league. While not the worst, fielding mistakes have cost them in crucial moments.
Starting Pitchers: The Mets' starting rotation has an ERA of 5.58, the worst in the league. Ryan Feltner's 5.29 ERA epitomizes their struggles, and he will need to find form to give the Mets a chance.
Team Injuries
Colorado Rockies
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Jones | LF | Undisclosed | Expected to be out until at least Jul 13 |
New York Mets
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Reid-Foley | RP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Jul 25 |
Betting Trends
- The total has gone OVER in 8 of Colorado's last 12 games.
- Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against the Mets.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of the Mets' last 6 games.
- The Mets are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games.
- Colorado is 2-4 SU in its last 6 road games.
Recent Games
Colorado Rockies
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Kansas City | L 10-1 | L |
| Kansas City | W 3-1 | W |
| Kansas City | W 4-2 | W |
| Milwaukee | W 4-3 | W |
| Milwaukee | L 3-0 | L |
New York Mets
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Washington | W 7-0 | W |
| Washington | W 6-2 | W |
| Washington | W 7-5 | W |
| Pittsburgh | L 8-2 | L |
| Pittsburgh | W 3-2 | W |
Team Rankings
| Category | Colorado Rockies | New York Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 10th | 13th |
| Starting Pitching | 21st | 30th |
| Relief Pitching | 17th | 25th |
| Fielding | 3rd | 19th |
Significant Betting Stats
- Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against the Mets.
- The total has gone OVER in 8 of Colorado's last 12 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of the Mets' last 6 games.
- The Mets are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games.
- Colorado is 2-4 SU in its last 6 road games.
- Mets' starting pitcher Ryan Feltner has a 5.29 ERA this season.
- Rockies' starting pitcher Christian Scott has a 4.15 ERA this season.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of the last 6 games between these teams at Citi Field.
- Colorado is 6-4 SU in its last 10 games.
- Mets are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games at home.
Weather
Partly sunny with thunderstorms expected, and a temperature around 80°F.
Prediction
Pick: Over 9.0 runs
Given the struggles of both starting pitchers and the recent form of both teams, the over 9.0 runs bet looks attractive. Both the Rockies and the Mets have shown the ability to score and have struggled defensively. The weather conditions may also play a role in making this a high-scoring game.


