MLB Total Play: Yankees vs Rays 7/19

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 18, 2024, 5:23:13 PM
© Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports
MLB Total Play: New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays 7/19

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Game Summary
The New York Yankees will host the Tampa Bay Rays at Yankee Stadium on July 19th. This matchup features two competitive teams from the American League East. The Yankees, currently holding a 58-40 record, have been strong contenders this season, particularly at home where they hold a 25-19 record. Their ace, Gerrit Cole, will take the mound, bringing his 2-1 record and 5.40 ERA into the game. Despite his higher ERA, Cole's strikeout ability will be key against a Rays lineup that has struggled offensively this season.
On the other side, the Tampa Bay Rays, with an even 48-48 record, have shown resilience throughout the season. Zach Eflin, with a 5-6 record and a 3.99 ERA, will start for the Rays. Eflin's consistent performance will be critical for the Rays as they aim to improve their road record of 21-21. The Rays' offense, ranked 28th in runs, will need to step up against the Yankees' formidable pitching staff.
Both teams have their strengths and weaknesses, making this an intriguing matchup. The Yankees' offense, led by Aaron Judge, who boasts a .306 batting average and 34 home runs, will be a significant challenge for Eflin and the Rays. Conversely, the Rays will rely on players like Yandy Diaz, who leads the team with a .273 batting average, to generate offense against Cole.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over 8.0 | -115 |
| Under 8.0 | -105 |
| New York Yankees Moneyline | -115 |
| Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline | -105 |
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Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | Team | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerrit Cole | New York Yankees | 2-1 | 5.40 | 26 |
| Zach Eflin | Tampa Bay Rays | 5-6 | 3.99 | 78 |
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Team Previews
New York Yankees
Hitting: The Yankees have a strong lineup, led by Aaron Judge who has a .306 average with 34 home runs and 85 RBIs. The team ranks 1st in runs scored with 488 and 11th in hits with 806.
Relief Pitching: The Yankees' bullpen has been effective, with 27 saves (8th in MLB) and a team ERA of 3.54, ranking 4th overall.
Fielding: Defensively, the Yankees have committed 58 errors, ranking 7th in the league.
Starting Pitchers: Gerrit Cole, despite a higher ERA of 5.40, remains a strikeout threat with 26 strikeouts in 23.1 innings pitched.
Tampa Bay Rays
Hitting: The Rays' offense has struggled, ranking 28th in runs scored with 376 and 23rd in hits with 754. Yandy Diaz leads the team with a .273 average.
Relief Pitching: The Rays have 31 saves, tied for 4th in MLB, but their bullpen ERA is 4.20, ranking 21st.
Fielding: The Rays have committed 46 errors, ranking 22nd in the league.
Starting Pitchers: Zach Eflin has been a consistent starter for the Rays with a 3.99 ERA and 78 strikeouts in 99.1 innings pitched.
Team Injuries
New York Yankees
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rizzo | 1B | Forearm | Expected to be out until at least Aug 15 |
| Nick Burdi | RP | Hip | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 |
| Jose Trevino | C | Quadriceps | Expected to be out until at least Aug 10 |
| Lou Trivino | RP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 2 |
| J.T. Brubaker | SP | Oblique | Expected to be out until at least Aug 2 |
Tampa Bay Rays
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Springs | SP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Jul 24 |
Betting Trends
- The Yankees are 7-3 in their last 10 home games.
- The Rays are 5-5 in their last 10 road games.
- The Yankees have hit the over in 6 of their last 10 games.
- The Rays have hit the under in 7 of their last 10 games.
Recent Games
New York Yankees
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Boston | 5-4 | W |
| vs Boston | 3-2 | L |
| vs Boston | 6-5 | W |
| @ Houston | 7-6 | W |
| @ Houston | 4-5 | L |
Tampa Bay Rays
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Boston | 2-3 | L |
| @ Boston | 1-4 | L |
| @ Boston | 5-6 | L |
| vs Houston | 4-3 | W |
| vs Houston | 2-1 | W |
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Team Rankings
| Category | New York Yankees | Tampa Bay Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 11th | 23rd |
| Starting Pitching | 4th | 21st |
| Relief Pitching | 8th | 4th |
| Fielding | 7th | 22nd |
Significant Betting Stats
- The Yankees are 58-40 overall.
- The Rays are 48-48 overall.
- The Yankees have a team ERA of 3.54.
- The Rays' bullpen has 31 saves, tied for 4th in MLB.
- Aaron Judge leads MLB with 34 home runs.
- Yandy Diaz leads the Rays with a .273 batting average.
- The Yankees have committed 58 errors, ranking 7th in MLB.
- The Rays' offense ranks 28th in runs scored.
- The Yankees have hit the over in 6 of their last 10 games.
- The Rays have hit the under in 7 of their last 10 games.
Weather
The weather forecast for the game is partly sunny with a temperature of 83°F. Check the latest forecast here.
Prediction
Pick: Under 8.0 runs
Given the starting pitchers' performances and the Rays' struggling offense, the under seems like a solid bet. Gerrit Cole, despite his higher ERA, has the potential to dominate the Rays' lineup. Zach Eflin's consistency should help keep the Yankees' powerful offense in check. Both teams have shown trends towards the under in recent games, indicating a lower-scoring affair.
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