MLB Total Play: Red Sox vs Athletics - 7/10

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 9, 2024, 7:12:38 PM
MLB Total Play: Boston Red Sox vs Oakland Athletics - 7/10
Get ready for an exciting showdown at Fenway Park as the Boston Red Sox take on the Oakland Athletics on July 10. This matchup promises to bring intense action, with both teams looking to improve their standings in their respective divisions. Let's dive into the details and make an informed total play pick for this game.
Game Summary
The Boston Red Sox, currently holding a record of 49-40, will host the Oakland Athletics, who are struggling with a 34-58 record. The Red Sox have been performing well, especially on the road, with a 29-17 away record. In contrast, the Athletics have faced challenges both at home and on the road, with a 22-25 home record and a dismal 12-33 road record.
Historically, the Red Sox have had the upper hand in this rivalry, and their current form suggests they are likely to continue that trend. However, the Athletics will be looking to upset the odds and gain some momentum as they battle through a tough season.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over 9.5 | -110 |
| Under 9.5 | -110 |
| Boston Red Sox Moneyline | -110 |
| Oakland Athletics Moneyline | -110 |
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Pivetta (BOS) | 4-5 | 4.06 | 1.14 | 68.2 | 60 | 78 | 18 | 13 |
| JP Sears (OAK) | 5-7 | 4.74 | 1.27 | 95.0 | 91 | 68 | 30 | 13 |
Team Previews
Boston Red Sox
Hitting: The Red Sox have a solid offensive lineup, ranking 9th in hits with 772 and 13th in runs scored with 414. Rafael Devers leads the team with a .293 batting average, 21 home runs, and 55 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been reliable, with 24 saves, ranking them 12th in the league.
Fielding: The Red Sox have committed 67 errors, which is the most in the league. This is a critical area they need to improve on.
Starting Pitchers: Nick Pivetta, with a 4-5 record and a 4.06 ERA, will be on the mound. He has shown flashes of brilliance but can be inconsistent at times.
Oakland Athletics
Hitting: The Athletics have struggled offensively, ranking 27th in hits with 682 and 28th in both runs scored (347) and batting average (.224). Brent Rooker is their standout hitter with a .278 average, 18 home runs, and 54 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been less effective, with only 17 saves, ranking 27th in the league.
Fielding: The Athletics have committed 57 errors, ranking 4th in the league. They need to tighten up their defense to support their pitchers better.
Starting Pitchers: JP Sears, with a 5-7 record and a 4.74 ERA, will start for the Athletics. He has been decent but will need to step up against a strong Red Sox lineup.
Team Injuries
Boston Red Sox
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vaughn Grissom | 2B | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
Oakland Athletics
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Blackburn | SP | Foot | Expected to be out until at least Jul 24 |
Betting Trends
- Red Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 games.
- Athletics are 2-5 in their last 7 games.
- The total has gone over in 4 of the Red Sox's last 6 games.
- The total has gone under in 4 of the Athletics' last 6 games.
Recent Games
Boston Red Sox
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ New York | 3-0 | W |
| @ New York | 4-14 | L |
| @ New York | 5-3 | W |
| @ Miami | 6-5 | W |
| @ Miami | 7-2 | W |
Oakland Athletics
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Baltimore | 3-6 | L |
| vs Baltimore | 19-8 | W |
| vs Baltimore | 2-3 | L |
| vs Los Angeles | 5-0 | W |
| vs Los Angeles | 5-0 | W |
Team Rankings
| Category | Boston Red Sox | Oakland Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 9th | 27th |
| Starting Pitching | 7th | 23rd |
| Relief Pitching | 12th | 27th |
| Fielding | 1st | 4th |
Significant Betting Stats
- Red Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 games against right-handed starters.
- Athletics are 2-5 in their last 7 games against right-handed starters.
- The total has gone over in 4 of Red Sox last 6 games when playing as the favorite.
- The total has gone under in 4 of Athletics last 6 games when playing as the underdog.
- Red Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 home games.
- Athletics are 2-5 in their last 7 road games.
- Red Sox have hit the over in 52% of their games this season.
- Athletics have hit the under in 51% of their games this season.
- Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the Athletics.
- The total has gone over in 3 of the last 5 games between these two teams.
Weather
The weather forecast for the game at Fenway Park is sunny with a temperature of 84°F. This should be ideal conditions for a high-scoring game.
Prediction
Pick: Over 9.5 runs
Considering the hitting capabilities of the Boston Red Sox and the struggles of the Oakland Athletics' pitching staff, the over 9.5 runs seems a favorable bet. The Red Sox have been consistent offensively, and Fenway Park's conditions should support a high-scoring affair. Additionally, both starting pitchers have ERAs above 4.00, further indicating potential for a run-heavy game.


