MLB Total Play: Phillies vs Pirates 7/19

- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 18, 2024, 3:20:29 PM
© Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports
MLB Total Play: Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates 7/19

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Game Summary
The Philadelphia Phillies are set to face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates on July 19 at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. The Phillies come into this matchup with a 48-48 record, looking to break even and push forward in the standings. On the other hand, the Pittsburgh Pirates have been a standout team this season, boasting a 62-34 record and leading the league in several key metrics.
The Phillies will be sending Aaron Nola to the mound. Nola has been reliable this season, with an 11-4 record and a 3.38 ERA. His performance will be crucial against a Pirates lineup that ranks 3rd in hits and 4th in runs. The Pirates, however, have yet to announce their starting pitcher, which could play a pivotal role in the outcome of the game.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over 7.5 | -110 |
| Under 7.5 | -110 |
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Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nola (PHI) | 11-4 | 3.38 | 116 |
| Undecided (PIT) | -- | -- | -- |
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Team Previews
Philadelphia Phillies
Hitting: The Phillies' offense has struggled this season, ranking 24th in hits and 27th in batting average. They have managed to score 402 runs, placing them 21st in the league. Key players like Bryce Harper and Alec Bohm will need to step up to boost the Phillies' offensive output.
Relief Pitching: The Phillies' bullpen has been relatively solid, securing 25 saves and ranking tied for 14th in the league. However, injuries to key relievers like Dylan Covey and Luis Ortiz have put a strain on their depth.
Fielding: Defensively, the Phillies have committed 48 errors, ranking them tied for 18th in the league. They will need to tighten up their fielding to support their pitching staff.
Starting Pitchers: Aaron Nola has been the standout performer in the starting rotation, with an 11-4 record and a 3.38 ERA. The rest of the rotation has been plagued by injuries, with Zack Wheeler, Taijuan Walker, and Ranger Suarez all currently sidelined.
Pittsburgh Pirates
Hitting: The Pirates' offense has been one of the best in the league, ranking 3rd in hits and batting average, and 4th in runs scored. Bryan Reynolds has been a key contributor, leading the team with 18 home runs and 61 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The Pirates' bullpen has been effective, recording 26 saves and ranking tied for 9th in the league. They have managed to keep their ERA at 3.41, which is the 2nd best in the league.
Fielding: Defensively, the Pirates have committed 56 errors, ranking them tied for 9th in the league. Their solid fielding has been a key factor in their success this season.
Starting Pitchers: The Pirates' starting rotation has been impressive, with a team ERA of 3.41. The undecided starting pitcher for this game will need to maintain this high standard to keep the Phillies' offense in check.
Team Injuries
Philadelphia Phillies
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zack Wheeler | SP | Back | Expected to be out until at least Jul 22 |
| Taijuan Walker | SP | Finger | Expected to be out until at least Aug 2 |
| J.T. Realmuto | C | Knee | Expected to be out until at least Jul 22 |
| Dylan Covey | RP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Aug 2 |
| Luis Ortiz | RP | Elbow | Out for the season |
| Michael Rucker | RP | Hand | Expected to be out until at least Jul 19 |
| Ranger Suarez | SP | Back | Expected to be out until at least Jul 22 |
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Borucki | RP | Wrist | Expected to be out until at least Jul 19 |
Betting Trends
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games.
- Philadelphia is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games against Pittsburgh.
- Pittsburgh is 7-3 SU in their last 10 games at home.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games on the road.
Recent Games
Philadelphia Phillies
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Miami Marlins | 4-5 | L |
| @ Miami Marlins | 2-3 | L |
| vs Washington Nationals | 5-4 | W |
| vs Washington Nationals | 6-2 | W |
| vs Washington Nationals | 3-2 | W |
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Chicago Cubs | 3-2 | W |
| @ Chicago Cubs | 4-1 | W |
| @ Chicago Cubs | 1-2 | L |
| vs Milwaukee Brewers | 7-5 | W |
| vs Milwaukee Brewers | 5-4 | W |
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Team Rankings
| Category | Philadelphia Phillies | Pittsburgh Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 24th | 3rd |
| Starting Pitching | 13th | 2nd |
| Relief Pitching | 14th | 9th |
| Fielding | 18th | 9th |
Significant Betting Stats
- The Phillies have a 48-48 overall record and are 26-24 on the road.
- The Pirates have a 62-34 overall record and are 37-16 at home.
- The Phillies are 21st in runs scored, while the Pirates are 4th.
- The Phillies are 27th in batting average, while the Pirates are 3rd.
- The Phillies' bullpen has secured 25 saves, ranking tied for 14th in the league.
- The Pirates' bullpen has secured 26 saves, ranking tied for 9th in the league.
- The Phillies have a team ERA of 3.86, ranking 13th in the league.
- The Pirates have a team ERA of 3.41, ranking 2nd in the league.
- The Phillies have committed 48 errors, ranking tied for 18th in the league.
- The Pirates have committed 56 errors, ranking tied for 9th in the league.
Weather
Mostly sunny with a high temperature of 83°F. Weather details.
Prediction
Given the strong pitching performances from both teams and the tendency for recent games to go under the total, the under 7.5 runs looks like a solid bet for this matchup. Aaron Nola has been consistent for the Phillies, and the Pirates' bullpen has been effective throughout the season. Expect a low-scoring affair as both teams battle it out at PNC Park.
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