MLB Total Picks: Yankees vs Rays 7/20

- Kingpin
- Jul 20, 2024, 3:16:05 AM
© Wendell Cruz-USA TODAY Sports
MLB Total Picks: New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays 7/20

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Game Summary
The New York Yankees will host the Tampa Bay Rays at Yankee Stadium on July 20. The Yankees, currently holding a record of 58-40, are performing exceptionally well this season. They have a solid home record of 25-19 and an even more impressive road record of 33-21. The Yankees have been dominant in their division, thanks to their robust lineup and strong pitching rotation. On the other hand, the Tampa Bay Rays are at .500 with a 48-48 record. The Rays have shown resilience with a balanced record both at home (27-27) and on the road (21-21).
Both teams come into this game with strong performances from their respective pitching rotations. The Yankees will likely start Nestor Cortes, who has a 4-8 record with a 3.67 ERA. The Rays will counter with Taj Bradley, who sports a 4-4 record and an impressive 2.90 ERA. This game promises to be a competitive match-up with both teams eyeing a crucial win to improve their standings.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Betting Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 8.5 |
| New York Yankees Moneyline | -115 |
| Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline | -105 |
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Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestor Cortes (NYY) | 4-8 | 3.67 | 110 |
| Taj Bradley (TB) | 4-4 | 2.90 | 85 |
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Team Previews
New York Yankees
Hitting: The Yankees' offense is spearheaded by Aaron Judge, who is leading the team with a .306 batting average, 34 home runs, and 85 RBIs. The team has accumulated 806 hits, ranking 11th in the league, and they lead the league in runs scored with 488.
Relief Pitching: The Yankees' bullpen has been reliable, recording 27 saves, which is 8th in the league. Their overall ERA is 3.54, ranking 4th in the league.
Fielding: Defensively, the Yankees have committed 58 errors, ranking 7th in the league. Their solid fielding percentage has been a key factor in their success.
Starting Pitchers: Nestor Cortes has been a workhorse for the Yankees, pitching 115.1 innings with 110 strikeouts and maintaining a 3.67 ERA.
Tampa Bay Rays
Hitting: The Rays' offense has struggled this season, ranking 23rd in hits with 754 and 28th in runs scored with 376. Yandy Diaz leads the team with a .273 batting average, while Isaac Paredes has contributed 15 home runs.
Relief Pitching: The Rays' bullpen has been a bright spot, with 31 saves, ranking 4th in the league. However, their overall ERA of 4.20 ranks 21st in the league.
Fielding: Defensively, the Rays have committed 46 errors, tying them for 22nd in the league. Their fielding has been inconsistent, contributing to their struggles this season.
Starting Pitchers: Taj Bradley has been impressive with a 2.90 ERA and 85 strikeouts in 68.1 innings pitched. He will be crucial in this matchup against the Yankees' potent lineup.
Team Injuries
New York Yankees
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Giancarlo Stanton | DH | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
| Jon Berti | 3B | Calf | Expected to be out until at least Aug 2 |
| Clarke Schmidt | SP | Lat | Expected to be out until at least Aug 12 |
Tampa Bay Rays
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yandy Diaz | 1B | Personal | Probable for Jul 20 |
Betting Trends
- The Yankees have hit the over in 51 of their 104 games (49.0%) this season.
- The Rays have hit the over in 46 of their 98 games (46.9%) this season.
- In their last 10 games, the Yankees have gone 6-4, while the Rays have gone 4-6.
- The Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- The Rays are 2-3 in their last 5 road games.
Recent Games
New York Yankees
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Tampa Bay | 5-4 | W |
| vs Tampa Bay | 2-1 | W |
| vs Tampa Bay | 3-5 | L |
| vs Tampa Bay | 6-2 | W |
| vs Tampa Bay | 4-3 | W |
Tampa Bay Rays
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ New York | 4-5 | L |
| @ New York | 1-2 | L |
| @ New York | 5-3 | W |
| @ New York | 2-6 | L |
| @ New York | 3-4 | L |
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Team Rankings
| Category | New York Yankees | Tampa Bay Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 11th | 23rd |
| Starting Pitching | 4th | 21st |
| Relief Pitching | 8th | 4th |
| Fielding | 7th | 22nd |
Significant Betting Stats
- The Yankees are 45-10 as favorites this season.
- The Rays are 15-25 as underdogs this season.
- The Yankees have a run differential of +150, while the Rays have a run differential of -30.
- Aaron Judge has been a key player, with a WAR of 6.5.
- The Yankees' bullpen has a strikeout rate of 29%, one of the best in the league.
- The Rays' bullpen has struggled with a WHIP of 1.35.
- The Yankees' starters have a combined ERA of 3.54.
- The Rays' starters have a combined ERA of 4.20.
- The Yankees have hit the over in 49% of their games this season.
- The Rays have hit the under in 53% of their games this season.
Weather
The weather for the game at Yankee Stadium is expected to be intermittent clouds with a temperature of 85°F. For more details, visit the Weather page.
Prediction
Pick: Over 8.5 runs
Given the Yankees' potent offense led by Aaron Judge and the Rays' inconsistent pitching, this game has the potential to see a lot of runs. Both teams have shown the ability to score and given the recent form of their pitchers, the over 8.5 runs is a solid bet. Nestor Cortes and Taj Bradley have been solid, but the Yankees' offense might be too much for the Rays to handle.
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