MLB Total Picks Today: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates
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MLB Total Picks Today: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates

MLB Total Picks Today: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates

MLB Total Picks Today: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Commence Time: August 2
Bookmaker: FanDuel
Market: totals

Team 1: Arizona Diamondbacks (Odds: -104)
Team 2: Pittsburgh Pirates (Odds: -118)

Photo Credit: None

Game Summary

The Arizona Diamondbacks are set to face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates on August 2 at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. The matchup is significant as both teams are vying for playoff positions in the National League. Currently, the Diamondbacks hold a record of 55-53 and are looking to build on their recent positive momentum, having won their last few games. The Pirates, with a record of 58-51, are performing well at home, boasting a 31-25 record at PNC Park.

Both teams have experienced ups and downs this season, but their recent performances indicate that they are peaking at the right time. The Diamondbacks have struggled with consistency, particularly in their hitting, ranking 24th in runs scored with 451 overall. Meanwhile, the Pirates have had a more robust offensive output, ranking 2nd in the league with 558 runs. This offensive capability will be crucial as both teams look to assert their dominance in this crucial game.

Pitching will also play a vital role in the outcome of this matchup. Luis Ortiz will take the mound for the Diamondbacks, sporting a respectable 2.75 ERA and a solid strikeout rate. On the other hand, Brandon Pfaadt, with a 3.92 ERA, will look to stabilize the Pirates' rotation. The matchup promises to be a battle between the Diamondbacks' strong pitching and the Pirates' potent lineup, making it a must-watch game for fans and bettors alike.

Odds and Betting Lines

Market Odds
Over/Under 8.5
Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline -104
Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline -118

Pitching Probables

Pitcher W-L ERA WHIP IP H K BB HR
Luis Ortiz (ARI) 5-2 2.75 1.14 78.2 66 63 24 4
Brandon Pfaadt (PIT) 5-6 3.92 1.11 126.1 113 115 27 15

Team Previews

Arizona Diamondbacks

The Arizona Diamondbacks are struggling offensively, ranking 24th in the league with only 451 runs scored. Their batting average of .232 is among the lowest in MLB, indicating issues in generating consistent offense. The team has relied heavily on a few key players, including Bryan Reynolds, who leads the team with a .285 batting average and 61 RBIs. Defensively, their pitching staff has been a bright spot, ranking 7th in ERA at 3.77, largely due to the efforts of Ortiz.

Despite their offensive struggles, the Diamondbacks have shown resilience, especially in tight games, which could benefit them in this matchup. Their recent record of 55-53 reflects their potential, but they must step up their hitting to support their solid pitching rotation.

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pittsburgh Pirates have been much more consistent, sitting 2nd in the league with 558 runs scored. Their offensive prowess is led by Ketel Marte, who boasts a .302 batting average and leads the team with 72 RBIs and 24 home runs. The Pirates also have a strong batting average of .258, giving them an edge in scoring runs.

On the pitching side, the Pirates' staff has been less impressive, with an ERA of 4.48, ranking 25th in the league. Pfaadt's performance will be crucial in this game as the Pirates look to secure a win against a competitive Diamondbacks team. The Pirates have shown the ability to win close games, which will be essential against a team with strong pitching.

Team Injuries

Arizona Diamondbacks

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Gabriel Moreno C Wrist Expected to be out until at least Aug 2

Pittsburgh Pirates

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Daulton Jefferies RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 4

Betting Trends

  • Arizona Diamondbacks are 55-54 against the spread this season.
  • Pittsburgh Pirates are 60-47 against the spread this season.
  • The total has gone under in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games.
  • The total has gone over in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games.
  • Pittsburgh is 4-1 in their last five games at home.

Recent Games

Arizona Diamondbacks Recent Games

Opponent Score W/L
@ Chicago W 5-2 W
@ Chicago W 3-0 W
@ Chicago L 2-1 F/10 L
@ Kansas City L 10-4 L
@ Kansas City W 6-2 W

Pittsburgh Pirates Recent Games

Opponent Score W/L
vs Philadelphia W 8-7 W
vs Philadelphia W 4-1 W
vs Philadelphia L 6-0 L
vs St. Louis W 2-1 W
vs St. Louis L 2-1 L

Team Rankings

Team Hitting Starting Pitching Relief Pitching Fielding
Arizona Diamondbacks 24th 7th Tied-13th Tied-13th
Pittsburgh Pirates 2nd 25th Tied-19th 30th

Significant Betting Stats

  • The Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last six games against the Pirates.
  • The Pirates are 6-1 in their last seven games at home.
  • The total has gone under in 5 of the Diamondbacks’ last 7 games.
  • The Pirates are 4-0 in their last four games against right-handed starters.
  • Arizona is 3-7 in their last ten road games.
  • Pittsburgh is 8-3 in their last eleven home games against teams with a losing record.
  • The Diamondbacks have a 2.75 ERA with Ortiz on the mound.
  • Pittsburgh has scored 558 runs this season, ranking 2nd in MLB.
  • Both teams have shown the ability to win close games.
  • The Diamondbacks are 2-5 in their last seven games against teams with a winning record.

Weather

Intermittent clouds with a temperature of 86 degrees.

Prediction

Given the strong pitching matchup between Luis Ortiz and Brandon Pfaadt, along with the offensive inconsistencies of the Diamondbacks, I predict a low-scoring game. The Diamondbacks have struggled to score runs, while the Pirates' offense has been productive. However, Ortiz’s excellent ERA and recent form suggest he can keep the Pirates' lineup in check. I recommend betting on the total going under 8.5 runs for this game.

Pick: Under 8.5 runs

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