MLB Total Picks: Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals 7/27

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 26, 2024, 11:35:28 PM
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MLB Total Picks: Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals 7/27
Game Summary
The Chicago Cubs will face off against the Kansas City Royals on July 27 at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. The Cubs, currently with a record of 57-47, will be looking to capitalize on their strong season, with an impressive 36-20 record at home but a less dominant 21-27 on the road. The Royals, holding a 49-56 record, have shown resilience at home with a 27-25 record but have struggled on the road with a 22-31 mark.
On the mound for the Cubs will be Seth Lugo, who has been stellar this season with a 12-4 record and a 2.38 ERA. Lugo's consistency and ability to control games will be crucial for the Cubs. On the other side, Shota Imanaga will start for the Royals. Imanaga has also performed well, posting an 8-2 record with a 2.86 ERA.
Both teams have shown different strengths throughout the season. The Cubs are tied for 12th in hits with 855 and 11th in runs with 477, showcasing a balanced offensive lineup. The Royals, although ranked 23rd in hits with 805, have a slightly lower average at .233 compared to the Cubs' .250. Defensively, the Royals have a slight edge with a team ERA of 3.70, ranking 6th, while the Cubs are close behind with a team ERA of 3.76, ranking 10th.
This matchup promises to be an exciting contest with both teams having key players that can make a significant impact. The Cubs will rely on Bobby Witt Jr., who leads the team with a .343 batting average, and Salvador Perez, who has 19 home runs and 70 RBIs. The Royals will look to Seiya Suzuki and Christopher Morel to spark their offense.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over 8.5 | +100 |
| Under 8.5 | -122 |
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Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seth Lugo (CHI) | 12-4 | 2.38 | 122 |
| Shota Imanaga (KC) | 8-2 | 2.86 | 108 |
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Team Previews
Chicago Cubs
Hitting: The Cubs are tied for 12th in hits (855) and 11th in runs (477), with an average of .250, ranking 10th. Key players include Bobby Witt Jr. (.343 BA) and Salvador Perez (19 HR, 70 RBI).
Relief Pitching: The Cubs have 24 saves, ranking 19th, and a team ERA of 3.76, ranking 10th.
Fielding: The Cubs have committed 49 errors, ranking 22nd in the league.
Starting Pitchers: Seth Lugo leads the rotation with a 12-4 record and a 2.38 ERA.
Kansas City Royals
Hitting: The Royals are 23rd in hits (805) and tied for 20th in runs (424), with an average of .233, ranking 25th. Key players include Seiya Suzuki (.268 BA) and Christopher Morel (18 HR, 60 RBI).
Relief Pitching: The Royals have 23 saves, ranking 21st, and a team ERA of 3.70, ranking 6th.
Fielding: The Royals have committed 53 errors, ranking 16th in the league.
Starting Pitchers: Shota Imanaga leads the rotation with an 8-2 record and a 2.86 ERA.
Team Injuries
Chicago Cubs
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas Nido | C | Knee | Expected to be out until at least Aug 20 |
| Keegan Thompson | RP | Ribs | Expected to be out until at least Aug 5 |
| Jordan Wicks | SP | Oblique | Expected to be out until at least Aug 20 |
| Ben Brown | RP | Neck | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
Kansas City Royals
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Taylor | RP | Biceps | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 |
| MJ Melendez | LF | Ankle | Expected to be out until at least Jul 28 |
Betting Trends
- The total has gone over in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games.
- Chicago is 6-2 in their last 8 games against Kansas City.
- The total has gone over in 6 of Kansas City's last 9 games.
- Kansas City is 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
Recent Games
Chicago Cubs
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Arizona | 2-5 | L |
| vs Arizona | 0-3 | L |
| vs Arizona | 2-1 | W |
| vs Milwaukee | 3-1 | W |
| vs Milwaukee | 0-1 | L |
Kansas City Royals
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Chicago | 7-1 | W |
| vs Chicago | 6-1 | W |
| vs Chicago | 4-1 | W |
| vs Arizona | 10-4 | W |
| vs Arizona | 2-6 | L |
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Team Rankings
| Category | Chicago Cubs | Kansas City Royals |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 12th | 23rd |
| Starting Pitching | 10th | 6th |
| Relief Pitching | 19th | 21st |
| Fielding | 22nd | 16th |
Significant Betting Stats
- Chicago is 6-2 in their last 8 games against Kansas City.
- The total has gone over in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games.
- The total has gone over in 6 of Kansas City's last 9 games.
- Chicago's games have averaged over 8.5 runs in 4 of their last 5 games.
- Kansas City's games have averaged over 8.5 runs in 3 of their last 5 games.
- Seth Lugo has a 2.38 ERA this season, but the Cubs' offense has been productive.
- Shota Imanaga has a 2.86 ERA, indicating strong pitching but not unbeatable.
- The Cubs are ranked 10th in team batting average at .250.
- The Royals have a team ERA of 3.70, ranking 6th in the league.
- The Cubs have committed 49 errors, ranking 22nd, which could lead to additional runs.
Weather
Partly sunny with a high temperature of 87°F.
Prediction
This matchup between the Chicago Cubs and Kansas City Royals features strong starting pitchers and solid offenses. However, both teams have shown tendencies to score runs, with the Cubs having a slightly better batting average and run production. The total has gone over in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games and 6 of Kansas City's last 9 games, indicating a trend towards higher-scoring games. Considering the pitching matchups and recent performances, the total score is likely to exceed 8.5 runs.
Pick: Over 8.5 runs
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