MLB Total Picks: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds - 7/29
- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 29, 2024, 2:37:55 AM
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MLB Total Picks and Bets: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds - 7/29
Game Summary
The Chicago Cubs will face off against the Cincinnati Reds on July 29 at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. The Cubs enter this matchup with a record of 50-55, while the Reds hold a slightly better 51-56 record. Both teams have struggled this season, but the Cubs have shown some resilience, especially with their pitching. The Cubs are currently sitting in fourth place in the NL Central, while the Reds are in fifth. Their recent performances have been inconsistent, with both teams looking to gain momentum heading into this game.
The Cubs are led by Carson Spiers, who has a record of 3-2 and an ERA of 3.83. On the other side, the Reds will counter with Jameson Taillon, who has been a solid performer with a 7-5 record and an impressive ERA of 2.96. This matchup will be critical for both teams as they attempt to improve their standings in the division. The Cubs have had difficulties at the plate, ranking near the bottom in batting average (.228), while the Reds are slightly better at .233. With both teams looking to capitalize on their pitching strengths, this game promises to be a competitive affair.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Bet Type | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 9.0 (Over -105, Under -115) |
| Chicago Cubs Moneyline | -105 |
| Cincinnati Reds Moneyline | -115 |
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Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | IP | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jameson Taillon (CIN) | 7-5 | 2.96 | 100.1 | 78 | 21 | 12 |
| Carson Spiers (CHC) | 3-2 | 3.83 | 47.0 | 41 | 9 | 5 |
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Team Previews
Chicago Cubs
The Chicago Cubs have faced challenges this season, particularly with their hitting, ranking 28th in the league with a batting average of .228. Despite these struggles, their pitching has been a strong point, ranking 11th in ERA at 3.83. The Cubs' bullpen has also shown promise, successfully closing games with a solid save percentage. Key players for the Cubs include Elly De La Cruz, who leads the team with a .263 batting average and 18 home runs, and Spencer Steer, who has contributed significantly with 64 RBIs.
Cincinnati Reds
The Cincinnati Reds have had a slightly better season than the Cubs, with a batting average of .233, ranking 24th overall. The Reds' pitching staff has performed admirably, with Taillon leading the way with a 2.96 ERA. The team has also showcased a decent bullpen. The Reds' offensive lineup includes Seiya Suzuki, who leads the team with a .268 batting average, and Ian Happ, who has 16 home runs and has driven in 60 runs. If the Reds can capitalize on their hitting against Spiers, they may have the upper hand in this matchup.
Team Injuries
Chicago Cubs
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Kilian | RP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Jul 28 |
Cincinnati Reds
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Maile | C | Back | Expected to be out until at least Jul 28 |
| Ian Gibaut | RP | Forearm | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
| Peyton Burdick | RF | Undisclosed | Expected to be out until at least Jul 28 |
Betting Trends
- The Cubs are 5-5 in their last 10 games, while the Reds are 4-6.
- Cubs are 8-2 in their last 10 road games against teams with a losing record.
- The Reds are 3-7 in their last 10 home games against teams with a losing record.
- Both teams have struggled with the total going under in 6 of their last 10 games.
Recent Games
Chicago Cubs Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Arizona | L 5-2 | L |
| vs Arizona | L 3-0 | L |
| vs Arizona | W 2-1 (F/10) | W |
| vs Milwaukee | W 3-1 | W |
| vs Milwaukee | L 1-0 | L |
Cincinnati Reds Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Washington | L 8-5 | L |
| @ Washington | L 5-4 | L |
| @ Washington | L 5-2 | L |
| @ Atlanta | W 4-1 | W |
| @ Atlanta | W 9-4 | W |
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Prediction
Considering the current form of both teams, the Cubs have shown they can compete, particularly with their pitching staff led by Spiers. However, with Taillon on the mound for the Reds, who boasts a solid ERA of 2.96, the Reds may have the advantage in this matchup. The total set at 9.0 runs seems reasonable; however, given both teams’ recent performances and the strength of the starting pitchers, we lean towards the under on this game.
Pick: Under 9.0 runs
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