MLB Total Picks: Brewers vs Nationals 7/12
- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 11, 2024, 10:38:30 PM
© Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports
MLB Total Picks: Milwaukee Brewers vs Washington Nationals
Game Summary
On July 12, the Milwaukee Brewers will host the Washington Nationals at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. The Brewers are looking to maintain their strong performance this season, boasting a 54-40 record that places them in a competitive position within their division. The Nationals, on the other hand, have struggled, sitting at 42-52 and looking for ways to turn their season around.
Milwaukee's offense has been a key factor in their success, ranking highly in hits and runs. Led by Christian Yelich, who has a .329 batting average, and Willy Adames, who leads the team with 14 home runs and 62 RBIs, the Brewers have consistently put runs on the board. Their pitching has also been solid, with Freddy Peralta, who sports a 6-4 record and a 3.95 ERA, set to start.
The Nationals will counter with Jackson Rutledge, a pitcher with limited experience at the major league level. Rutledge has a 9.00 ERA in his brief stint, and Washington will need a strong performance from him to compete. Offensively, the Nationals have struggled, with Luis Garcia Jr. and CJ Abrams providing some bright spots but not enough to lift the team consistently.
This matchup will test Washington's ability to compete with a well-rounded Milwaukee team. With both teams having notable strengths and weaknesses, the game promises to be an intriguing contest.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over 7.5 | -128 |
| Under 7.5 | 104 |
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Rutledge (WAS) | 0-0 | 9.00 | 2.00 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| F. Peralta (MIL) | 6-4 | 3.95 | 1.15 | 98.0 | 77 | 124 | 36 | 13 |
Team Previews
Milwaukee Brewers
Hitting: The Brewers' offense is led by Christian Yelich, who is hitting .329, and Willy Adames, who has 14 home runs and 62 RBIs. The team ranks 4th in hits (814) and 4th in batting average (.257).
Relief Pitching: Milwaukee's bullpen has been reliable with 32 saves, ranking 3rd in the league.
Fielding: The Brewers have committed 48 errors, placing them in the middle of the pack.
Starting Pitchers: Freddy Peralta leads the rotation with a 6-4 record and a 3.95 ERA.
Washington Nationals
Hitting: The Nationals' offense has been inconsistent, with Luis Garcia Jr. hitting .277 and CJ Abrams providing 14 home runs. They rank 19th in hits (731) and 19th in batting average (.238).
Relief Pitching: Washington's bullpen has 24 saves, ranking them 12th in the league.
Fielding: The Nationals have 52 errors, ranking 12th in the league.
Starting Pitchers: Jackson Rutledge is a young pitcher with a 9.00 ERA in limited action.
Team Injuries
Milwaukee Brewers
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| G. Sanchez | DH | Calf | Expected to be out until at least Aug 10 |
| J. Ross | SP | Back | Expected to be out until at least Jul 24 |
| J. Bukauskas | RP | Triceps | Expected to be out until at least Jul 21 |
| D. Hall | SP | Knee | Expected to be out until at least Jul 25 |
Washington Nationals
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Williams | SP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Jul 27 |
Betting Trends
- Brewers are 53-38 on the moneyline this season.
- Nationals are 42-50 on the moneyline this season.
- Brewers have hit the over in 49 of 91 games.
- Nationals have hit the over in 44 of 92 games.
Recent Games
Milwaukee Brewers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 0-1 | L |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 9-0 | W |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 2-12 | L |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 9-2 | W |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 3-5 | L |
Washington Nationals
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees | 0-7 | L |
| New York Yankees | 2-6 | L |
| New York Yankees | 5-7 | L |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 6-14 | W |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 6-7 | L |
Team Rankings
| Category | Milwaukee Brewers | Washington Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 4th | 19th |
| Starting Pitching | 10th | 17th |
| Relief Pitching | 3rd | 12th |
| Fielding | 15th | 12th |
Significant Betting Stats
- Brewers are 28-15 at home this season.
- Nationals are 22-28 on the road this season.
- Brewers have scored 450 runs this season (7th in MLB).
- Nationals have scored 388 runs this season (18th in MLB).
- Freddy Peralta has 124 strikeouts in 98 innings.
- Jackson Rutledge has a 9.00 ERA in limited action.
- Christian Yelich leads the Brewers with a .329 average.
- Nationals' bullpen has 24 saves (12th in MLB).
- Brewers' bullpen has 32 saves (3rd in MLB).
- Brewers have a 3.81 team ERA (10th in MLB).
Weather
Mostly sunny with a high of 78°F.
Prediction
Pick: Over 7.5 runs
The matchup between the Milwaukee Brewers and Washington Nationals features two teams with contrasting strengths. Milwaukee's solid offense and reliable bullpen give them an edge, while Washington's pitching struggles, particularly with Jackson Rutledge on the mound, make the over an appealing pick. Freddy Peralta's strong strikeout ability may limit Washington's scoring, but Milwaukee's ability to put runs on the board should push the total over 7.5 runs.
