MLB Total Picks: Angels vs Mariners 7/12

- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 11, 2024, 3:53:30 PM
MLB Total Picks: Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners
Game Summary
The Los Angeles Angels will face off against the Seattle Mariners at Angel Stadium in Anaheim, California on July 12. The Angels are currently struggling with a 38-54 record, placing them at 26th in the league, while the Mariners are doing significantly better with a 51-43 record, ranked 8th. The Angels have a home record of 19-28, whereas the Mariners have an impressive home record of 30-18, but are 21-25 on the road. This game will be a crucial one for the Angels as they look to improve their standings, while the Mariners aim to maintain their strong form.
Both teams have had contrasting fortunes this season. The Angels' pitching has been a weak point with an ERA of 4.61, ranking them 28th in the league. Their hitting is also underwhelming, ranked 21st in hits with a .236 average. On the other hand, the Mariners boast a strong pitching lineup with a 3rd ranked ERA of 3.50. However, their batting leaves much to be desired, with a league-worst .217 average.
Notable players to watch include Logan O'Hoppe for the Angels, who leads the team with a .283 batting average, and Taylor Ward, who has hit 14 home runs this season. For the Mariners, Julio Rodriguez is a standout with a .253 batting average and 17 home runs.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over 8.5 | -105 |
| Under 8.5 | -115 |
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Anderson (LAA) | 8-8 | 2.81 | 77 |
| Bryan Woo (SEA) | 3-1 | 1.77 | 28 |
Team Previews
Los Angeles Angels
Hitting: The Angels have struggled at the plate this season, ranking 21st in hits with 722 and 24th in runs with 374. Their batting average is .236, placing them at 20th in the league. Logan O'Hoppe leads the team with a .283 average, while Taylor Ward has been the main power source with 14 home runs.
Relief Pitching: The Angels' bullpen has been inconsistent, with a combined ERA of 4.61, ranking 28th. This has been a key factor in their struggles this season.
Fielding: The Angels have committed 47 errors this season, ranking them 17th in the league. This indicates a need for improvement in their defensive play.
Starting Pitchers: Tyler Anderson has been a bright spot in the rotation with an 8-8 record and a 2.81 ERA. However, the rest of the rotation has been less reliable, contributing to the team's overall struggles.
Seattle Mariners
Hitting: The Mariners have the lowest batting average in the league at .217 and rank last in hits with 666. Despite this, they have managed to score 360 runs, ranking 28th. Julio Rodriguez and Cal Raleigh have been the most productive hitters, with Rodriguez batting .253 and Raleigh leading the team with 17 home runs.
Relief Pitching: The Mariners' bullpen has been a strength, boasting a team ERA of 3.50, which ranks 3rd in the league. This has been a key factor in their success this season.
Fielding: The Mariners have committed 50 errors, placing them 14th in the league. Their solid defensive play has complemented their strong pitching.
Starting Pitchers: Bryan Woo has been outstanding with a 1.77 ERA and a 3-1 record. The rest of the rotation has also performed well, contributing to the team's overall success.
Team Injuries
Los Angeles Angels
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jo Adell | RF | Illness | Probable for Jul 11 |
Seattle Mariners
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dominic Canzone | RF | Thigh | Expected to be out until at least Jul 20 |
Betting Trends
- Angels are 5-2 in their last 7 games following a win.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games against a left-handed starter.
- Under is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 games as a road favorite.
Recent Games
Los Angeles Angels
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Chicago | W 7-0 | W |
| @ Chicago | L 5-0 | L |
| @ Chicago | L 5-1 | L |
| vs Texas | L 9-4 | L |
| vs Texas | L 5-4 | L |
Seattle Mariners
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ San Diego | W 2-0 | W |
| @ San Diego | W 8-3 | W |
| vs Toronto | L 5-4 | L |
| vs Toronto | L 5-4 F/10 | L |
| vs Toronto | W 2-1 | W |
Team Rankings
| Category | Los Angeles Angels | Seattle Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 21st | 30th |
| Starting Pitching | 28th | 3rd |
| Relief Pitching | 28th | 3rd |
| Fielding | 17th | 14th |
Significant Betting Stats
- Angels are 38-54 overall this season.
- Mariners are 51-43 overall this season.
- Angels' home record is 19-28.
- Mariners' road record is 21-25.
- Mariners have a team ERA of 3.50 (3rd in the league).
- Angels' team ERA is 4.61 (28th in the league).
- Angels have 47 errors this season (17th in the league).
- Mariners have 50 errors this season (14th in the league).
- Under is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Weather
The weather forecast for Anaheim, California on the day of the game is mostly sunny with a high temperature of 85°F. This should provide ideal conditions for baseball.
Prediction
Given the Mariners' strong pitching and the Angels' struggles at the plate, combined with both teams' recent trends towards low-scoring games, the under 8.5 runs seems like the most favorable bet. Bryan Woo has been exceptional on the mound with a 1.77 ERA, and Tyler Anderson has also been solid for the Angels. Additionally, the under has hit in 5 of the last 7 home games for the Angels against teams with a winning record. The Mariners' bullpen, ranked 3rd in the league, should help keep the scoring low.


