MLB Total Picks and Predictions: Reds vs Marlins (7/13)

- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 12, 2024, 7:41:37 PM
MLB Total Picks and Predictions: Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins
Photo Credit: © Katie Stratman-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Cincinnati Reds will face off against the Miami Marlins on July 13 at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. This matchup offers an intriguing contest between two teams looking to improve their season standings. The Reds, with a current record of 45-49, have shown flashes of potential but struggled with consistency. Meanwhile, the Marlins, at 32-61, are looking to end their season on a high note despite their difficulties.
Andrew Abbott (9-6, 3.06 ERA) will take the mound for the Reds. Abbott has been a bright spot for Cincinnati, delivering solid performances throughout the season. On the other side, Edward Cabrera (1-2, 6.84 ERA) will start for the Marlins. Cabrera has had a challenging season, and this game represents an opportunity for him to turn things around.
Offensively, the Reds have been led by Jonathan India and Elly De La Cruz, who have provided much-needed firepower. The Marlins, despite their struggles, have seen standout performances from Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Bryan De La Cruz.
With both teams looking to make a statement, this matchup promises to be a compelling contest. The weather forecast predicts mostly sunny conditions with temperatures around 91°F, ideal for a high-scoring affair.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 9.0 |
| Cincinnati Reds Moneyline | -110 |
| Miami Marlins Moneyline | -110 |
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts (K) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Abbott (CIN) | 9-6 | 3.06 | 82 |
| Edward Cabrera (MIA) | 1-2 | 6.84 | 35 |
Team Previews
Cincinnati Reds
Hitting: The Reds rank 27th in hits (707) and 15th in runs (413), with a team batting average of .230 (26th). Jonathan India leads the team with a .276 batting average, while Elly De La Cruz has hit 15 home runs.
Relief Pitching: The Reds' bullpen has been reasonably effective, ranking 12th in ERA (3.81). They have secured 21 saves, ranking them tied for 20th.
Fielding: Cincinnati's defense has committed 57 errors, ranking 5th in the league.
Starting Pitchers: Andrew Abbott has been a standout with a 3.06 ERA and 82 strikeouts over 103 innings.
Miami Marlins
Hitting: The Marlins are 23rd in hits (725) but rank 29th in runs scored (323), with a team batting average of .231 (25th). Jazz Chisholm Jr. leads the team with a .255 average, and Bryan De La Cruz has hit 16 home runs.
Relief Pitching: Miami's bullpen ranks 27th in ERA (4.54) and has the fewest saves in the league (15).
Fielding: The Marlins have committed 64 errors, ranking 2nd in the league.
Starting Pitchers: Edward Cabrera has struggled with a 6.84 ERA and 35 strikeouts over 25 innings.
Team Injuries
Cincinnati Reds
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Ashcraft | SP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Sep 1 |
Miami Marlins
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Otto Lopez | 2B | Back | Expected to be out until at least Jul 12 |
Betting Trends
- The Reds are 45-49 on the Moneyline.
- The Reds are 53-41 against the spread.
- The Reds are 41-49-4 on totals.
- The Marlins are 32-61 on the Moneyline.
- The Marlins are 41-52 against the spread.
- The Marlins are 48-42-3 on totals.
- The Reds have a better home record (23-27) compared to the Marlins' road record (14-30).
- The Reds have won 6 of their last 10 games.
- The Marlins have lost 8 of their last 10 games.
- The Reds' games have gone under in 4 of their last 5 home games.
Recent Games
Cincinnati Reds
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Detroit | L 5-4 | L |
| vs Detroit | L 5-3 | L |
| vs Detroit | L 5-1 | L |
| vs Colorado | W 6-0 | W |
| vs Colorado | W 12-6 | W |
Miami Marlins
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Boston | L 8-3 | L |
| vs Boston | L 7-2 | L |
| vs Boston | L 6-5 | L |
| vs Chicago | L 3-2 | L |
| vs Chicago | W 4-3 | W |
Team Rankings
| Category | Reds | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 27th | 23rd |
| Starting Pitching | 12th | 27th |
| Relief Pitching | 20th | 30th |
| Fielding | 5th | 2nd |
Significant Betting Stats
- The Reds have a 45-49 overall record.
- The Marlins have a 32-61 overall record.
- The Reds have a 23-27 home record.
- The Marlins have a 14-30 road record.
- The Reds' bullpen ranks 12th in ERA (3.81).
- The Marlins' bullpen ranks 27th in ERA (4.54).
- The Reds' offense ranks 15th in runs scored (413).
- The Marlins' offense ranks 29th in runs scored (323).
- The Reds' games have gone under in 4 of their last 5 home games.
- The Marlins have lost 8 of their last 10 games.
Weather
Weather forecast for the game is mostly sunny with a temperature of 91°F. Weather Details
Prediction
Pick: Over 9.0 runs
This game features two pitchers with contrasting seasons. Andrew Abbott has been reliable for the Reds, but Edward Cabrera has struggled significantly for the Marlins. Given the Reds' offensive capabilities and the Marlins' recent inability to keep runs off the board, this game is likely to see a high run total. The Reds' games have also gone over in 4 of their last 5 home games, and with favorable weather conditions, expect a high-scoring affair.


