MLB Total Picks and Bets: Tigers vs Blue Jays 7/21
- A Plus Picks
- Jul 20, 2024, 9:01:59 PM
© Kevin Sousa-USA TODAY Sports
MLB Total Picks and Bets: Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays 7/21
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Game Summary
The Detroit Tigers will face off against the Toronto Blue Jays on July 21 at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. This matchup features Kevin Gausman as the probable starting pitcher for the Blue Jays and Keider Montero for the Tigers. The Tigers are currently 44-53, sitting 25th in the league in wins with 44, and 25th in ERA at 4.45. The Blue Jays are 48-50, ranking 18th in wins with 48 and 14th in ERA at 3.95. Both teams have had their ups and downs this season, and this game will be a crucial one as they look to improve their standings.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over 8.5 | +100 |
| Under 8.5 | -122 |
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Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gausman (TOR) | 7-8 | 4.50 | 104 |
| Keider Montero (DET) | 1-2 | 5.47 | 23 |
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Team Previews
Detroit Tigers
Hitting: The Tigers rank 20th in batting average (.236) and have struggled to generate runs, ranking 25th with 394 runs. Their top hitter, Riley Greene, leads the team with an average of .271, 17 home runs, and 51 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been inconsistent, with 23 saves (19th) and a team ERA of 4.45 (25th).
Fielding: The Tigers have committed 56 errors, ranking 10th in the league in fielding errors.
Starting Pitchers: Keider Montero has struggled with a 5.47 ERA and a 1-2 record, but he will be looking to turn things around in this start.
Toronto Blue Jays
Hitting: The Blue Jays have a batting average of .234 (25th) but rank 16th in runs scored with 418. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is their standout player, leading the team with a .288 average, 15 home runs, and 57 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The bullpen has 22 saves (21st) and a team ERA of 3.95 (14th), showing a solid performance overall.
Fielding: The Blue Jays have committed 59 errors, ranking 6th in the league in fielding errors.
Starting Pitchers: Kevin Gausman has been a reliable starter with a 7-8 record and a 4.50 ERA, aiming to lead the team to victory in this game.
Team Injuries
Detroit Tigers
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Meadows | CF | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Jul 20 |
Toronto Blue Jays
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 2B | Knee | Expected to be out until at least Jul 20 |
| Bo Bichette | SS | Calf | Expected to be out until at least Jul 30 |
| Nate Pearson | RP | Illness | Expected to be out until at least Jul 21 |
Betting Trends
- The Tigers are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
- The Blue Jays are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
- Over is 4-1 in the Tigers' last 5 games.
- Under is 3-2 in the Blue Jays' last 5 games.
- Blue Jays are 24-24 at home this season.
- Tigers are 23-28 on the road this season.
Recent Games
Detroit Tigers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Toronto | W 5-4 | W |
| @ Toronto | 3:07 PM | Scheduled |
| @ Toronto | 1:37 PM | Scheduled |
| @ Cleveland | 6:40 PM | Scheduled |
| @ Cleveland | 6:40 PM | Scheduled |
Toronto Blue Jays
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Detroit | L 5-4 | L |
| vs Detroit | 3:07 PM | Scheduled |
| vs Detroit | 1:37 PM | Scheduled |
| vs Tampa Bay | 7:07 PM | Scheduled |
| vs Tampa Bay | 7:07 PM | Scheduled |
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Team Rankings
| Category | Detroit Tigers | Toronto Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 20th | 25th |
| Starting Pitching | 25th | 14th |
| Relief Pitching | 19th | 21st |
| Fielding | 10th | 6th |
Significant Betting Stats
- Tigers are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
- Blue Jays are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
- Over is 4-1 in the Tigers' last 5 games.
- Under is 3-2 in the Blue Jays' last 5 games.
- Blue Jays are 24-24 at home this season.
- Tigers are 23-28 on the road this season.
- Kevin Gausman has a 4.50 ERA this season.
- Keider Montero has a 5.47 ERA this season.
- Blue Jays have scored 418 runs this season.
- Tigers have scored 394 runs this season.
Weather
Since the game is at Rogers Centre, an indoor stadium, weather conditions will not impact the game.
Prediction
Pick: Over 8.5 runs
Considering the recent form of both teams and the pitching matchups, it is likely that this game will see a higher number of runs. Both Kevin Gausman and Keider Montero have ERAs above 4.00, and both teams have shown they can score runs. The Blue Jays' batting lineup, led by Vladimir Guerrero Jr., will be a significant factor, and the Tigers have been involved in high-scoring games recently. Therefore, the over 8.5 runs looks like a solid bet for this matchup.
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