MLB Total Picks and Bets: Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays 7/28
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MLB Total Picks and Bets: Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays 7/28

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MLB Total Picks and Bets: Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays 7/28

### Game Summary The Texas Rangers will face off against the Toronto Blue Jays on July 28 at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. This matchup features two teams looking to improve their standings in the competitive AL East. The Rangers, with a record of 48-56, have struggled this season but have shown flashes of potential, particularly in their recent games, winning three out of their last five. Their offense, however, has been inconsistent, ranking near the bottom in both runs (416) and batting average (.236). On the other side, the Blue Jays are slightly better off, with a record of 51-54. They have also had their share of challenges but have recently found some momentum, winning two consecutive games against the Rangers in their last series, including a 7-3 victory on July 27. With a solid batting average of .240 and slightly better run production (446), the Blue Jays are looking to leverage their home field advantage to gain a critical win against Texas. The starting pitchers for this matchup are Jon Gray for the Rangers and Jose Berrios for the Blue Jays. Gray has pitched well with a 3.73 ERA and is coming off a solid performance. In contrast, Berrios has struggled at times this season, holding a 4.08 ERA. This game promises to be an exciting matchup with implications for both teams as they aim to climb the rankings.

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### Odds and Betting Lines
Market Odds
Over/Under 8.5
Texas Rangers Moneyline -120
Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline -102

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### Pitching Probables
Pitcher W-L ERA WHIP IP H K BB HR
Jon Gray (TEX) 5-4 3.73 1.26 94.0 95 78 23 8
Jose Berrios (TOR) 8-8 4.08 1.21 123.2 111 92 39 22

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### Team Previews #### Texas Rangers - **Hitting**: The Rangers have struggled offensively this season, ranking 27th in hits (800) and 26th in runs (416). Their batting average of .236 puts them in the lower tier of the league. However, they are capable of explosive performances, as evidenced by their recent win against the Baltimore Orioles. - **Relief Pitching**: Their bullpen has a combined save total of 24, ranking 19th in the league. The inconsistency in their relief pitching has often put pressure on the starters. - **Fielding**: Texas has committed 57 errors, ranking them 12th in that category, which has contributed to some of their losses. - **Starting Pitchers**: With Jon Gray on the mound, they have a solid chance; Gray has shown the ability to keep the opposition at bay with his recent performances. #### Toronto Blue Jays - **Hitting**: The Blue Jays have a slightly better offense, ranking 16th in hits (840) and 18th in runs (446). Their batting average is .240, which is more competitive but still needs improvement. - **Relief Pitching**: Their bullpen has only managed 22 saves, placing them at 24th in the league. This could be a point of vulnerability as they look to protect leads. - **Fielding**: Toronto has committed 45 errors, which shows they need to tighten up their defense. - **Starting Pitchers**: Jose Berrios has been somewhat erratic but has the potential to deliver a strong performance, especially at home. ### Team Injuries #### Texas Rangers
Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Jacob deGrom SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
Austin Pruitt RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
Evan Carter LF Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
Cody Bradford SP Ribs Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
#### Toronto Blue Jays
Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Jordan Romano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 6
### Betting Trends - Texas Rangers have a moneyline record of 51-53. - Toronto Blue Jays have a moneyline record of 47-56. - The total has gone over in 4 of the last 6 games for the Blue Jays. - Texas has struggled against teams with a winning record. - Toronto has shown improvement at home, winning 5 of their last 7 games. ### Recent Games #### Texas Rangers
Opponent Score W/L
vs Baltimore L 9-1 L
vs Baltimore L 8-4 L
vs Baltimore W 3-2 W
vs Chicago W 4-3 F/10 W
vs Chicago W 3-2 W
#### Toronto Blue Jays
Opponent Score W/L
vs Detroit L 5-4 L
vs Detroit L 7-3 L
vs Detroit W 5-4 W
vs Tampa Bay L 4-2 L
vs Tampa Bay W 6-3 W
### Team Rankings
Team Hitting Starting Pitching Relief Pitching Fielding
Texas Rangers 26th 27th 19th 12th
Toronto Blue Jays 18th 16th 24th 27th
### Significant Betting Stats - The Rangers are 12-24 in their last 36 games against teams with a losing record. - The Blue Jays have gone under in 4 of their last 6 games. - The total has gone over in 5 of the last 6 games for the Rangers. - The Rangers are 2-5 in their last 7 games on the road. - The Blue Jays are 5-2 in their last 7 home games. - The Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the Blue Jays. - The Blue Jays are 5-2 in their last 7 home games against Texas. - The total has gone over in 4 of the last 5 games for the Rangers vs. the Blue Jays. - The Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. - The Rangers are 5-2 in their last 7 games against the Blue Jays. ### Weather The game is indoors at the Rogers Centre, so weather will not impact play. ### Prediction
Given the current form of both teams, the Rangers have shown some resilience but have struggled against more competitive teams. The Blue Jays, having recently found a groove, especially at home, will look to capitalize on their lineup's strengths. Jon Gray's recent performances suggest he can be a stabilizing presence on the mound, but Berrios has the potential for a strong outing, especially in front of the home crowd. With these factors in consideration, I predict the total will go **over 8.5 runs**.

Pick: Over 8.5 runs

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