MLB Total Picks and Bets: Mets vs Nationals 7/9
- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 8, 2024, 11:58:20 PM
MLB Total Picks and Bets: New York Mets vs Washington Nationals
Game Summary
The New York Mets take on the Washington Nationals in what promises to be an exciting match-up at Citi Field in Queens, New York. The game is scheduled for July 9. Both teams have had a roller-coaster season so far, and with the current standings, every game is crucial. The Mets are currently 44-45, sitting just below .500, while the Nationals are 42-49. With the Mets aiming to climb higher in the standings and the Nationals looking to break their losing streak, this game is a must-watch.
Jose Quintana will be the probable starting pitcher for the Mets. Quintana has had a mixed season with a 3-5 record and an ERA of 4.22. On the other hand, Jake Irvin will be pitching for the Nationals. Irvin has been one of the standout pitchers for the Nationals this season, boasting a record of 7-6 and an impressive ERA of 2.80. The pitching duel will be a significant factor in determining the outcome of this game.
Historically, the Mets have had the upper hand in recent matchups against the Nationals, but with both teams' current form, it is hard to predict a clear winner. The Mets’ home record is 21-25, while the Nationals have a better road record at 22-25. With the game being played at Citi Field, the Mets will look to leverage their home advantage.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Betting Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 8.5 |
| New York Mets Moneyline | -105 |
| Washington Nationals Moneyline | -115 |
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Irvin (WAS) | 7-6 | 2.80 | 1.00 | 106.0 | 82 | 94 | 24 | 10 |
| J. Quintana (NYM) | 3-5 | 4.22 | 1.34 | 89.2 | 88 | 66 | 32 | 13 |
Team Previews
New York Mets
Hitting: The Mets have accumulated 751 hits, ranking 11th in the league, with a team batting average of .247. Brandon Nimmo leads the team with an average of .252, while Pete Alonso has been the power hitter with 18 home runs and 55 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The Mets' bullpen has been somewhat inconsistent. They have recorded 21 saves, ranking 17th. Their collective ERA stands at 4.21, which is 21st in the league.
Fielding: Defensively, the Mets have committed 58 errors, making them the 3rd worst team in this aspect.
Starting Pitchers: Jose Quintana, the probable starter, has a record of 3-5 with an ERA of 4.22. His WHIP stands at 1.34, and he has recorded 66 strikeouts over 89.2 innings.
Washington Nationals
Hitting: The Nationals have a total of 712 hits, which ranks them 19th in the league. They have a team batting average of .239. CJ Abrams has been impressive, leading the team with a .279 average, 14 home runs, and 46 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The Nationals' bullpen has been slightly better than the Mets, with 24 saves ranking them 11th. Their collective ERA is 4.02, which is 17th in the league.
Fielding: The Nationals have committed 48 errors, placing them 14th in fielding.
Starting Pitchers: Jake Irvin has been the standout pitcher for the Nationals with a record of 7-6 and an ERA of 2.80. He also has a WHIP of 1.00 and has struck out 94 batters over 106 innings.
Team Injuries
New York Mets
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Smith | RP | Elbow | Out for the season |
Washington Nationals
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Williams | SP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Jul 27 |
Betting Trends
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the Mets' last 6 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the Nationals' last 7 games on the road.
- The Mets are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against the Nationals.
- The Nationals are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games against the Mets.
Recent Games
New York Mets
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Pittsburgh | 8-2 | L |
| @ Pittsburgh | 3-2 | W |
| @ Pittsburgh | 5-2 | W |
| @ Pittsburgh | 14-2 | L |
| @ Washington | 1-0 | L |
Washington Nationals
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs St. Louis | 6-0 | L |
| vs St. Louis | 8-3 | L |
| vs St. Louis | 14-6 | W |
| vs St. Louis | 7-6 | L |
| @ New York | 1-0 | W |
Team Rankings
| Team | Hitting | Starting Pitching | Relief Pitching | Fielding |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets | 11th | 21st | 17th | 3rd Worst |
| Washington Nationals | 19th | 17th | 11th | 14th |
Significant Betting Stats
- The Mets have a home record of 21-25 this season.
- The Nationals have a road record of 22-25 this season.
- Jose Quintana has an ERA of 4.22 this season.
- Jake Irvin has an ERA of 2.80 this season.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the Mets' last 6 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the Nationals' last 7 games on the road.
- The Mets are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against the Nationals.
- The Nationals are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games against the Mets.
- The Nationals have 48 errors this season, ranking 14th in the league.
- The Mets have accumulated 751 hits this season, ranking 11th in the league.
Weather
The weather at Citi Field on the day of the game is expected to be partly sunny with a high temperature of 83°F. More weather details.
Prediction
After analyzing both teams' recent performances, pitching matchups, and betting trends, the total for this game is set at 8.5 runs. Given the strong performance of Jake Irvin and the underwhelming form of the Mets' hitters, we predict this game will stay under the total.
Pick: Under 8.5 runs
